It is said that “a picture is worth a thousand words”.
In this new normal report, CAPA – Aviation Center provides information on the latest industry trends, knowledge from its extensive knowledge bases.
By looking at the most recent capacity trends, fleet changes, national inventions, or the most recent airline and airport developments, the Charting Trends report will offer a week of air travel.
This week we will focus on resuming domestic travel.
The most recent traffic data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) revealed that domestic air transport saw a growth of 30. 4% in 2023.
In addition, overall domestic traffic for 2023 is 3. 9% higher than 2019 levels.
Domestic traffic in December 2023 increased by 27. 0% compared to the same period last year and by 2. 3% more than in December 2019. Traffic in 4Q2023 was 4. 4% higher than in the same quarter of 2019.
China’s full-year domestic traffic increased by 138. 8% through 2022 and is now 7. 1% above the 2019 level.
Australia (-4.2% compared to 2019) and Japan (-3.2% compared to 2019) are the only major domestic markets yet to recover pre-pandemic traffic demand, according to IATA.
In the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic domestic air travel markets, understandably, rose much more quickly than their international counterparts. The latter’s performance has been heavily influenced by the travel restrictions and border closures that continued into 2023 in some parts of the world.
But sustainability efforts that make domestic air travel now a precedent for modal substitution.
The effects of climate change are being felt around the world and urgent action is needed. Domestic air transport, especially in European markets, has become an area of specific concentration and is an area where destructive greenhouse fuel emissions can be reduced without significant intervention. Effect on adventure time.
According to data from CAPA – Centre for Aviation and OAG, average global domestic capacity hit its floor in the week commencing 04-May-2020, at less than a third (29.2%) of pre-pandemic performance.
By early 2021, it had already returned to more than 70% of pre-pandemic levels, reaching more than 90% by early 2022.
But then he stopped.
Throughout 2022, it remained in the 90-95% window, before surpassing pre-pandemic levels for two consecutive weeks in early May 2023.
Since then, it has followed a trend through 2022: it entered 2023 barely in full recovery and this week (the week beginning January 29, 2024) it remained at 96. 6% of 2019 levels.
Unsurprisingly, huge geographical influences have played a role in the recovery.
Asia-Pacific has been the main driver of the expansion of national connectivity, while Europe (in recent times) has been to blame for the fall in the global average.
This week (week beginning January 29, 2024), Asia-Pacific stands out, with domestic capacity at 105. 5% of pre-pandemic levels, Latin America (103. 9%) and North America (102. 3%) above 2019 levels, while Africa is just under (97. 9%).
The Middle East, a domestic market ruled by Saudi Arabia, performed above the global average in the early stages of the COVID pandemic, but since January 2022 it has remained consistently below this point and stands at 89. 4% during the current week.
Europe is the worst-performing region, with 80. 9% of its 2019 grades for the current week, representing a slight recovery from last week’s 79. 5%, and the first time the recovery has fallen below the 80% figure since March 2022.
However, by the beginning of the year, the recovery had reached a five-month high of 95. 7%, highlighting the danger of instant data.
The United States and China are the world’s largest domestic air markets, and combined account for more than a share (55. 1%) of global domestic air capacity.
During the week of analysis, they had more than 17 million seats on offer. This is well ahead of the third-largest domestic market: India, with just over 3. 5 million seats.
Nine of the top ten country markets have more than one million domestic seats.
The strength of U. S. markets The U. S. and China’s share of domestic capacity in the global domestic market has been higher since before the pandemic, up 4. 4 points from 50. 7%, driven primarily by an 18% year-over-year expansion in Chinese domestic capacity compared to the same week in 2019.
Although the top seven domestic country markets remain unchanged versus the same week in 2019 (number 1 – USA; number 2 – China; number 3 – India; number 4 – Japan; number 5 – Brazil; number 6 – Indonesia; and number 7 – Australia), Mexico has switched position with Russian Federation, up from number 9 to number 8, and Spain has risen from number 13 to number 10, pushing Canada out of the top ten.
Outside the top ten there have been some notable moves up and down – the largest resulting in Colombia rising from number 20 to number 13, and Germany slipping from number 15 to number 28.
The U. S. and China arguably have the highest number of domestic air seats, but neither country hosts any of the ten largest domestic routes.
This list for the analysis week (week commencing 29-Jan-2024) is dominated by key travel corridors across Asia Pacific, with only two of the top ten coming from outside the region.
The busiest domestic air address is in South Korea and connects Jeju (CJU) with the capital, Seoul (GMP). It was also the busiest domestic air address the same week in 2019 and 2022.
It remains a fair distance ahead of its closest rival: the one linking Hokkaido’s Chitose Airport (CTS) to Tokyo Haneda (HND) in Japan; that said, the gap has closed on last year, with capacity on CJU-GMP still down on the same week in 2023.
Hanoi (HAN) to Ho Chi Minh City (SGN) in Vietnam is the third busiest domestic route, while Fukuoka (FUK) to Tokyo Haneda (HND) is the fourth, and Australia’s Melbourne (MEL) to Sydney (SYD) is the fifth.
The Saudi route between Jeddah (JED) and Riyadh (RUH) is the busiest domestic air route outside Asia-Pacific, and the Colombian route from Bogota (BOG) to Medellin (MDE) sneaks into the top ten for this week of analysis.
Domestic air transportation will continue to face a number of challenging situations and opportunities.
Demanding situations basically fear the long-term economic well-being and shipping methods of other countries. The demand for domestic air transportation is strongly related to economic expansion and will continue to face various festivals from surface modes and adjustments to its rate base similar to those of the national government. policy.
Environmental strategies will certainly place additional pressure on domestic flying, but will also promote innovation. Opportunities revolve around the development of new aircraft, engine and air traffic control technologies – potentially making domestic air transport operations cleaner and cheaper.
It is said that “a picture is worth a thousand words”.
In this new normal report, CAPA – Aviation Center provides insight into the latest industry trends, knowledge from its extensive knowledge bases.
By looking at the latest capacity trends, fleet changes, national innovations, or the latest advancements in airlines and airports, the Charting Trends report will deliver a week of air travel.
This week we will focus on resuming domestic travel.
The most recent traffic data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) revealed that domestic air transport saw strong growth of 30. 4% in 2023.
In addition, overall domestic traffic for 2023 is 3. 9% higher than 2019 levels.
December 2023 domestic traffic increased by 27. 0% compared to the same period last year and 2. 3% more than December 2019 traffic. Traffic in 4Q2023 was 4. 4% higher than in the same quarter of 2019.
China’s full-year domestic traffic rose 138.8% versus 2022, and is now 7.1% above the 2019 level.
Australia (-4. 2% compared to 2019) and Japan (-3. 2% compared to 2019) are the only primary domestic markets that have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic traffic demand, according to IATA.
In the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, domestic air transport markets have understandably grown much faster than their foreign counterparts. The functionality of the latter was heavily influenced by restrictions and border closures that continued until 2023 in some parts of the world.
But sustainability efforts that make domestic air travel now a precedent for modal substitution.
The effects of climate change are being felt around the world and urgent action is needed. Domestic air transport, especially in European markets, has become an area of specific concentrates and is an area where destructive greenhouse fuel emissions can be reduced without significant intervention. Effect on adventure time.
To the knowledge of CAPA – Aviation Center and OAG, the average global domestic capacity bottomed out in the week beginning May 4, 2020, less than a third (29. 2%) of the pre-pandemic performance.
By early 2021, it had already returned to more than 70% of pre-pandemic levels, reaching more than 90% by early 2022.
But then he stopped.
All through 2022 it remained in the 90%-95% window, before finally jumping above pre-pandemic levels for two consecutive weeks at the start of May-2023.
Since then, it has followed a trend until 2022: it entered 2023 barely in full recovery and this week (the week beginning January 29, 2024) it remained at 96. 6% of 2019 levels.
Domestic air recovery from COVID-19, compared to 2019 (in weekly seats), 2020-2024
Source: CAPA – Centre de l’Aviation and OAG.
Unsurprisingly, there have been huge geographical influences on the recovery.
Asia-Pacific has been the main driver of the expansion of national connectivity, while Europe (in recent times) has been to blame for the fall in the global average.
This week (week beginning January 29, 2024), Asia-Pacific stands out, with domestic capacity at 105. 5% of pre-pandemic levels, Latin America (103. 9%) and North America (102. 3%) above 2019 levels, while Africa is just under (97. 9%).
The Middle East, a domestic market ruled by Saudi Arabia, performed above the global average in the early stages of the COVID pandemic, but since January 2022 it has remained consistently below this point and stands at 89. 4% during the current week.
Europe is the worst-performing region, with 80. 9% of its 2019 grades for the current week, representing a slight recovery from last week’s 79. 5%, and the first time the recovery has fallen below 80% since March 2022.
However, by the beginning of the year, the recovery had reached a five-month high of 95. 7%, highlighting the danger of instant data.
The United States and China are the world’s largest domestic air markets, and combined account for more than a share (55. 1%) of global domestic air capacity.
During the week of analysis, they had more than 17 million seats on offer. This is well ahead of the third-largest domestic market: India, with just over 3. 5 million seats.
Nine of the ten most sensible domestic markets have more than 1 million domestic seats.
The strength of the USA and Chinese markets in global domestic travel has increased since before the pandemic, rising 4.4ppts from 50.7%, thanks mainly to a year-on-year growth of 18% in Chinese domestic capacity versus the same week in 2019.
Top 20 domestic air markets, by seat (week commencing January 29, 2024)
Source: CAPA – Centre de l’Aviation and OAG.
Although the seven most sensitive domestic markets have not yet been replaced compared to the same week in 2019 (No. 1 – United States; No. 2 – China; No. 3 – India; No. 4 – Japan; No. 5 – Brazil; No. 6 – Indonesia; and No. 7 – Australia), Mexico has replaced its position with the Russian Federation, moving from ninth to eighth place. and Spain moved from thirteenth to tenth place, displacing Canada from the top ten.
Outside the top ten there have been some notable moves up and down – the largest resulting in Colombia rising from number 20 to number 13, and Germany slipping from number 15 to number 28.
The USA and China may have the most domestic air seats, but neither country is home to any of the ten biggest domestic routes.
This weekly list of the year (week starting January 29, 2024) is governed by the top Asia-Pacific brokers, with only two of the top ten coming from outside the region.
Largest Domestic Airline Markets, By Seat (Week Commencing January 29, 2024)
Source: CAPA – Center de l’Aviation and OAG.
The busiest domestic air address is in South Korea and connects Jeju (CJU) with the capital, Seoul (GMP). It was also the busiest domestic air address the same week in 2019 and 2022.
It remains a fair distance ahead of its closest rival: the one linking Hokkaido’s Chitose Airport (CTS) to Tokyo Haneda (HND) in Japan; that said, the gap has closed on last year, with capacity on CJU-GMP still down on the same week in 2023.
Hanoi (HAN) to Ho Chi Minh City (SGN) in Vietnam is the third busiest domestic address, while Fukuoka (FUK) to Tokyo Haneda (HND) is fourth and the Australian direction from Melbourne (MEL) to Sydney (SYD) is fifth.
The Saudi Arabian route between Jeddah (JED) and Riyadh (RUH) is the busiest non-Asia Pacific domestic air corridor, and Colombia’s Bogotá (BOG) to Medellin (MDE) route sneaks into the top ten for this analysis week.
Domestic air transport will continue to face a number of challenging situations and opportunities.
Demanding situations basically fear the long-term economic well-being and shipping methods of other countries. The demand for domestic air travel is strongly related to economic expansion and will continue to face several festivals from surface modes and adjustments in its fare base similar to those of the national government. politics.
In fact, environmental methods will put more pressure on domestic flights, but they will also encourage innovation. Opportunities revolve around the progression of new aircraft, engine and air traffic technologies, which will potentially make domestic air transport operations cleaner and cheaper.