Belarus, whose autocratic president mildly identified the coronavirus pandemic, let alone imposed a lockdown in response, yet there were fewer deaths consistent with social capital than with most European countries. A recent BMJ article suggests several imaginable explanations, adding the country’s unpopularity as a vacation destination, high degrees of evidence in the first months of the epidemic, a giant hospital capacity that has made it easier to isolate COVID-19 patients, few nursing homes and widespread voluntary practice, precautions such as social distancing and wearing a mask. The assumptions seem plausible, they do not necessarily explain trends in other Eastern European countries which, like Belarus, have experienced relatively few deaths from COVID-19.
According to Worldometer figures, the existing COVID-19 mortality rate in Belarus is 84 consisting of 1 million people, less than one-tenth of the rate in Belgium, about one-eighth of the rate in Spain and about one-seventh of the rate. but several other Central and Eastern European countries have low rates, adding Serbia (85 consisting of millions), Ukraine (83), Hungary (72), Slovenia (68), Croatia (62), Poland (61), the Czech Republic (49) and Estonia (48). Unlike Belarus, all of these countries imposed broad social and economic restrictions last spring in an attempt to reduce transmission of the virus.
Trends in newly known COVID-19 instances vary significantly from country to country:
In Belarus, the seven-day period peaked in mid-May and has since fallen by 77%.
In Serbia, there was an early peak in April, followed by a decline until early June, followed by an uptick to a new highest peak at the end of July. Since then, the seven-day average has fallen by 83%.
Ukraine is experiencing more new cases than ever before, following an accumulation that began in late July.
In Hungary, new cases have more than doubled by more than 20 since the end of August.
Slovenia has seen a sharp increase since mid-August, far from being as giant as Hungary’s.
Croatia experienced a similar upward ending until the end of August, when the average reached record levels. New cases have fallen since then.
In Poland, the seven-day highest average in July and August, fell in early September and has risen again, reaching historic highs in days.
The Czech Republic has seen a sharp rise in new cases to record degrees this month, followed by a sharp decline in recent days.
In Estonia, new daily instances peaked in early April, fell to a figure in early May and have increased more or less since the end of August.
Trends in COVID-19-related deaths in these countries also vary widely: in Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary and Poland, the average of seven days of deaths peaked in April; Belarus and Serbia, this happened at first. The deaths reached record levels in Ukraine and Croatia last week.
Several Eastern European countries reported far more deaths in line with capita in line with capita, adding Bulgaria (110 in line with million inhabitants), Bosnia and Herzegovina (237) and Romania (234). Europe like France, UK, Italy, Spain and Holland.
A pre-print paper published in May argued that the decrease in COVID-19 mortality in Eastern Europe can also be offset by an upcoming advent of the virus. “The countries of Europe that observed the first flow of COVID-19 suffered the worst consequences in terms of fitness outcomes, especially mortality,” wrote Albanian public aptitude researcher Alban Ylli and 4 co-authors. “Drastic social isolation measures, namely in Eastern European countries, where network flow began after 11 March, this would possibly reduce COVID-related mortality compared to Western European countries.
In an essay published last Friday in The Conversation, Cambridge University sociologist Olga Leblov and two co-authors fear that recent trends will recommend that Eastern Europe’s is running low: “Central and Eastern Europe well controlled the first wave of COVID-19 in the spring . . . To the general surprise, governments have fought ever since. They found it politically difficult to reintroduce restrictions after months of letting their populations live normally. “
This assumption is consistent with the decline in new daily cases that some of these countries have noticed in the spring and the increases that some have noticed this summer. But this is inconsistent with the delight of Belarus, which has never had a lockdown but still has a relatively low mortality rate and has not noticed a recent increase in cases and deaths such as those in Hungary, Ukraine, Croatia and the United Kingdom. Czech Republic. It is also inconsistent with the findings of a recent study that analyzed trfinishs in COVID-19 in 23 countries and 25 US states. But it’s not the first time They had noticed more than 1,000 deaths from the disease by the end of July. UCLA economist Andrew Atkeson and his two co-authors discovered little evidence that diversifications in government policy evolved the epidemic elsewhere.
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Jacob Sullum is editor-in-chief of Reason.
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They may simply not lie about covid deaths, because there is no monetary incentive to do so.
Someone is about to have a pre-existing condition . . .
If you’re implying he’s crazy, it’s funny.
Wooooooooosh
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Vodka and sauna are the key to a healthy IMO
Eastern Europeans give you a greater will to live.
That’s why Russia’s life expectancy is 6 years lower than that of the United States.
it’s communism.
Wow, are you telling me that totalitarian bastards are likely to tell you the genuine effects of their policies?
It’s my surprised face.
I like the way it turns out to other people in your number, which makes me wonder what North Korea is doing. I think they’re immune to COVID, if they want to be d.
I also believe that former Soviet nations, however deficient, might not have the time, power or money to have problems with the flu in the same way that a Karen-guided nanny would. If you can starve, for example, who does?It doesn’t matter a mortality rate of 2 or 3%. It’s not even on your radar.
With the exception of Belarus, I believe that all these Central and Eastern European countries have democratically elected governments. As for his other comment, alcoholism is probably guilty of more deaths than COVID-19 in those countries.
Yes, but they also have a fair percentage of corruption and probably wouldn’t mind much measuring or quantifying COVID. They have bigger problems, especially in Ukraine, where “ball” or “rocket” probably beats COVID.
I’m not saying that these are the worst situations on earth, which might be implicit in my commentary on North Korea, but that some of them may have more urgent considerations than a disease with a fairly low mortality rate in the general population.
but that some of them may have more urgent considerations than a disease with a relatively low mortality rate in the general population.
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I also believe that former Soviet nations, however deficient, might not have the time, power or money to have problems with the flu in the same way that a Karen-guided nanny would.
Chances are that’s the reality.
Besides, why do we count COVID deaths at all times?I sense we only count “standard influenza” deaths for one season, and then we start over in the new season. If we continued to count flu deaths and once, amen, we would now be in tens of millions.
Is different. For example, you don’t want a “cloth face cover” for the flu.
If everyone used a “face-covering tissue” during flu season, there would be much less flu.
There’s no explanation why you think that’s true.
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They also tend to have limited immigration.
Maybe they didn’t light up to report any deaths, the positive check as a COVID death.
On the contrary. See my comment below. While the decline in the COVID mortality rate in Eastern Europe may be interesting, Belarus deserves to not even be on the list. Not bad for COVID there, hospitals were not really overwhelmed, other people walked freely without mask (like 5% probably wear mask), no social esttachment. Belarus doesn’t have as many old people or fat people as the United States, so it can be a vital factor. However, the main problem is that the government ended up lying about COVID cases and deaths.
“Believe me”
Yaya.
That’s enough.
Some of them did not do everything imaginable to accurately verify why the new deceased had passed away. strains of influenza. That’s what they told me when I was running there.
I don’t see what Dr. Phil has to do with all this.
I can solve the mystery. I was evacuated from Ukraine in March when they had a total of 7 cases. As a former socialist country, there is a lot of isolation from the grid because cars are scarce and other people have the tendency not to and stay in their own neighborhoods. He did not like the concept of other people moving freely and making sure that everything they needed for a smart Soviet life was within walking distance.
Living in a net that resembled a village in Twilight Zone, a town that had just been taken and placed in the middle of agricultural fields, I visited several others that were like this. The Soviets built it because there was a mine there and they looked for other people to live near the mine so they could just function. The city was built in 1962 and has a main street (Victory Avenue) that stretches over 3 giant blocks. They’re a few-looking streets. It starts on the river (or what’s left of the river after the Soviets broke up with it) and ended up at the station. We can stop by in 20 minutes. It took an hour and a bus component through the farms and mines to the city center and other people rarely went there. Certainly, the other people in the main component of the city of Kryvyi Rih have never left the city.
The neighborhoods are furnished with many small department stores so that no one has to go too far to get things, since everyone walks, makes sense because you have no way to take things home unless you’re dressed in them. the villages sit along the sidewalks and sell all kinds of products from their orchards and small farms. All the few apartment buildings have a post office, a school and a kindergarten, just as the Soviets created the cities. There is also an art school, a music school and the sports palace (which has an indoor pool) and a palace of culture (which has a cinema). No one wants to leave their small network and no one wants it.
Sounds good.
I miss living there, but there were trade-offs as if you had to live in Soviet buildings, deal with Soviet-style corruption and infrastructure like central heating, which is not the same as what we call central heating: the city literally turned on the heating. and out of the total city every year.
But other people were outdoors and when there was a concert (very different from the idea of the concert) they were all there, the young people played outdoors in the courtyards and the many playgrounds, there were flowers and vegetarian gardens everywhere, they also gave flowers to everyone. time and they love cookies and tea. The young men went to the same school for 11 years and shared a workplace with the same user and it was occasionally like a family circle (I worked in a school). the rest of my life there, fortunately, however, I’m old and I didn’t imagine it was so old-fashioned.
There is a more credible explanation: the officially reported death figures are a lie. The Belarusian government made a mistake in reporting the total number of deaths consistent with the month of 2020 to the UN. You can compare 2019 and 2020 here http://data. un. org/Data. aspx?q=deaths up to the month
Remember: do not rely on an authoritarian regime.
This explanation makes too much sense and plays with national partisan conspiracy theories (US). U. S. A. ).
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That’s what’s going on. Russia recorded another 30,000 deaths in July (from 181,000 to 1,500,000 seasonal workers overall), about five times more than the 6000 reported covid deaths. You can even see the stable accumulation in excess deaths since March/April, but well, no covid here is moving now.
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