Wouldn’t it be better to let the virus circulate until we achieve collective immunity?He originally gave the impression in Quora: the position to win and percentage of knowledge, allowing others to be informed of others and perceive the world better.
Gwen Eamer’s Response, Public Health in Red Cross and Red Crescent Emergencies, her session:
Immunity is a very complex thing. To be very clear, I specialize in epidemics and disasters; I’m not an immunologist so I’m going to stick to a higher level. That said, there are a lot of things that we still don’t know about if you can get COVID-19 more than once, or what “immunity” might look like. When we take a look at other viruses, surviving some effects in full immunity (you can no longer get this virus, like measles), partial immunity (if you’ve had it before, it’s not that bad at the time, or possibly it would in first of all, be immune, but over time this immunity wears off), there is no immunity at all (like the common cold, which can be caused by another type of coronavirus and you can get it again and again) Matrix or some viruses like dengue are even more harmful at the moment or for the third time. Because we don’t yet know precisely how our immune formula reacts or “remembers” COVID-19, the most productive course of action is to assume that no one is immune to COVID-19, whether they are. Whether I had it or not, and not making plans based on what we hope is true, but I don’t know for sure. Maybe that will replace as we learn more, but we have to make that assumption for now.
The “collective immunity” factor arises when we talk about individual immunity. Collective immunity occurs when a population is most immunized against an infectious disease, either by vaccination or because it has already survived the disease and immunity has evolved. they are not immunized yet they can protect themselves from the disease indirectly, because not everyone else who is already immunized will get sick or spread the disease, protecting those who are not. Depending on the degree of infection contagion, 70-90% of the population deserves to be sometimes immunized to discharge collective immunity.
So why don’t we let the virus that cause COVID-19 circulate until we get collective immunity?There are two disorders with this approach. The first is that we don’t know if we ever will, because we don’t know if there is immunity for this virus, or if it exists, how long it lasts. But even if that were the case, we would communicate about “achieving “collective immunity when, say, 80% of the world’s population had COVID-19. If we do undeniable calculations using the numbers we have today, where approximately 20% of other people who tested positive for COVID-19 have moderate to severe disease and say 2% die, we would read about 6. 2 billion cases, 1. 25 billion moderate to severe cases (requiring hospitalization or employing lasting neurological, renal, central or pulmonary disorders) and 25 million deaths. I don’t agree with that, do I?
Of course, we can engage in all sorts of discussions about those numbers: are there many minor cases missing lately?Will there probably be more people learning to treat them over time?Maybe, but maybe others die because we know we may not provide a quality remedy to millions of serious cases. Even though we use the most productive scenario, looking for mortality rates in places like Qatar (0. 2%) or Iceland (0. 5%), at all times we would report around 12 to 31 million deaths. We know the world doesn’t have fitness systems that can do that. No matter how we do that calculation, we’d still be in a terrible situation.
I also hear social and economic arguments to allow the virus to circulate more freely and simply “live with it. ” Social and economic life can adapt and be generalized while the transmission of the virus is suppressed. On the other hand, when the transmission of the virus is uncontrollable. , many other people die and everyone is afraid, it has a massive social and economic impact. Controlling the epidemic through public conditioning measures is no more complicated than allowing it to circulate widely. Let’s be clear: the cure is no worse than the disease!
We want to prevent and prevent transmission of the virus.
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