Ukraine scenario report: Russian strategic missile facility attacked

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On Wednesday, a video surfaced on social media showing what is believed to be this attack in progress.

“The Russians published a video from the box showing drone movements hitting the meeting and building of the diversity of the army in the Akhtubinsk district,” Ukrainian media outlet Militinaryi reported. The video shows black smoke rising from the construction, followed by the sound of an explosion. , with a flash of light leading to a cloud of black and brown smoke.

On July 9, Ukrainian drone strikes targeted the prominent central interspecies testing site of Russia’s fourth state “Kapustin Yar,” near Znamensk in southern Russia’s Astrakhan Oblast. A Ukrainian drone hit a construction site on the territory of “Site 105”, belonging to the. . . pic. twitter. com/aky5xSyaUU

– Status-6 (Military News and Conflicts) (@Archer83Able) July 9, 2024

The Russian independent newspaper Astra reported that several drone attacks had occurred at the facility and in the region.

“Nine drones attacked the territory of military unit 15644 near Znamensk, where the Kapustin Yar army educational center is located. In April of this year, an intercontinental ballistic missile was tested there,” Astra reported on its Telegram channel. Territory of military unit 15650 In Akhtubinsk. No there is data on the damage caused to the military apparatus or on the victims. “

In addition, “a few hours later, the remains of an air defense missile fell on the territory of the section of the Ministry of Internal Affairs in the Akhtubinsky district. According to sources, 30 police officers and two detainees had to be evacuated. There were no casualties. “

Astra released two videos showing black-painted UJ-26 Beaver drones buzzing toward the facility.

A black long-range “Bober” attack drone operated through Ukraine made the impression today in Astrakhan Oblast, in southern Rusia. pic. twitter. com/DLQRM2iDVR

– Status-6 (Military News and Conflicts) (@Archer83Able) July 9, 2024

One of those drones shot down in the Volgograd region using electronic warfare measures, the Russian Rezervsvo Telegram channel claimed. Volgograd is adjacent to the Oblast containing Kapustin Yar, and any drone introduced from Ukraine would likely have to fly over this region to be successful. the missile testing range.

Objects in #ruZZia territory were attacked with black-painted Beaver strategic attack drones

pic. twitter. com/750ajT8q4D

– Northern Lights

(@aborealisnine40) July 9, 2024

The district leader called it an attack but said no damage was caused.

On the morning of July 9, “in the Akhtubinsky district, Ukronazis carried out an attack on infrastructure drones,” Vladimir Mikhed said on his Telegram channel. “Thanks to the surveillance of the population of the region, which temporarily reported the presence of flying objects, as well as the coordinated movements of reconnaissance teams and cannons of law enforcement, they managed to effectively repel the enemy attack with more of 20 drones. There are no victims, injuries or destruction in the area.

Satellite data captured through NASA’s Fire Information System for Resource Management (FIRMS) shows fires burning about 6 miles northeast of the facility, but this may also be the result of on-site testing or wildfires. However, the timing of those fires, the A chimney hurt the premises and the attacks committed would be a wonderful coincidence.

Planet Labs footage shows more burn marks at a facility about nine miles northeast of the construction in the video.

The fourth missile test range at Kapustin Yar began testing rockets shortly after World War II, firing German A-4 rockets. Since then, it has been used to test intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), cruise missiles and anti-satellite guns. According to RussianSpaceWeb. com. It is not known whether traditional launch systems and weapons are still controlled there.

In April, the Russians presented on Forces. net what would be the last edition of the Topol intercontinental ballistic missile, known as Topol-ME.

Russia appears to have conducted a control flight of an intercontinental ballistic missile (in all likelihood an SS-27 Mod 1 (Topol-ME)) from Kapustin Yar to Kazakhstan. If so, it would be the second time in a year that Kazakhstan has violated their rights. commitment under the #TPNW Treaty not to assist in nuclear missile controls. https://t. co/EY7dhiyKZD pic. twitter. com/OaiKSnoqte

– Hans Kristensen (@nukestrat) April 13, 2024

The attack on Kapustin Yar is part of a series of Ukrainian efforts targeting Russian strategic infrastructure.

Last month, Ukraine used U. S. -made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) short-range ballistic missiles to target NIP-16 deep area communications in Vitino, Crimea.

The site is now officially known as the 40th Separate Command and Measurement Complex and is a component of the Russian Air Force’s Titov Main Space Systems Test and Control Center, according to Ukrainian media outlet Militanaryi.   It was originally built during the Cold War to track Russian space launches.

In April, we reported that Ukraine had attacked a Russian strategic early warning radar site in the southwestern corner of the country. It was particularly destroyed in a drone attack. It was the first attack of its kind on a site similar to Russia’s overall strategic defense. .

An attack on Kapustin Yar may simply imply that Ukraine remains interested in attacking Russian strategic infrastructure.

It would also make sense for Ukraine to be a target if the weapons used or intended to be used in Russia’s long-range movement crusade against Ukraine were being developed there. Ukraine has already targeted weapons production and war production centers.

Before delving into other developments in the conflict in Ukraine, readers of The War Zone can learn about our past policy here.

On the battlefield, Russia continues its offensive operations along the lines and makes some small territorial gains in Kharkiv and Donetsk provinces.

Kharkiv Oblast: Russian forces have recently massed in central Vovchansk across the Vovcha River amid incessant fighting north and northeast of the city of Kharkiv, according to the most recent assessment by the Institute for the Study of War.

Luhansk Oblast: Russian forces recently massed northwest of Kreminna amid continued Russian attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.

Donetsk Oblast: Russian forces have recently made several small gains. Geotagged photographs released on July 10 show Russian forces massing to the south, toward the northern outskirts of Pivdenne, southeast of Toretsk. They are also concentrated in some spaces west of Avdiivka, as well as west and southwest of the city of Donetsk. Russian forces carried out limited attacks northeast of Siversk, near Bilohorivka; east of Siversk, near Verkhnokamianske; southeast of Siversk, near Vyimka and Spirne; and south of Siversk, near Rozdolivka, as well as in the direction of Shasiv Yar, there was still no advance.

Border between Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia: Russian forces continued with limited attacks near Urozhaine and Makarivka (both south of Velyka Novosilka) on July 10, but advanced.

Zaporizhia Oblast: There have been no adjustments to the front line in western Zaporizhia Oblast despite ongoing positional fighting.

Kherson Oblast: Positional clashes continued on the eastern (left) bank of the Dnieper River, near Krynky, and on the islands in the river delta.

Russian forces have recently massed in Vovchansk, near Kreminna and Toretsk.

(1/4) https://t. co/iCw1PGVVi5pic. twitter. com/tOQWNv8Cni

– Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) July 11, 2024

“Ukraine faces difficult months of fighting, but the scenario on the front is heightened this spring,” said Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, after a recent stop in Ukraine. “What is of most concern is the state of Ukraine’s air defense and the damage to the force network caused by Russian attacks. »

“Ukraine’s scenario in terms of manpower, fortifications and ammunition is improving,” he said. “Russian forces are advancing in Donetsk and deserve to make further progress, but they have not been able to take advantage of the Kharkiv offensive to achieve a primary breakthrough. »

The Kharkiv front “has stabilized and the general balance of forces is favorable to Moscow. ” Meanwhile, Russia “focuses on the following directions: Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Ocheretyne-Pokrovsk and, to a lesser extent, Kupyansk. “

As Ukraine increases its ability to build forces, “addressing the shortage of hard work will take time,” Kofman wrote. “Russian forces will most likely continue to advance in the coming months, especially in Donetsk. The next two months will be especially difficult.

Despite the prospects, it will take time to address the shortage of hard work. Russian forces are expected to continue advancing in the coming months, specifically in Donetsk. The next two months will be especially difficult. 4/

— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) July 10, 2024

A bigger problem, however, is the lack of air defense, either short-range air defense systems (SHORADS) to cover the front lines and long-range systems “for cities, critical infrastructure and rear areas. “

“Ukraine has very little shortage of ammunition for older Soviet systems, while production rates for Russian drones and missiles have increased significantly,” Kofman noted. “An air defense deficit has led to widespread recognition of Russian drones on the front lines and higher success rates in strikes. »

Ukraine has very little shortage of ammunition for older Soviet systems, while Russian missile and drone production rates have increased significantly. An air defense deficit has led to widespread recognition of Russian UAS on the front lines and higher success rates in attacks. 7/

— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) July 10, 2024

Looking ahead, the biggest challenge for Ukraine “is Russia’s attack campaign,” Kofman explained. “As Shahed-type drones become easier to intercept, Russian airstrikes become more complicated and Russian missile production rates are higher, especially compared to 2022. “

Ukraine will need 16 gigawatts of electrical power this winter,” Kofman said. “With some optimism, 12 GW will be produced. To achieve this, a combination of higher imports and many MW-level gas pools will be necessary. It will be discovered in articles like this one here: https://forum-energii. eu/en/ukraine-destroyed-system.

Ukraine wants about 16 GW this winter and will optimistically produce 12 GW. Achieving this will require a combination of increased imports and many MW-level gas pools. More main points can be discovered in articles like this one here: https://t. co/NlAa1v24El 23/

— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) July 10, 2024

The United States will supply Ukraine with another Patriot battery from its existing stockpiles, the Pentagon announced Thursday afternoon. It is part of a presidential retirement authorization program valued at $225 million. This will be the moment when the American Patriot formula arrives in Ukraine.

The fact that the United States is offering Ukraine an existing Patriot battery is a big deal given their limited numbers and the number already committed to the Middle East and elsewhere.

Concerns about what the limited number of Patriots roles means for the prospect of adequately protecting U. S. forces deployed overseas, as well as on U. S. soil, while still responding to a primary eventuality, are considerations of senior U. S. military officials, as well as the War Zone, has been attracting attention for some time. You can read more about this in our in-depth research here.

The 61st PDA, announced after US President Joe Biden met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the NATO Summit in Washington D. C. , includes:

•    Ammunition for National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS);•    Stinger anti-aircraft missiles;•    Ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS);•    155 mm and 105 mm artillery projectiles;•   Tube launch, optical tracking missiles, devices and wire-guided (TOW);•   Javelin and AT-4 anti-armor systems;•   small arms ammunition;•   demolition ammunition; and•    Spare parts and other auxiliary devices.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen advised that her country send all its air defense systems to Ukraine.

“Several months ago we entrusted all our artillery to Ukraine. For what? Because it will be used more in Ukraine than in Denmark. And now we have to do the same with air defense,” Frederiksen said at the NATO summit in Washington. according to the Voice of America Telegram channel.

Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has reportedly called for Ukraine to be offered all of Denmark’s air defense systems. He made the announcement at the NATO summit in Washington, noting that in the past Denmark had to hand over all its artillery to Ukraine because. . . pic. twitter. com/3BUtksVDcs

— CHRISTMAS REPORTS

(@NOELreports) July 11, 2024

Zelensky and Romanian President Klaus Iohannis signed a security cooperation agreement between Ukraine and Romania.

“Romania will transfer a Patriot formula to Ukraine, it will continue to our country. . . and will facilitate the immediate transit of all mandatory aircraft through its territory to Ukraine,” according to Zelensky’s office.

“A key detail of this agreement is the express issues of cooperation aimed at strengthening security in the Black Sea region. Romania will help Ukraine clear the Black Sea of mines through EU and NATO tools. “

Bucharest, along with its partners, “will also be the F-16 educational center for the preparation of Ukrainian pilots, thus contributing to the Air Force Capability Coalition,” according to Zelensky’s office. “Romania will be the defense industry of our country. “

In Washington, Ukraine and Romania signed a defense agreement under which Romania will move Patriot systems to Ukraine. The countries will also work together to ensure security in the Black Sea region. Specifically, Romania will assist with the demining of the Black Sea, providing. . . pic. twitter. com/LMecIfh3fl

— CHRISTMAS REPORTS

(@NOELreports) July 2024

Canada has announced that it will expand the education of Ukrainian pilots as they obtain their first F-16s. In addition, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Canada plans to dedicate another $366 million in military aid to Ukraine this year, Canadian news channel CBC reported.

“The additional money, most of the planned $4 billion in arms and ammunition that Canada has already pledged and donated, came following a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the Washington summit,” the publication said. .

Canada plans to devote more than C$500 million ($360 million) to additional military aid to Ukraine this year. The budget would go primarily to the NATO-led effort to supply long-term military to Ukraine. Canada will also expand its education of Ukrainian pilots. pic. twitter. com/y4DmhFMCCZ

– OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) July 11, 2024

Ukraine continues to pressure U. S. officials to allow the use of donated weapons at Russian airfields.

“We are working on a resolution that does not depend directly on NATO or the United States,” Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said on television, according to the Odessa Journal. “This will be discussed in contacts with US officials and some of our closest partners. “

Kuleba asked for permission to attack Russian airfields used to launch ongoing attacks on Ukrainian cities, such as the July 8 bombing that killed more than 40 people.

“It is about mercilessly destroying all military targets affected by shelling and missile attacks on Ukraine,” the minister stressed.

In May, Biden controlled the use of long-range weapons such as the M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS, against targets in Russia adjacent to the Kharkiv Oblast.

The ban on the use of the army’s tactical missile formula [ATACMS] is maintained. The Ukrainians would like to be allowed to use either formula, unlike air bases in central Russia.

Ukraine is asking the United States for permission to attack Russian army airfields with U. S. long-range weapons. Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said the position would be discussed with U. S. officials and key partners at the OTAN. pic. twitter. com/5vwXQgeZn1 summit

— CHRISTMAS REPORTS

(@NOELreports) July 9, 2024

Ukraine rejected an offer of Swedish JAS-39 Gripen fighters because it would be “too much” to accept them along with the soon-to-arrive F-16 Vipers, the Nordic nation’s foreign minister said in a recent interview.

“We have to realize that Ukraine has had the opportunity to obtain F-16 fighters, of which, of course, there are more in the NATO family,” Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billström told Wednesday. Voice of America. “After all, more other countries have F-16s than Gripen fighters. This has nothing to do with the resolution of the Swedish government. Such a resolution was made because Ukraine came to the conclusion that having two combat systems, the F- 16 and the Gripen, it was too much. “

“After all,” he added, “we’re talking about systems. It is not just about obtaining aircraft and training pilots. These are complex systems and it would be too complicated to get two up and running at the same time. “

However, Sweden remains interested in supplying Gripens to Ukraine “provided the F-16 program is completed. ” Once again, this is a matter for Ukraine, for the Swedish government,” Billstrom explained.

“As we may not continue with the Gripens due to the arrival of the F-16s, we made the decision to give Ukraine other functions that Sweden has, and we gave Ukraine ASC 890 monitoring systems,” Billstrom continued. “This means we are giving everything that Ukraine can use in coordination with the F-16 fighter jets. This will give Ukraine the opportunity to conduct increased air combat, increased surveillance and air combat. “

“I comment on those policy decisions,” Ukraine Air Force spokesman Col. Yuri Ignat told The War Zone on Thursday morning. “Perhaps this is not the case in Ukraine. “

Billstrom’s comments come on the same day that U. S. , Danish and Dutch officials announced that the transfer of the Vipers to Ukraine is now underway.

Stockholm is ready to supply Ukraine Gripen fighter jets once the “F-16 program” is completed, but the next steps will depend on Kiev, Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billström told Voice of America. https: //t. co/W7hKlaOo1Y

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) July 11, 2024

Northrop Grumman has signed a deal to manufacture weapons in Ukraine, Politico reports. This makes it the first U. S. company to take the step, one company told the news outlet.

“We will produce [weapons] in Ukraine through Ukrainians with the cooperation of a U. S. company,” Stephen O’Bryan, vice president and head of global progress at Northrop Grumman, said Thursday at the NATO Public Forum.

“O’Bryan did not reveal what weapons the company intends to produce in Ukraine,” Politico explained. “Northrop Grumman did not respond to a request for comment. “

The company signed the agreement on Wednesday at the Ukraine embassy in Washington, in the wake of the NATO summit.

https://twitter. com/LeeHudson_/status/1811444294047121733

The Russian government was planning to assassinate the executive leader of a major German arms manufacturer that produces artillery shells and military cars for Ukraine, US intelligence has found, CNN reports, citing five Americans and Westerners familiar with the episode.

“The plot was part of a series of Russian plans to assassinate defense industry executives across Europe who contributed to the Ukrainian war effort,” according to CNN, citing those sources.   “The plan to kill Armin Papperger, the white-haired goliath who headed German production in kyiv, was the most mature. “

After learning of the plot, US officials informed Germany, whose security was able to protect Papperger, CNN said.

“A senior German official demonstrated that Berlin had been warned of the plot through the United States. »

Latest exclusive: The United States and Germany have foiled a Russian plot to assassinate the executive leader of the tough German arms manufacturer Rheinmetall, which produces projectiles and devices for Ukraine. with @KatieBoLillis @fpleitgenCNN https://t. co/gKqRrQ8RSL

— Natasha Bertrand (@NatashaBertrand) July 11, 2024

The European Union expressed its support on Thursday for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s peace plan, considering it the only valid one.

“This is the position of the European Union,” said the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, at the NATO summit in Washington D. C. “The European Union as a whole supports this position. And for the European Union there is no other plan than Zelensky’s. This is the peace plan for Europeans. “

You can read more about this plan, like the one presented by Russian President Vladimir Putin, in our article here.

Borrell, head of European diplomacy: Zelensky’s peace formula exists, not otrahttps://t. co/MW7QeIeenc

— Ukrainska Pravda in English (@pravda_eng) July 11, 2024

Upset by the fatal missile attack on the Okhmatydy children’s hospital in kyiv, a Russian pilot contacted Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence Directorate (GUR) to provide the main points of the bomber unit guilty of the attack, reports Ukrainian Pravda. War Zone independently determines this statement.

The pilot shared “classified knowledge that helped Ukraine identify more than 30 commanders of a Russian heavy bomber unit,” the publication wrote.

This unit, the 22nd Heavy Bomber Aviation Division founded at Engels Air Base, is guilty of Kh-101 missile attacks on Ukrainian cities.

“The Russian pilot said he was surprised by the attack on the children’s hospital and by sharing with Ukraine documents similar to the activities of his military unit, as well as photographs of the commanders of the 22nd Heavy Bomber Division,” Ukraine’s Pravda reported. “These documents come with non-public files of senior officials and non-public knowledge about, among others, Russian military personnel and their families. “

After the attack on “Okhmatdyt”, the Russian pilot handed over the commanders’ photographs and official documents to the GUR. After the criminal attack on the children’s hospital “Okhmatdyt” in Kiev, on July 8, 2024, one of the pilots of the 22nd heavy bomber. . . pic. twitter. com/AgTq0vrgHE

— Jürgen Nauditt

(@jurgen_nauditt) July 11, 2024

Air-smuggled Kh-101 cruise missiles used through Russia to attack the children’s hospital were filled with Western-designed parts, according to the Financial Times. The ability to evade sanctions is helping Russia produce cruise missiles eight times more complex than before Russian President Vladimir Putin introduced his all-out invasion. The factor of Russian weapons containing American parts is a topic already addressed in The War Zone.

This missile “still depends on parts of Western countries, especially the United States,” Olena Bilousova, head of sanctions studies at the KSE Institute in Kiev, told the publication. “Western generations build those smarter missiles, which enable their terrorist attacks to bypass our long-suffering air defenses. “

The Kremlin’s defense sector has turned to microprocessors and other complex technologies intended for military use as sanctions have deprived it of some complex components, the Financial Times reported.

“The transition is visible in the Ukrainian study of a Kh-101 fired in January, which revealed 16 Western-made electronic components inside the missile,” the publication explains. “Two of the items were manufactured by Swiss-based STMicroelectronics, and the rest are manufactured through American chipmakers, plus Texas Instruments, Analog Devices, and Intel. All of the products are basically intended for civilian use; some of They are ancient.

A Financial Times investigation into Russian instances “shows how Russian corporations were able, in 2023, to unload parts equal to those used in January’s Kh-101 simply by buying them on the open market and loading them in China. Although the Russian documents imply that the parts were manufactured through Western manufacturers, they are all indexed as being manufactured in China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan, or Thailand. Analysis of a single shipwreck will likely underestimate the extent of Russia’s dependence on foreign countries.

An investigation provided by the Ukrainian president to the Financial Times states that “a complete Kh-101 can include more than 50 units produced abroad”.

Russia is manufacturing almost eight times as many Kh-101 missiles as it did before Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion in 2022, and still in portions of Western countries, specifically the United States. Our @FT article on the missile that destroyed the Okhmatdyt hospital https://t. co/CNKmcpKreP

– Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) July 10, 2024

An explicit condemnation of the fatal Russian missile attack on July 8 that hit Kiev’s largest children’s hospital has been blocked in the UN Security Council (UNSC) through Russia, which most recently chairs that body.

“The horrendous spectacle of relentless death and destruction brought about by Russia’s blatant aggression reached a new and dark bankruptcy yesterday. Targeting small, innocent young people in poor health with hypersonic missiles is absolutely shocking,” part of the text reads.

You can listen to the full speech here.

Russia blocked the Czech ambassador’s speech to the UN, let’s make it readable to everyone – here is the transcript and link: @CzechMFA Dear colleagues, First of all, on behalf of the Czech Republic, I would like to express my deep sadness and sadness. for the attacks on Okhmatdyt. . .

– Dietmar Pichler (@DietmarPichler1) July 9, 2024

During the emergency meeting, “several members of the Security Council categorically condemned the Russian missile attack, while the Russian delegation denied responsibility,” the Kyiv Post reported.

“If it were a Russian attack, there would be nothing left of the construction and all the young people would have been killed and not injured,” Vasily Nebenzya, Russian envoy to the UN, told the meeting.

A day after killing at least 40 more people and wounding about 200 others in missile attacks on Ukraine, Russia held a banquet to celebrate its presidency of the U. N. Security Council. The menu to send a dark message.

It’s “kyiv-style chicken” and American wine.

Russia held a dinner with Ukrainian dishes to celebrate its presidency of the UN Security Council. At the request of his presidency of the UN Security Council, where representatives of the countries discussed a major missile attack on kyiv and a children’s hospital,. . https://t. co/o1w5UY8CS9 pic. twitter. com/ 8syPoUWrec.

– NEXT (@nexta_tv) July 10, 2024

Before the Russian missile barrage hit Ukrainian cities, a fishermen’s organization in the Caspian Sea captured two sea-launched Kalibr cruise missiles that were roaring low above the water.

A video documenting the flight of two Russian Kalibr cruise missiles over the Caspian Sea in Ukraine on julio. pic. twitter. com/cxb5Sro83n 8

– Status-6 (Military News and Conflicts) (@Archer83Able) July 10, 2024

A Russian military shipment was recently sighted in the Georgian Black Sea port of Ochamchire, a sign that it is possibly seeking a safer haven for the Black Sea Fleet, Naval News reported.

“As a novelty, a Russian military detachment founded in Novorossiysk docked at the port of Ochamchire in Georgia,” the publication reports. “The port is in the Russia-controlled region of Abkhazia. The local administration, subsidized through Russia, said the Russian military would identify a permanent base at the port. »

The move is controversial, Naval News noted, “since the port is in Georgia, which involves involving Georgia in the Russo-Ukrainian war. Russia may simply try to use the port as a safe haven from attacks. And it may even “Provide a secure base from which to launch combat missions. “The characteristics of Ukraine will be confusing because it is located on Georgian territory and is controlled through separatist Abkhazia. “

Making Ochamchire a port may make it more difficult for Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels (USVs) to access. It is about six hundred miles from Ukraine-controlled territory, the easternmost component of the Black Sea. Most of the Ukrainian attacks via USVs took place in and around Crimea, about 370 miles northwest of Ochamchire.

BREAKOUT***New in the Black Sea, #La Russian Navy uses a base in Georgia#OSINThttps://t. co/XBOKkSxklJ

— SI Sutton (@CovertShores) July 10, 2024

Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) accuses the head of Ukrainian intelligence of having devised a plot to blow up the Russian aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov.

The plan began in March, according to the FSB, when a 24-year-old Russian officer working aboard the aircraft carrier was contacted via WhatsApp and Telegram messages via a Ukrainian special worker named “Oleg. “

“During telephone conversations, using mind-influence techniques – from promises abroad through false documents and payments of gigantic rewards to threats of criminal prosecution for financing the Armed Forces of Ukraine in fabricated bases – he persuaded the military man to carry out a terrorist attack on a warship,” the FSB stated without evidence.

The officer, however, reported the plot to the authorities, who played along to “document the illegal activities of ‘Oleg’ and identify possible agents and accomplices of the Kiev regime. “

“Organization of delivery of 3 high-explosive devices, disguised in gift wrapping, to the Moscow residential addresses of the heads of departments of the Russian Department of Defense, courier services”

pic. twitter. com/pvklhwNvYX

— Kvist. P

(@kvistp) July 10, 2024

To assemble an incendiary device for use on the aircraft carrier, Ukraine’s special service sent the officers’ parts via an unnamed transport and logistics company, the FSB said.

The officer “assured that without delay, after receiving a video recording confirming the fire of the cruise ship, he would be evacuated to Finland, and the cache prepared in the border area already contained the documents and budget ready for him. ”

“Oleg” said that the entire operation “was supervised” by Lieutenant General Kyruylo Budanov, head of the Ukraine Defense Intelligence Directorate (GUR), the FSB reported.

The officer sent “Oleg” a video of firefighting training aboard the ship as proof that he had accomplished his mission and later deleted the WhatsApp and Telegram accounts, the FSB reported.

The FSB’s investigation department has opened criminal proceedings against “Oleg” and “other unidentified persons,” the former KGB reported.

The defendants face life in prison for “inciting, recruiting or involving a user in the commission of a crime of a terrorist nature. ”

Ukrainian Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov, head of the GUR, denied any involvement and is unsure whether this is a genuine plot or an FSB fabrication.

“We don’t know what it is, but I can tell you it’s not our operation,” he told The War Zone.

The aircraft carrier has long been plagued by disorder and it is unclear when it will become operational.

Russia’s The_Wrong_Side (TWS) Telegram channel has a video it says shows an Iskander ballistic missile attack that destroyed two M142 high-mobility artillery rocket systems, or HIMARS vehicles.

“Intelligence agents thwarted plans through the Ukrainian Armed Forces to launch an attack with [U. S. -produced Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) short-range ballistic missiles] on the Crimean Peninsula,” he said. TWS. “This is how the movement of two HIMARS close to the agreement was detected in the Novopetrovka region of the Kherson region. ”

The Iskander “immediately attacked the positions of rocket systems that were already prepared in the past. “

In addition to the destruction of two HIMARS, TWS says cars were also destroyed and at least 20 Ukrainian infantrymen were killed.

The video shows the telltale scattering of explosive submunitions and then what could simply be an impacted vehicle engulfed in an upper spiral of flame. While we don’t know exactly what happened, those flames may simply imply that the ammunition is cooking.

War Zone independently verifies claims that the HIMARS were destroyed. However, of the more than 40 HIMARS provided through the United States to Ukraine, only one has been verified to have been destroyed (in an attack that took place in March), according to the open source monitoring organization Oryx. This figure may be higher because Oryx only counts losses for which it has visual confirmation.

An attack with Russian Iskander-M missiles with cluster munitions hit a giant convoy of the Ukrainian army. It indicates that there were two HIMARS launchers and escort vehicles in the convoy. pic. twitter. com/F5RX8wK0QT

– Crash Report (@clashreport) July 9, 2024

The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has released a video compilation of FPV drone movements on Russian equipment, adding a Tor TLAR air defense system, a Buk transloader, and many targets.

Video of the Ukrainian SBU showing errant munitions and FPV movements on a Russian Tor TLAR air defense system, a Buk transloader, an Msta-S, a motorcycle, an ATGM position, and targets. https://t. co/WfXNqSciHn pic. twitter. com/FGSxS2qFEg

– Rob Lee (@RALee85) July 10, 2024

Images of a devious Russian MT-LB have given the impression on social media. The vehicle is delivered with an armored plate welded at the front topped with a cord mesh. The rest of the vehicle is wrapped in a cage covered with a camouflage net, giving it a Mad Max vibe.

Russian MT-LB pic. twitter. com/len3BEZDty

— The Dead District

(@TheDeadDistrict) July 2024

A pair of United States-supplied Joint Extended Range Direct Attack Munitions (JDAM-ER) precision-guided bombs are observed on an ammunition cart, waiting to be ready and loaded on Soviet-era pivots and Ukraine Air Force Su-MiG-29s. . 27 flanks.

JDAM-ERS have been used in Ukraine since at least March 2023. Fulcrums and Flankers are used to use those weapons that employ specialized pylons and tablet-based systems in their cockpits.

JDAM-ER bombs provided through United States in the service of the Ukraine Air Force, placed in an ammunition cart, ready for a Ukrainian MiG-29 or Su-27 to conduct an attack remoto. pic. twitter. com/GNz7IxT1hI

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) July 11, 2024

These small Russian ships did not hold up well to a Ukrainian drone attack.

Anchoring boats is prohibited here. Ukrainian SOF operators have fined 15 Russian ships.

: @SOF_UKRpic. twitter. com/Do3qPrDGXc

– Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 10, 2024

After almost two years of incessant fighting, the mining town of Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast has been absolutely devastated, as can be seen in this video taken by Russian troops.

Russian infantrymen release the latest video from Bakhmut. The city has just been wiped off the face of the earth by other people who know only destruction. Now look at the city you live in. Can you believe the same destruction?Or do you think they probably wouldn’t do the same. . . pic. twitter. com/oBMpYL8xXP

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) July 11, 2024

Finally, the wounds of war necessarily mean that the war is over.

This Ukrainian soldier, who lost part of his weapons in this conflict, is training to pilot FPV drones and returns to combat.

Ukrainian soldier after wasting the two sets of guns to fly Ukrainian FPV drone pilots in his new state to continue the lucha. pic. twitter. com/oytIQZCLwU

— Crash (@clash) July 10, 2024

That’s all for now.

Contact the author: howard@thewarzone. com

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