British Columbia’s reputation as a successful coronavirus in Canada appears to be on the ice.
The number of instances in the province has increased particularly in recent weeks, with 236 new instances registered over a 72-hour period.
These peak numbers have been observed in British Columbia since April.
The recovery is causing great fear on the part of aptitude and politicians, who warn that additional enforcement measures are being glimpsed on the horizon.They expressed fear that if B.C. continues this trend, there will soon be more new cases of COVID-19 than at the last peak of the pandemic.
But what is this sudden spike?
The age organization of the new instances of COVID-19 has changed, only in British Columbia, but in much of Canada.
In C.People over the age of 30 to 39 represent a disproportionate number of infections in the province.
Health Minister Adrian Dix and provincial fitness officials Bonnie Henry and Reka Gustafson said personal parties inside and wider social bubbles were the main points that accumulated in the number of instances.
“The water digs up the leak, the sand digs up that area and COVID will place where it can go.Originally, he went to marginalized populations and nursing homes because that’s where he is,” said Colin Furness, infection control epidemiologist and assistant professor at the university.Toronto.
“It is now being imposed among other young people who are adopting riskiesr behaviors.”
Despite public health calls, the message that occasional parties on giant teams were fully fulfilled.Over the weekend of August 14-16, crowds once piled up as a DJ at Vancouver’s Granville Mall and flocked to Wreck Beach.
While outdoor parties are frustrating, fitness officials have said the “greatest danger” lies in the giant personal parties inside, which also take a position in the scenes.
Just as demographics have changed, public messages about fitness should also be focused, said Dr. Isaac Bogoch, an infectious disease specialist founded at Toronto General Hospital.
“We want a public fitness intervention aimed at other people in their twenties,” he said, adding that occupational hazards can also be at stake here.
“BEFORE JC, it’s not stupid, they’re rampant. But much of that requires network support.The network participation you want is broad, but it also includes others in their twenties.”
But, as Furness points out, “home parties can’t necessarily be everything.”
All the first coronaviruses in Canada were connected to travel.
In British Columbia, it was first assumed that the province’s proximity to Asia and the increased volume of flights from China made it especially vulnerable to the virus.Genomic Analysis The Department of Health traced the first cases from the province to Washington state, which British Columbia has on the Canada-U.S. border, and a strain known as “Eastern European and Canadian.”
Although eastern Canada is not explained as a specific province or city, Furness believes they are likely to be travelers from countries like Ontario at the time.
Data from the British Columbia Provincial Health Services Authority show whether the cases are similar to foreign travel, but to the country; however, more than a dozen domestic flights between Vancouver and cities such as Toronto, Winnipeg and Calgary have been reported as possible exhibitions.sites since early August.
“Overall, they make up a small proportion of infections in British Columbia,” Gustafson told Global News.”We have no indication that the existing transmission in British Columbia is particularly affected by interprovincial travel.”
But Furness said it was imaginable for the style to be repeated now.
“There is already an established trend here of cases coming from east to Vancouver that make things worse,” Furness said.”That’s the fundamental reality.”
The complicated component now is to quantify it, he said, adding that a “regulatory gap” can simply be an obstacle.
Air operators are required to log calls from all users on board an aircraft, however there is no federal legal responsibility to submit passenger manifests to Transport Canada. user who booked the ticket, but not necessarily the call and touch data of the user who actually flew.
Before Christ, ministers have recently pressured the federal government to demand that airlines provide more main points to stimulate unsuccessful contact-seeking efforts.
It is imaginable that this knowledge is gathered through the provincial fitness office, Furness said, but it is difficult to say how much and what quality, especially if it is not made public.
“If you’re in British Columbia and you have a total list of cases and you ask airlines how many of those other people have come to Canada, you can’t answer that question,” Furness said.
“This will have to happen. People don’t need to go abroad and can’t go to the United States right now.In fact, it’s hard to say.”
The speed at which the province has begun to reopen could also have made the province tempting for travelers, Furness said.
Cases declined more rapidly in British Columbia, and the number of cases fell to a figure in June, allowing the province to reopen indoor restaurants and bars.
B.C., the government does not require Canadian citizens who have traveled to the Canadian province to isolate the.
“You probably feel safe for other Canadians because there are so many COVID,” Furness said.”But COVID evolves with people, it doesn’t have its own wings.My position is that any vacation is a bad concept right now, and maybe that’s what we’re seeing happen.”
We have to be “realistic” about the spread of the virus in any province, Bogoch and Furness agree.
It was about two months ago that British Columbia made the decision to reopen its economy, faster than the maximum of other provinces.”It is imaginable that what we are seeing now is symptomatic of non-compliance with the fitness protocols, since the provinces are part of this.”new normality, ” said Furness.
“BEFORE JC, having very little prevalence of COVID meant they couldn’t get away with it, open bars and other things.People were like, ‘Look, British Columbia did it and they didn’t see a raise, Alberta did it and did not see a raise,'” he said.
“But it will take more than two weeks to see the increases… Not every case translates into more cases.Maybe that’s that two-month era where we see the results.”
Many cases in Canada have connected to public options and in British Columbia.It’s no different.
The building in B.C. may very well be in other provinces over time, Bogoch said.
“It’s simple to point your finger at,” he says.
“Never mind, the reasons. As long as others gather in larger teams and indoor environments and are very close to others, the result will be an increase in the number of cases, whether it’s house parties, schools, factories, grocery stores or restaurants.»
But “the face of B.C.net out of control spread right now, ” said Furness.
“However, this will raise doubts about what is working.”
– with the Canadian press