The reopening of schools has led to a coronavirus outbreak of about 3,000 new instances a day in the United States, according to a draft released Tuesday.
The study, conducted jointly through researchers from the University of North Carolina-Greensboro, Indiana University, Washington University and Davidson College, tracked knowledge of mobile telephony through the reopening times of 1,400 schools, as well as county infection rates.
“Our study looked to see if we can see increases in movement and number of instances, so case reports in counties and across the United States,” said Ana Bento, an infectious disease expert and assistant professor at Indiana University’s School of Public Health.
“Then we tried to find out if those were others in the counties where, of course, there were universities or schools, and in particular, to see if those increases were greater in schools with face-to-face training mainly,” he said.
Nearly 900 of these schools were basically opened with face-to-face courses, according to the curriculum.
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The studies examine the period from 15 July to 13 September. They do not refer to urgent establishments or locations, but researchers discovered a correlation between schools attempting in-person instruction and higher rates of disease transmission.
The mere reopening of a university added 1. 7 new infections, which coincides with the daily day of 100,000 citizens in a county, and face-to-face training related to an accumulation of 2. 4 constant instances with the day, according to the study.
“There is no such increase in counties without schools, closed schools, or that have been opened primarily online,” the study says.
Considering that academics came here from places with the highest incidence of the disease, 1. 2 cases were added, matching another 100,000 individuals in the day.
The daily number of new cases across the country during the review era ranged from a maximum of 70,000 to a minimum of 30,000, according to data collected through the New York Times.
The authors do not consider the opening of schools to be a mistake, given the many variables each school faces, but previous reports of reopening plans across the country have revealed a multitude of chaotic efforts that did not conform to any norm, suggesting the prospect of a crisis when academics return.
In fact, many reports have emerged across the country, with terrifying COVID spikes appearing in college towns, accused of celebrating through academics. Even at the University of Illinois, a school praised for its physically powerful arrangements and tests, more than 2,000 cases have been reported on campus since students returned last month. Cases peaked approximately one week after the start of categories and have declined since then.
The authors also do not blame irresponsible young people, as they have studied coaching strategies and not off-campus behaviors, where some academics have done a very bad job.
“I think it might be unfair to say, “Oh, academics come in combination and create those bad behaviors that lead to epidemics,” Bento said. “I think it’s more this concept to see a massive influx of the whole country. “, or from other counties, to a university in the city that we know had a very low load of COVID in the first few months, suddenly we have this higher probability of infection because we have a giant network of people still sensitive ».
Instead of blaming, he said, the concept of examining to measure the challenge and then using knowledge to better perceive how to respond to it, which is the subject of long-term review.
“In order for you to open online, hybrid or face-to-face, there will need to be another combination of methods that allow you to find [cases] early so you can spread the community, which is the biggest challenge here,” Bento said.
Researchers expect these paintings to be done quickly, long before schools begin spring semesters.
There are unanswered questions, such as the extent to which the case outbreak only comes from ill-health academics who tested positive on arrival compared to getting COVID-19 after arrival, and the extent to which academics transmit the virus to the network or vice versa. Backwards.
Another is how well expressed the types of responses mitigated the spread and what other local protective measures helped or harmed.
And there is an alarming warning: the paintings have hardly captured the full extent of the campus-related increase.
“While this study estimates an accumulation of about 3,000 cases per day, we will have to take into account the fact that this is probably an understatement, because we still don’t see”asymptomatic people,” Bento said.
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The reopening of schools has led to a coronavirus outbreak of about 3,000 new instances a day in the United States, according to a draft released Tuesday.
The study, conducted jointly through researchers from the University of North Carolina-Greensboro, Indiana University, Washington University and Davidson College, tracked knowledge of mobile telephony and reopening times for 1,400 schools, as well as county infection rates.
“Our study looked to see if we can see increases in movement and number of instances, so case reports in counties and across the United States,” said Ana Bento, an infectious disease expert and assistant professor at Indiana University’s School of Public Health. . .
“Then we tried to find out if those were others in the counties where, of course, there were universities or schools, and in particular, to see if those increases were greater in schools with face-to-face training mainly,” he said.
Nearly 900 of these schools opened basically with face-to-face courses, according to the curriculum.
The studies examine the period from 15 July to 13 September. It does not call urgent establishments or locations, but researchers discovered a correlation between schools attempting in-person instruction and higher rates of disease transmission.
The mere reopening of a university added 1. 7 new infections, which coincides with the daily day of 100,000 citizens in a county, and face-to-face training related to an accumulation of 2. 4 constant instances with the day, according to the study.
“There is no such increase in counties without schools, closed schools, or that have been opened primarily online,” the study says.
Considering that academics came here from places with the highest incidence of the disease, 1. 2 cases were added, matching another 100,000 individuals in the day.
The daily number of new cases across the country during the review era ranged from a maximum of 70,000 to a minimum of 30,000, according to data collected through the New York Times.
The authors do not consider the opening of schools to be a mistake, given the many variables each school faces, but previous reports of reopening plans across the country have revealed a multitude of chaotic efforts that did not conform to any standard, suggesting a threat of crisis when academics return.
In fact, many reports have appeared across the country, with terrifying COVID spikes appearing in college towns, accused of celebrating through academics. Even at the University of Illinois, a school praised for its physically powerful arrangements and tests, more than 2,000 cases have been reported on campus since students returned last month. Cases peaked approximately one week after the start of categories and have declined since then.
The authors also do not blame irresponsible young people, as they have studied coaching strategies and not off-campus behaviors, where some academics have done a very bad job.
“I think it might be unfair to say, “Oh, academics come in combination and create those bad behaviors that lead to epidemics,” Bento said. “I think it’s more this concept to see a massive influx of the whole country. “, or from other counties, to a university in the city that we know had a very low load of COVID in the first few months, suddenly we have this higher probability of infection because we have a giant network of people still sensitive ».
Rather than blaming, he says, the concept of examining to measure the challenge and then using knowledge to better perceive how to respond to it, which is the subject of the long-term exam.
“In order for you to open online, hybrid or face-to-face, there will need to be another combination of methods that allow you to find [cases] early so you can spread the community, which is the biggest challenge here,” Bento said.
Researchers expect these paintings to be done quickly, long before schools begin spring semesters.
There are unanswered questions, such as the extent to which the case outbreak only comes from ill-health academics who tested positive on arrival compared to capturing COVID-19 after arrival, and to what extent academics transmit the virus to the network or vice versa.
Another is the extent to which express types of responses have mitigated spread and other local security measures have helped or injured.
And there is an alarming warning: the paintings have hardly captured the full extent of the campus-related increase.
“While this study estimates an accumulation of about 3,000 cases per day, we will have to take into account the fact that this is probably an understatement, because we still don’t see”asymptomatic people,” Bento said.
Kaiser Health News (KHN) is a national fitness policy data service, an editorially independent program of Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, which is affiliated with Kaiser Permanente.
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