No one can say for sure when the COVID-19 pandemic will end, however, and the response depends on the availability of an effective vaccine and other unpredictable factors, according to clinical experts.
However, some parts of our prepandemic life do not return, no matter when the crisis disappears; some take a while to return. And some will be replaced forever.
To better perceive where we are headed, USA TODAY consulted several futurists, whose task is to read trends in parts of the customer’s business world:
What will American life look like in 2025, assuming the coronavirus is contained safely at the time?
Scar tissue economy: Coronavirus pandemic is likely to leave a legacy of concern and uncertainty that has slowed the economy for decades
Your bed bathroom
Among things:
Travelers may have fewer options when airlines merge to shape giant corporations like Frontier Spirit United.
Air purifiers can be almost as common as air conditioners.
Sports stadiums will probably be complete with other people back then, even if it takes a year or two to get there.
The difference in 2025 is that “when those other people move from home (from the stadium), they will possibly take an independent Uber and their e-commerce can be delivered via drones,” said Jason Schenker, founder of Prestige Economics. an economic forecasting company in Austin, Texas. “The next day they go on to paint at home. That night, they do their master’s degree online from home. The only thing that happens to leave the space is something great that they can post on Instagram, show off and enjoy in person. “
From coast to coast, the pandemic has accelerated the demise of buffet-style restaurants and coffee shops chains that were not as suitable for outdoor dining or takeaway.
Several have filed for bankruptcy or announced plans to close this year, adding souplantation in California (founded in 1978), Luby’s Cafeteria in Texas (founded in 1947) and K
Other independent restaurants had struggled for years with health, labor and rental prices before being hit by the pandemic.
“Many don’t come back,” said Kara Nielsen, director of food and beverages at WGSN, a trend forecasting company.
Nearly one in six restaurants is permanently or prolongedly closed due to the pandemic, according to a survey published last week through the National Restaurant Association. That equates to about 100,000 restaurants, in addition to the 20th Street Cafe in Denver, which opened in 1946.
Nielsen predicts that more diners will need herbal meat substitutes due to concerns about the effect of meat on health, paint and the environment, especially after disorders in meat-packing plants during the pandemic. He also pointed to a growing awareness of the dark appearance. global source chains, such as tree felling in the Amazon rainforest in Brazil to plant soybeans to feed pigs in China.
“It’s not sustainable,” he said. As we rebuild, I think more and more people are going to invest and invest power in reconstruction in a different way. “
That’s why it’s “a smart time for innovation” in the places-to-eat industry, said Tim Stock, co-founder of scenarioDNA, a consulting firm that analyzes trends and uses the social sciences to better perceive the long-term of customers. “Due to the ability limitations, indoor foods will have to be smaller, more intimate and more fluid reports in their offerings. “
Airlines and hotels that have been heavily affected by the pandemic may be forced to merge to lower prices and remain viable, a progression that results directly from the script for a futuristic comedy series that debuted in May on Amazon Prime. Upload “takes position in 2033, when passengers are nearly crowded with passengers aboard the merged airline Frontier Spirit United.
Other brands merged on the screen come with Nokia Taco Bell and Google Samsung. That’s an exaggeration, said Schenker, who predicts fewer brands overall.
“We probably wouldn’t have that many airlines in five years, and we probably wouldn’t have that many hotel chains in five years,” said Schenker of The Future After COVID.
“We probably wouldn’t have that many retail chains in five years,” he added. “We can also start seeing similar things in academia in the window of five or ten years. “
More than ever, closures have forced workers, buyers and employers to ask serious questions about the need for grocery stores and offices:
Why get in your car to go paint or buy if you can do your homework and do your shopping at home with a phone and a computer?If you own a business, do you want to pay the rent for all those houses so that painters can paint every day?
“We may not go back in time now that other people have learned that work, school or buying a home are very practical for the lifestyle,” Schenker said.
Similarly, schools may also find that they can generate profits at a particularly lower cost by making greater investment in online courses and degrees, possibly resulting in a greater selection of academics in a higher education market “than traditionally a guild,” Schenker said.
Add more synthetic intelligence and you will surely ask new questions about the nature of paintings and education. Manufacturing work will continue to be threatened due to increased automation, Stock said. driverless transport.
“The list of jobs that will be taken over through AI is developing rapidly,” Stock said. “Long-term paintings will be based on creativity and analysis, very acute human skills. Which leads us to close the cycle to figure out how to teach this?In Zoom?”
The Spanish influenza pandemic of 1918 ushered in more medical research, hygiene habits, and even bans on smoking in public places that did not exist before but have remained in place thereafter. -They have done it too, and not just out of concern about germs in the air. In recent months, western states have been hit by poor air quality due to wildfires and smog disruptions exacerbated by global warming.
“Ultimately, the preference for blank air will migrate to the structure systems we take for granted,” Stock said. “It will be expected in schools, homes and workplaces. “
Meanwhile, national debt rises to $30 trillion with no sign of a cut, regardless of who wins november’s presidential election. This perspective bodes well for those who have invested in gold, as valuable steel will be more valuable over time than the United States. This year, gold soared at record costs of more than $2,000 consistent with the ounce.
“I don’t know if I can present a very optimistic case (for gold) when I’ve already noticed that it was accumulating so much, but it’s very difficult to present a bearish case,” Schenker said.
Local malls that are dead or dying are not just imaginable candidates to become e-commerce distribution centers for Amazon.
“By 2025, they are most likely diabetes clinics and puppy care spaces,” said Antonia Ward, global director of counseling at Stylus, a trending intelligence agency.
Former shopping malls may also include food delivery kitchens, small production plants, or more PGA Tour supermarkets, which provide practical golf reports delivered through Amazon.
Some pedestrian-friendly shopping centers will attract consumers with the right mix of gifts and experiences, adding catering A great explanation for this is that other people will be envious and value social interaction and public gatherings because they feel more remote. to work, buy and be informed at home.
“I think you’ll charge more to get out
The allocation of a $5 billion stadium near Los Angeles Airport, home of the NFL’s Rams and Chargers, is a possible magnet. This new stadium debuted recently without fan permission due to the pandemic. It will have commercial space, offices and concerts on approximately three hundred acres, all of which were part of the primary allocations that had been established prior to the spread of the coronavirus.
“The next 12 months will probably be a little risky, even the next 24 months,” Schenker said of the enthusiasts allowed in the stadium. “In five years, other people will pack this puppy. “
Follow journalist Brent Schrotenboer @Schrotenboer. Email: bschrotenb@usatoday. com