Watch USD/CNH as China’s slowdown accelerates

Today’s PMI data shows a contraction in both output and services, according to economists, characteristic of the ruling Communist Party’s hardliners on Covid-19.

(Video transcript)

Today there is more evidence of a slowdown in the Chinese economy, basically due to the Communist Party’s attempts to try to eliminate Covid-19.

And this 0 Covid policy continues and goes up in some data.

Let’s take a look at what we saw today, as we saw China’s NBS production PMI fall to 49. 2 in October from 50. 1 in September, without the forecast of a reading of 50.

Now, those are the lowest readings since Covid restrictions hit production and exports, and anything below 50 indicates contraction. This will contribute negatively to the slowdown in the economy.

The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 48. 7 from 50. 6 last month, the first contraction in the sector since May.

There are two tactics to exchange this.

First of all, this chart here, showing the appreciation of the US dollar against the offshore Chinese yuan, the third direct gain.

And indeed, if we close at those levels, it will be a record for the offshore Chinese yuan-backed dollar at 73205. We saw it above this intraday we saw on Tuesday of last week. But this upward momentum is significant and is not just the strength of the US dollar, but now highlights this weakness within the Chinese economy.

And that’s not the only way to industrialize that. The other way to industrialize is to take a look at some of the base metals where it has accumulated due to Chinese enthusiasm for structure and infrastructure projects and make sure other people are active. in the economy

But since Covid, there has been this pullback and indeed today we have a new impression of decline that was noticed, and it is the lowest point observed since December 3.

So we are very close to 11-month lows, not only for iron ore but also for other base metals. This Chinese knowledge is exacerbating the downturn in many sectors of the economy.

Please also note that the data implies a recording of our trading prices, nor an offer or solicitation of a transaction on any monetary instrument. All expressed perspectives and revisions are subject to replacement without update.

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