As the Covid-19 virus spreads around the world, governments around the world have closed or limited their borders in an attempt to curb the spread. As various chain-of-origin disorders also arise in key areas, such as non-public protective equipment, enthusiasts, and other medical equipment, there is a growing fear that the golden age of globalization is coming to an end, as countries embrace a more insular system. a nationalist technique for post-covid life.
In a recent article, I argued that this would exacerbate the demanding economic situations they faced as a result of the pandemic, due to the strong and lasting contribution of migrants to the wealth and energy of their host communities. In fact, the bond is so strong that even undocumented immigrants contribute much more to the local economy than they consume in public services.
As has happened lately, the pandemic is mitigating many pre-crisis trends, and an article from Harvard Business School in early 2020 calls for less difficult migration policies to help rejuvenate an economy that many think is escaping. into a recession. As this recession is now almost inevitable, those emotions apply even more.
But are fears about long-term relief from foreign mobility justified? New studies from the University of Sydney suggest that our considerations would possibly be unjustified.
Researchers went back in history to practice the influence of a wide variety of primary occasions, from wars to civil unrest, from pandemics to recessions, to find out if those “black swan” occasions resulted in a long-term. discounts on the move, or rather if those occasions led to greater mobility.
The cause of the studies was World War II, which resulted in the largest movement of others in the history of Europe, some of whom were notoriously forced, but many did not. In fact, the authors note that millions of Europeans settled in Australia in the decades after 1945.
They also cite the Syrian confrontation in 2015-16, which displaced more than 4 million people who fled to many countries around the world in search of shelter. They also highlight how the Ebola epidemic has led to widespread resettlement, whether transient or permanent.
“While the borders of many countries are now closed, making migration virtually impossible, a post-pandemic global situation can be very different,” the researchers explain. “Epidemics are examples of broader contagion phenomena that also come with social segregation,” infodemias”: waves of misinformation and social unrest.”
Research suggests that when faced with a risk or opportunity, we tend to seek an advantage, avoid dangers, or even do both. In the post-Covid world, this can precipitate a movement of other people to countries considered refuges from the disease, or that at least seemed to take good care of things, such as Germany and South Korea.
The authors acknowledge that their paintings have been made in a context in which many governments have called for restrictions on migration, at least after the pandemic, as countries seek to recover from the economic and aptitude of the pandemic. Despite this, it is possible for others affected by any of these disorders to consider resettlement as a viable, if not logical, step.
“We have shown that large-scale collective behaviors, such as migration, can result from very small adjustments in human decision-making,” the researchers explain. “In other words, even if Americans only think again about their risks, their combined movements can provide a turning point in terms of population resettlement.”
Perhaps it is fair to say that the Ebola epidemic and the resulting migration adjustments will pale in comparison to Covid-19, especially since there are few countries that have not been affected by the virus this year. As such, the researchers say that global and regional migration can actually be stimulated through the virus.
This promises to be significant in what it can offer to foreign cooperation. It is well known in the world of startups, for example, that migrants have a tendency to cooperate, invest and recruit more in their home countries, thus fostering greater collaboration between nations.
The Global Risk Report of the previous World Economic Forum this year reiterated its fear that global cooperation in the biggest unrest facing humanity may be at risk, so continued migration will be key to achieving this.
A sign of the perspective that remains on the table comes from a recent through the University of Eastern Finland, which explored cooperation in regions that go beyond foreign borders.
The studies used a combination of surveys and statistical knowledge to assess the good fortunes of cross-border cooperation around the world. Particular attention has been paid to the bureaucracy of innovation-related cooperation, such as science and studies and development. For this purpose, parameters such as the number of condominiums and co-publications were measured.
In the cross-border region of Cascadia, such cooperation is remarkably rare, with little clinical effects of collaboration between the United States and Canada. It was a discovery that surprised the researchers.
“The economic profiles of Seattle and Vancouver are very similar and there is a collaboration in development between the two. This inspires cross-border cooperation, but it is still very rare for partners across the border,” they say.
Unfortunately, such a situation is not limited to the border regions of North America, with effects emerging from European border areas.
“While cross-border cooperation in the European Union and its adjacent spaces is supported, for example, through the Interreg and ENI programmes, the effects have remained modest in terms of cooperation in the fields of science, studies and product development,” scholars. Continued. “For example, patents filed as a result of cross-border cooperation are rare.”
For example, the Eresund region connects Sweden and Denmark, and is cited as the best example of external cooperation, however, even this region produces relatively few innovation-based effects, with some notable exceptions, such as medicine.
The authors believe that their paintings highlight the huge gulf between the rhetoric of cross-border cooperation introduced through policy makers and truth in terms of transparent and concrete results.
We are at a time when the rhetoric of cooperation is beginning to falter. Let us hope that the evidence of the afterlife remains true and that the movement of others that has enriched the world so much over the coming century will continue, even as the temptation to close borders and cut off the engines of growth grows.
I am a free-living human being who believes that the long term already exists, if we know where to look. From the Wisdom District of London, my project in life is
I am a free-living human being who believes that the long term already exists, if we know where to look. From London’s bustling Knowledge Quarter, my life project is to track those things and bring them to a wider audience. I am an innovation consultant, writer, futurist of Katerva and writer of The 8-Step Guide to Building a Social Workplace. I have worked in the public and personal sectors, helping organizations detect desirable projects and running from around the world to assist in the innovation process. With a graduate degree in computer science, my articles will bring you complex topics in an easy-to-understand way that will allow you to bring new perspectives to your work, and perhaps even to your life.