With Myah Ward’s
ADD IT – As the country approached Covid’s 200,000 deaths this weekend, a cancer death overshadowed them all. The pandemic is already receding in the context of the 2020 presidential election when Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died, which raised a hypothesis about his successor, fitness attention issues and other policies, and what all this means for Biden’s case opposed to Trump.
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But the pandemic is still here. The country will record this 200,000th Covid death today, according to Johns Hopkins’ tracker. This toll is about one-fifth of the global total approaching one million.
It is also above the initial projections of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, a style that influenced the White House at the beginning of the pandemic. Covid would earn between 38,000 and 162,000 American lives, some 81,000.
Less than two weeks later, the IHME reduced its high-level projection to 136,000 deaths, as states set rest orders and others stopped traveling, dining out, cutting their hair and going to buy grocery stores or movie theaters. “The modeling industry, myself included, felt the worst was us,” said Ali Mokdad, a fitness metric science teacher at IHME.
This was not the case. The country has passed estimates after estimates. The term “sinister milestone” in the headlines is not so unusual that we have banned it at Nightly. The country recorded 50,000 deaths on April 24, 100,000 deaths on May 29 and 150,000 deaths on August 1, according to Johns Hopkins.
Mokdad defended the IHME model, saying that the organization had its initial projections on knowledge in China, South Korea, Italy and Spain, countries where others followed competitive blocking rules, governments instituted mask protection orders and isolation measures were favorable. America is never absolutely blocked.
Then, under the president’s political pressure and fears of continued economic devastation, the maximum states lifted partial closures: many governors did not demand masks, nor did they order Covid’s patients to quarantine away from their families, they left the bars closed long before the virus. new case detection and detection has been implemented.
“When you look at the Chinese, they did what they were told to do,” said Mokdad, a former CDC officer. “Here, the CDC wasn’t doing what we know we do. “
At the beginning of the pandemic, some other figure attracted a lot of attention: 2. 2 million, the number of deaths in the United States predicted through an organization of Imperial College London if the virus spread across the country. last week’s pandemic, saying the country is well below that projection.
“If the paintings were made not so good, you would be between 1. 5 million (I don’t forget the numbers of the units so well) and 2. 2 million,” he said. “It’s a difference. “
It’s a topic of discussion that we’ll see a lot, especially in the run-up to Election Day, even though conservatives have criticized the original review. The Imperial College exam represented an unrealistic situation in which other people would do nothing about it. the accumulation of deaths and that Covid’s remedies would not improve, but alarming figures forced the UK to abandon a collective immunity strategy and led the Us to lock it up.
The paintings are still finished. The fact that other disorders have overshadowed Covid means the virus is in the past.
IHME made a smart prediction: deaths would peak on April 16, when 2,309 Americans died from the virus, according to estimates.
Since then, Covid-related mortality rates have declined, but the daily number of Covid deaths in the United States has never fallen below 550. On average, nearly another 1,000 people die each day of this month, according to Johns Hopkins.
IHME, now in its third edition of its model, shows that virus deaths will start to multiply around Election Day if restrictions continue to be minimized and other people don’t wear masks. The trajectory continues. Cases can simply skyrocket as winter moves in and other people move indoors, surpassing previous tolls. The organization expects the country to have 378,000 deaths through the end of 2020 if existing trfinish continue. for deaths in December, if we continue on that path.
About 7 million Americans are known to have become inflamed so far, an insufficient count of five to ten, said Joshua Weitz, professor of quantitative biosciences at Georgia Tech. “It’s closer to 0 than the end of an epidemic. “
Welcome to POLITICO Nightly: Coronavirus Special Edition. OK, I won the message. It’s time to start watching Schitt’s Creek. Contact [email protected] or on Twitter at @renurayasam.
NOT BEFORE FEEDING – Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell once came close to being fired by President Trump for not doing enough to bring america’s economy to life. But it’s not the first time Today, he has a decent chance of keeping his job, regardless of who is elected president. , writes monetary services journalist Victoria Guida. la presidency of the Fed would shake up global markets.
Maintaining stability would also be a prime focus for Democrat Joe Biden. And under Powell’s leadership, the central bank unveiled a radical new policy that sells profits from “large-scale and inclusive” tasks, a paramount popularity that central bank assistance deprived Americans – in line with Biden’s call to the Fed to combat racial inequality.
Powell has also cultivated allies on both sides of the aisle, meeting with lawmakers about 250 times since he took the central bank rate from February 2018 to July, according to his non-public calendars. He received bipartisan praise for his movements on the pandemic, adding from Trump, who called him the “most advanced player” in government, a remarkable change from a president who publicly abused him for more than a year for not cutting interest rates.
HHS SHAKEUP . . . AGAIN – Trump management today got rid of the two main links between the White House and the Department of Health, leaving HHS staff secretary Alex Azar as the de facto staff leader, according to 3 other people familiar with White House Liaison Emily Newman and his deputy Catherine Granito will move full-time to Voice of America’s parent organization HHS Chief of Staff Brian Harrison said today as the voice of America’s senior executive.
Newman has already spent more than 3 months detailed at the Global Media Agency as Chief of Staff, meaning that Granito, an undergraduate student at the University of Michigan as recently as this spring, had been guilty of the fitness branch while playing a role in politics. progression in the midst of an Array pandemic writes fitness reporter Dan Diamond.
The resolution to reassign Newman and Granite was taken together through the White House and the Department of Health, two others close to the situation said. The White House Liaison Office at HHS has historically acted as an intermediary for workers’ resolutions, Azar’s team. has gained little warnings about many recent worker movements, they said.
The recommendation is changing: THE CDC has reversed its position on whether the coronavirus is suspended in the air, days after the warning that the virus spreads to the maximum commonly through the air and is more contagious than the firm had suggested in the past, a fitness journalist writes. Brianna Ehley. La editor explaining that the virus is air-streaming, published friday, was a “provisional edition” posted on the firm’s online page by mistake, according to a note published this morning. “The CDC is recently updating its recommendations for air transmission. SARS-CoV-2,” the memorandum says, adding that a Friday language edition will be published once the procedure is completed.
“It was a mistake on the component of our firm and I apologize on behalf of the CDC,” said John Brooks, CDC’s leading emergency response medical officer Covid-19, in a call today with local and state fitness providers and officials. “We weren’t in a position to set it up. “
The agency now focuses on the threat of close person-to-person contact, as it did before Friday’s change. This is the “main mode” of transmission, Brooks said.
CDC reversal occurs as the country prepares for the flu season and cooler fall and winter temperatures that are likely to cause many others to spend more time indoors, increasing their threat of exposure to the virus.
Nightly asks: As cooler weather arrives in much of the United States, Nightly’s team has found that the fall and winter holidays seem to be beginning to implement the pandemic. Have you or your neighbors place early decorations for Halloween or Thanksgiving (maybe even Christmas) Send us your photos to [email protected], and we’ll come with some photos in our Friday edition.
BIG HOLIDAYS – Only a handful of states can make a decision about who will become the next president. In politico’s most recent news, reporters from across the country, adding Tim Alberta, Elena Schneider, Holly Otterbein and Michael Kruse, which will take trump and Biden to convince the fullest of critical voters.
BRITONS ON ALERT – The ALERT point for UK coronavirus is expected to increase from 3 to four, the first replacement since June, writes Andrew McDonald. Level four is the highest point of the moment, which means that transmission of the virus is “high or is increasing exponentially”. . ” Level 3 means that the virus is in “general circulation”. Level 5, the highest point, would mean that there was a “significant threat that fitness would be overcome. “
The resolution was taken through the Medical Chiefs of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. In a joint statement, they said: “After an era of covid-declining cases and deaths, the number of cases is expanding now and probably exponentially into giant portions of the four countries.
The British are awaiting the planned new blockade restrictions, which are expected to be announced separately for nations in the coming days. At a press conference this morning, senior UK fitness officials Patrick Vallance and Chris Whitty warned that the UK can see up to 50,000 new cases a day until mid-October. Vallance said knowledge recommends that about 6,000 more people a day get the infection.
ALWAYS NOTORIOUS: In the most recent episode of Check In 2020, Eugene Daniels talks to Washington’s leading correspondent Ryan Lizza about how the fight for the next SCOTUS justice will be the presidential map and the Senate war.
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