Why does India deny coVID-19 transmission?

For weeks now, India has reported the fastest-developing COVID-19 infections in the world. The health government recorded nearly 1.49 million cases shown, totaling more than 33,400 deaths. Last week, another 100,000 people contracted the disease in just three days.

Scientists warn that India, the third country most affected in the global coronavirus count after the United States and Brazil, is on the verge of achieving 50,000 constant infections a day, which would see it outperform brazil in the number of cases.

In an effort to develop verification capacity, Prime Minister Narender Modi announced Monday that his government was launching more verification services so that all state governments can simply “verify, track and process” strategy. According to Modi, there are 1,300 control laboratories in India lately, with more than 500,000 checks being carried out daily.

With an exponential buildup of coronavirus infections in India, experts are suffering to settle for the government’s position of “no network infection.”

“Admission of networked transmission makes policymakers uncomfortable. This is not the case when more and more people are testing positive,” Anant Bhan, a physician and global fitness researcher founded in Pune, told DW Anant Bhan.

Read more: Coronavirus: Is India on the verge of ‘collective immunity’?

According to Jayaprakash Muliyil, an epidemiologist at Christian Medical College in Vellore, some leaders are concerned that admission of a network infection may be interpreted by the public as the government’s inability to infection, and that measures to involve the virus, adding blockade, have failed. .

“Does the government think it will be noticed as a type of failure in its component to identify and isolate well all number one and secondary contacts? The disease has taken hold,” Muliyil said.

According to World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines, network transmission is the inability to insinuate and identify the transparent source of infection in a new network.

So far, the governments of Kerala, West Bengal and Assam have admitted that there is network transmission in the regions of their respective states.

The Ministry of Health’s most recent knowledge revealed that 86% of COVID-19 infections come from 10 of the country’s 29 states, and southern India contains the highest of major hot spots.

Last week, the Indian Medical Association (IMA) distanced himself from the Hospital Board of India after its president V K Monga announced a COVID-19 transmission case.

“Does it make any difference what you call it? We just want to maintain our strategy and we don’t have to call it with a specific name,” a senior virologist at IMA told DW.

Read more: How coronavirus affects underprivileged children in India

The director general of the Indian Medical Research Council, Balram Bhargava, also denied network transmission at a press conference.

“India is not transmitted through the community. It’s just a term used. We will have to continue the strategy of testing, tracking, tracking and quarantine and continue with the containment measures that have been a success so far,” Bhargava said. .

The Indian Institute of Science has predicted that India may have up to 3.5 million instances of COVID-19 by September 1.

Bhramar Mukherjee, a well-known American epidemiologist who has worked on mathematical models from COVID-19’s trajectory, told local news At Wire that India is likely to already have up to 30 million positive cases and that over the next six weeks the total is expected to rise to one hundred million.

“There is no doubt that network transmission was positioning itself in India. I’d like to know how scientists turn out that there’s no network transmission,” Mukherjee said.

Read more: Can the coronavirus pandemic bring a revolution to India?

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