Was Donald Trump’s January 3rd drone assassination of Major General Qasem Soleimani the first step in turning the simmering Cold War between the United States and Iran into a hot war in the weeks before an American presidential election? Of course, there’s no way to know, but behind by double digits in most national polls and flanked by ultra-hawkish Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Trump is a notoriously impetuous and erratic figure. In recent weeks, for instance, he didn’t hesitate to dispatch federal paramilitary forces to American cities run by Democratic mayors and his administration also seems to have launched a series of covert actions against Tehran that look increasingly overt and have Iran watchers concerned about whether an October surprise could be in the cards.
Much of this fear is due to the fact that, in Iran, things exploded or got stuck in the place of a chimney in a way that seemed mysterious and threatening. Earlier last month, for example, a suspicious explosion at an Iranian nuclear curried facility in Natanz, which is also the site of its centrifuge production, was briefly reported. It is not known whether the site was seriously broken by a bomb smuggled into the construction or by some kind of airstrike. “A Middle Eastern intelligence official said Israel planted a bomb in a construction site where complex centrifuges were being carried out,” the New York Times reported. Similar events have been fiery in the country for weeks. On 26 June, for example, there was “a massive explosion in the domain of a primary Iranian army and a weapons progression base east of Tehran.” On July 15, seven ships landed fire at an Iranian shipyard. Other chimney sites and mysterious explosions have affected commercial facilities, a power plant, a missile production plant, a medical complex, a petrochemical plant and other sites.
“Some officials say a joint strategy by the United States and Israel is evolving, some might say it’s receding into a series of short-lived undercover attacks,” Report concluded through The Times.
Some of this sabotage was carried out in the context of a “very aggressive” CIA action plan for two years to engage in cyber-offensive attacks against the country. Like Yahoo! According to former U.S. functioners, the Central Intelligence Agency has conducted a number of covert cyber operations against Iran and other targets since its secret victory in 2018 when President Trump signed what amounts to a general authorization for such activities. with direct wisdom on the subject … The discovery made it less difficult for the CIA to damage the critical infrastructure of its adversaries, such as petrochemical plants.
Meanwhile, on July 23, two U.S. warplanes blew an Iranian civilian aircraft into Syrian airspace, causing their pilot to deviate and fall, injuring several of the plane’s passengers.
For many in Iran, soleimani’s assassination through a drone – and the sabotage crusade that followed – amounted to a virtual declaration of war. The equivalent of the killing ordered through the Iranian president through the general of the Iranian primaries, according to some analysts, was the killing through Iran of Secretary of State Pompeo or The President of the General Staff, Mark Milley, such analogies really underestimate Soleimani’s stature in the Iranian firmament.
In its aftermath, Iran largely stood firm, its only reaction being a limited telegraph attack opposed to two U.S. army bases in Iraq. If Soleimani’s murder aimed to drag Iran into a military escalation in an election year, it failed. So the U.S. and Israel may have designed the speed of attacks on Iranian critical targets this summer as expanding provocations aimed at inciting Iran to retaliate in a way that can provide an excuse for a much broader US reaction.
Such a close confrontation is unlikely to involve U.S. forces opposed to a country that is several times bigger and tougher than Iraq. Instead, this implies a sustained crusade for airstrikes opposed to dozens of Iranian air defense services and other army targets, as well as the vast network of services that the United States has known as a component of that country’s nuclear curricula.
The “art” of the agreement in 2020
In addition to the tension of the military and the fierce sanctions opposing the Iranian economy, Washington has cynically sought to take advantage of the fact that Iran, already in a weakened state, has been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. These U.S. sanctions, for example, have made it much more difficult for the country to download much-needed economic, medical, and humanitarian materials, given the growing death toll.
According to a report by the European Leadership Network,
“Instead of easing the tension of the crisis, the United States has implemented four more rounds of sanctions since February and helped derail Iran’s request for an IMF loan [International Monetary Fund]. The 3 special monetary tools designed to facilitate the transfer of humanitarian aid to Iran in the face of secondary sanctions on foreign banking transactions. Array.. so far they have proven to be exclusive channels, blocked through the U.S. regulatory bureaucracy.
To no avade, Human Rights Watch called on the United States in April to impose sanctions to ease Iran’s ability to fight the fatal pandemic, which has officially killed some 17,000 more people since February (or perhaps, if it is a tale of the government’s actual death). the figures are accurate, almost 42,000).
Iran has every single explanation of why it feels aggrieved. With great political risk, President Hassan Rohani and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei agreed in 2015 on an agreement with the United States and five other world powers on Iran’s nuclear curricula. The agreement, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), completed precisely what it intended to do: it led Iran to make significant concessions, cutting its nuclear studies and uranium enrichment program in exchange for a few other economic sanctions. across the United States and other business partners.
Although the JCPOA has worked well, in 2018 President Trump has unilaterally withdrawn from it, re-imposed much more difficult sanctions against Iran, initiated what the management has called a “maximum pressure” crusade against Tehran, and, since Soleimani’s assassination, has introduced army moves just before the war. In Iran, Trump’s confrontational stance helped shift policy to the right, undermining Rohani, a relatively moderate, and gutting the reform movement there. In February’s parliamentary elections, ultraconservatives and extremists won a victory in the primaries.
But Iranian leaders can also read a calendar. Like the electorate in the United States, they know that it will most likely get rid of Trump’s direction of the workplace in three months. And they know that at the time of the war, many Americans, including, unfortunately, belligerent Democrats in Congress and influential analysts of Washington think tanks, are likely to enroll in the White House. So, unless the secret war crusade opposed to the targets in Iran intensifies dramatically, Iranian leaders are unlikely to give Trump, Pompeo, and the team the excuse they’re looking for.
As proof that Iran’s leaders are paying special attention to the president’s election difficulties, Khamenei has only recently rejected in the most specific terms imaginable what top observers consider as another cynical ploy of the president of the United States, when he suddenly asked Iran to return to direct leadership. talk to the leader. In a July 31 speech, the Iranian leader said Iran was well aware that Trump was only looking for mock talks to help him in November. (In June, Trump tweeted Iran: “Don’t wait until after the U.S. election to conclude the big problem! I’m going to win!”) Indeed, proving that Washington does not aim to negotiate with a smart religion with Iran, after destroying the JCPOA and extending sanctions, the Trump administration announced a list of 12 situations that deserve to precede the start of those talks. In short, they amounted to a call for Iran’s general and humiliating surrender. So far the art of the deal in 2020.
October surprises and today
Meanwhile, the United States is not getting much help from the rest of the world for its slightly disguised efforts to create chaos, an imaginable uprising, and situations to force the regime to be replaced by November 3. At the United Nations, when Secretary Pompeo called for the Security Council to enlarge a strong arms embargo opposed to Iran, not only did Russia and China promise to veto such a resolution, but America’s European allies also opposed it. Specifically, they were angry at Pompeo’s risk of imposing economic sanctions of “recovery” on Iran, as stipulated in the JCPOA if the arms embargo is not approved through the Council. Participants did not lose sight of the fact that by justifying his request for new United Nations sanctions, the US Secretary of State invoked the same agreement that Washington had unilaterally abandoned. “Having left JCPOA, the United States is no longer a player and has no right to cause a setback at the United Nations,” China’s ambassador to the United Nations said.
This other wonderful emerging force actually has a primary saboteur and an Iranian best friend who opposes the Trump administration regime’s replacement strategy, even as his own relations with Washington worsen week after week. Last month, the New York Times reported that Iran and China had signed “a broad economic and security partnership that would pave the way for billions of dollars of chinese investment in force and other sectors, undermining the Trump administration’s efforts to isolate the Iranian government.” “The 18-page document would call for closer military cooperation and a $400 billion Chinese investment and industry agreement that, among other things, directly points to Trump and Pompeo’s effort to crierate Iran’s economy and its oil exports.
According to Shireen Hunter, a senior Middle East analyst at Georgetown University, the deal will be felt like a world-changing agreement because it potentially provides China with “a permanent foothold in Iran” and undermines “the United States.” strategic supremacy in the Gulf [Persian]. It was, with some concern, a direct result of Trump’s anti-Iranian obsession and Europe’s reluctance to confront Washington’s tough sanctions policy.
On June 20, in a scathing editorial, the Washington Post agreed, ridiculing the administration’s “maximum pressure” strategy opposing Iran. The president has not failed to overthrow the Iranian government or force it to reposition its habit in conflicts in countries like Syria and Yemen, but now, in a severe blow to American interests, “an Iranian partnership with ChinaArray … Iran’s economy while giving Beijing a difficult new position in the region.
But if the classic state quo of Washington’s foreign policy believes Trump’s policy toward Iran is opposing him and opposes American hegemony in the Persian Gulf, his administration doesn’t seem to care. As evidence grows that its technique with Iran is not having the desired effect, the White House continues to advance: squeezing the country economically, undermining its efforts to combat covid-19, threatening it militarily, naming an alien as its “special envoy” to Iran, and (with Israel) conducting a secret crusade of terrorism within the country.
For more than 4 decades, the “Wonder of October” has become a general expression that means any unforeseen action of a presidential crusade just before an election designed to give one of the applicants a wonderful advantage. Ironically, its origins are found in Iran. In 1980, the feud between President Jimmy Carter and former California Governor Ronald Reagan, rumours arose that Carter might simply organize a raid to rescue dozens of American diplomats who were then arrested in Tehran. (He didn’t. According to other reports, Reagan’s crusade had established clandestine contacts with Tehran in an effort to convince Tehran to release his American levels only after the election. (Two books, October Surprise through Gary Sick, Carter’s senior national security adviser, and Trick or Treason, through investigative journalist Bob Parry, explored the option of candidate Reagan, former CIA Director Bill Casey and others participating in a plot with Iran to win this election.)
Consider this beyond irony if, in October, the last electoral “surprise” were to move us to the very origins of the legislature in the form of a kind of armed confrontation that can only end extraordinarily for all involved. It’s a formula for the crisis and like so many other things, when it comes to Donald J. Trump, it’s ruled out.
Through non-unusual dreams
Robert “Bob” Dreyfuss is an American investigative journalist and editor of The Nation magazine. His paintings have made the impression in Rolling Stone, The Diplomat, Mother Jones, The American Prospect, TomPaine.com and other progressive publications.
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The four ships named in Annex WSJ are registered in Liberia. In theory, it is possible that Iran has simply chartered them, but Amb Solanti said they “had nothing to do with Iran.” Four of the five ships Iran sent to Venezuela in May were Iranians. How will the United States react if Iran rejects the connection?
Photos of ahmadinejad, who was clean-shaven, circulated on Iranian Twitter. I can’t refuse to be much older without a beard, yet they’re retouched with Photoshop. #L Iran
Rupture: Al-Quds learns that Oman and Bahrain will be the United Arab Emirates and will normalize with Israel “very soon”. http://www.alquds.com/articles/1597347812834910700/
Israel was rewarded for failing to brat nod to what it had been doing illegally and persistently to Palestine since the beginning of the occupation. The United Arab Emirates has exposed its secrecy/normalization of dating Israel. Thank you for not giving us any favors. We’re nobody’s vine! https://twitter.com/sarahleah1/status/1293925006473388034
RUPTURA: #UAE and #Israel “normalize” relationships. The exchange? Israel will officially annex and exercise its sovereignty over the land it has already annexed for all purposes and exercise its overArray sovereignty. ZERO for Palestinian rights https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/with- trump-s -aid-to-Israel-and-the-water-reach-a-history-to-normalize-relations-1.9070687
America’s leadership is moving from maximum tension to minimum international relations in pursuit of the same goal: to end Iran’s nuclear deal. Here’s what to look at as the US presents a UN solution to make larger gun restrictions expiring in October. [cable]
“Peace Agreement” Very grateful that the sour and bloody war between the United Arab Emirates and Israel is over and that troops on both sides can return to houseArray. All thanks to the wonderful efforts of Donald Trump and his law-in-law Jared @NobelPrize https://twitter.com/RaphaelAhren/status/1293928475993268233
Israel remains committed to annexing parts of the West Bank, said a senior Israeli official. “Trump’s leadership is calling for the temporary suspension of the announcement [of the application of sovereignty] in order to put the historic peace agreement with the United Arab Emirates into force first.”
Medea’s right. The United Arab Emirates and Israel had already allied for decades. What has been achieved? Just to officially humiliate the Palestinians. The iran deal was the real deal. https://twitter.com/medeabenjamin/status/1293936155335983104
Do you know what a “historic peace agreement” in the Middle East really was? The Iran nuclear deal that Trump withdrew from and created a crisis that still resonates in the region!
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War. Anti-sanctions. Pro-Peace. Yes to satire and culture. RT published in ?
The four ships named in Annex WSJ are registered in Liberia. In theory, Iran may have chartered them, but Amb Solanti said they “had nothing to do with Iran.” Four of the five ships Iran sent to Venezuela in May were Iranians. How will the United States react if Iran rejects the connection?
Photos of ahmadinejad, who was clean-shaven, circulated on Iranian Twitter. I can’t deny that it’s much bigger without a beard, yet they’re retouched with Photoshop. #L Iran
Rupture: Al-Quds learns that Oman and Bahrain will be the United Arab Emirates and will normalize with Israel “very soon”. http://www.alquds.com/articles/1597347812834910700/
Israel was rewarded for failing to brat nod to what it had been doing illegally and persistently to Palestine since the beginning of the occupation. The United Arab Emirates has exposed its secrecy/normalization of dating Israel. Thank you for not giving us any favors. We’re nobody’s vine! https://twitter.com/sarahleah1/status/1293925006473388034
RUPTURA: #UAE and #Israel “normalize” relationships. The exchange? Israel will officially annex and exercise its sovereignty over the land it has already annexed for all purposes and exercise its overArray sovereignty. ZERO for Palestinian rights https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/with- trump-s -aid-to-Israel-and-the-water-reach-a-history-to-normalize-relations-1.9070687
America’s leadership is moving from maximum tension to minimum international relations in pursuit of the same goal: to end Iran’s nuclear deal. Here’s what to look at as the US presents a UN solution to make larger gun restrictions expiring in October. [cable]
“Peace Agreement” Very grateful that the sour and bloody war between the United Arab Emirates and Israel is over and that troops on both sides can return to the houseArray. All thanks to the wonderful efforts of Donald Trump and his law-and-law Jared @NobelPrize https://twitter.com/RaphaelAhren/status/1293928475993268233
Israel remains committed to annexing parts of the West Bank, said a senior Israeli official. “Trump’s leadership is calling for the temporary suspension of the announcement [of the application of sovereignty] for the historic peace agreement with the United Arab Emirates to take effect first.”
Medea’s right. The United Arab Emirates and Israel had already allied for decades. What has been achieved? Just to officially humiliate the Palestinians. The iran deal was the real deal. https://twitter.com/medeabenjamin/status/1293936155335983104
Do you know what a “historic peace agreement” in the Middle East really was? The Iran nuclear deal that Trump withdrew from and created a crisis that still resonates in the region!
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