President Donald Trump has exaggerated Americans’ comparative good fortune in the fight against coronavirus, falsely stating at a press conference that the per capita mortality rate in the United States is minimal than “the majority” in Western Europe. It also reported a 9% reduction in COVID-19 deaths during the following week, although knowledge shows such a decrease.
The president made his comments at a press conference on August 10 at the White House. After noticing that the US had more retirement home citizens than the UK and European countries, it turned to mortality rates.
Trump, August 10: Our country also has a consistency with the prevalence of underlying situations targeted by this virus. However, we have fewer deaths consistent with the capita than the UK and the maximum of other peer countries in Western Europe. So that’s one detail: we have fewer deaths in line with capital than in the UK and at most in other Western European countries, and we are even heading upwards in line with the figures.
Trump is right that the US, which has recorded about 50 deaths consisting of 100,000 people, has a consistent decline with the COVID-19-consistent capita mortality rate that the UK, which recorded 70 deaths consisting of 100,000 people. But it is when he adds that the same goes for “most other Western European countries.”
As of August 12, according to statistics compiled through Johns Hopkins University, the United States performed better in terms of cumulative deaths consistent with the capita than Belgium, Spain, the United Kingdom, Italy and Sweden, as well as two small micro-states: Andorra, between France and Sweden. Spain and San Marino, which is surrounded by Italy.
But the United States has also done worse than France, Ireland, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Portugal, Germany, Denmark, Monaco, Austria, Finland, Norway, Iceland and Malta. This is twice as many countries as outperforming the United States in this specific mortality measure as those with lower yields.
The next day, Trump replaced his at a press conference to exclude the region’s 3 States of New York from the country’s figures consistent with per capita deaths.
Trump, August 11: We also have fewer deaths consistent with the capita, the disastrous deaths in the region of three New York states, which has been through a very, very complicated time, and we’ve made it bigger than our Western European peer countries, thank you. to our proper and very complex medical care and capabilities, anything that the news doesn’t tell you. They don’t tell you that. They don’t like to tell you that.
It is not known why the president would remove New York, New Jersey and Connecticut from the country’s statistics and then compare the constant rate to that of other countries that do not have a disability. However, we found that when those 3 states are not included, mortality per capita in the United States improves in one more country: France.
Without the 52,794 deaths from COVID-19 and nearly 32 million others in New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut, according to figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. mortality rate falls to approximately 37 deaths consistent with 100,000 other people. This is greater than France, but no greater than the next country in Western Europe, Ireland.
And while Trump says the U.S. is “moving up in line with numbers,” it’s worth noting that the number of die-consistent deaths will only increase for countries as more and more deaths accumulate in ongoing epidemics. Given that the United States has lately more daily deaths consistent with the capita than almost all of Western Europe, it is unlikely that the United States will be able to reach its relative position in the short term.
Trump also suggests that the number of deaths in line with the U.S. capita is even more impressive because the United States has “greater consistency with the prevalence of underlying diseases targeted through this virus.”
We’ve asked the White House for that statement, but we haven’t gotten a response. However, we discovered a study that found that the United States was similar to Europe in terms of underlying situations that placed patients at high risk of presenting a severe COVID-19 case.
The study, which was published in June in the journal Lancet Global Health, calculated the number of others with a growing threat of COVID-19 in each country, based on age, sex and underlying fitness disorders, such as chronic kidney failure, diabetes and cardiovascular disease. . chronic respiratory disease and disease.
The authors found that 28.5% of the U.S. population It has at least one physical fitness problem and has a greater threat of presenting a severe COVID-19, while 5.8% of the population is at the greatest threat. Compared to Europe as a whole, the United States is at a higher position, with 31% of Europeans at greatest threat and 6.4% in the highest threat. Some European countries do better than the United States in double digits, such as Iceland and Ireland, but others do not, adding the Netherlands and Germany (see this Excel spreadsheet for accurate figures).
Shortly after his over Western Europe, Trump promoted America’s progress on the coronavirus.
“Across the country, we continue to see encouraging signs,” he said. “Over the more than seven days, nationally they have decreased to 14%, hospitalizations have decreased by up to 7%, deaths have fallen by up to 9%.”
Using figures from the COVID Monitoring Project, we found that the president was close to cases and hospitalizations, but not to deaths. The average seven-day new coronavirus cases fell by 12.5% between August 3 and August 10, the average seven-day new test also decreased by 6.1%. Hospitalizations fell 7.6%.
But for deaths, the average of seven days was reduced to only 11 deaths, or 1%, from an average of 1,056 deaths to 1,045.
The White House did not give the figure of 9% nor the knowledge used in the president’s statistics. There are various measures that can be used and other similar knowledge resources, which may be only part of the difference, however, we did not discover any corresponding to 9%.
USAFacts data, which provides knowledge to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, for example, shows a 0.07% drop in the seven-day average of new deaths, while the New York Times knowledge base shows a 5.5% decrease. Our World in Data at Oxford University shows a 1.9% increase in the average seven days of new deaths for the same period.
On August 11, Trump replaced his bassist, saying that U.S. mortality “decreased by 7%.” The president is not particularly about the era at issue, however, if it refers to a week-long era, as suggested by his comments, knowledge of COVID’s follow-up assignment shows a 0.3% accumulation in the seven-day average of new daily deaths. August 4 to August 11.
The real question is whether deaths in the United States are falling back, as they did in May and June, before spreading in July as epidemics spread to the south and west. And it’s probably too early to tell.
As Jennifer Nuzzo, principal investigator at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Safety, told us, a week of knowledge is not enough to identify a trend.
“[T]he weekly fluctuations in tests, instances, and deaths would likely occur here, so it’s a good thing to take a look at the two-week data,” he said in an email, to see if a replacement represents a trend.
Two weeks earlier, daily deaths decreased than August 10 and 11, and the average of seven days continued to increase, as shown in a chart of the COVID Follow-up Project.
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Q: Do hospitals inflate the number and deaths of COVID-19 to charge more?
A: The recent law will pay hospitals the highest Medicare rates for patients and COVID-19 treatment, but there is no evidence of fraudulent reports.