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The architect of Sweden’s un blocking coronavirus strategy has stated that nearly a third of the country’s population may be immune to COVID-19, a theory backed by little data.
Anders Tegnell, a lead epidemiologist at the Swedish Public Health Agency, told The Observer on Sunday that the recent drop in cases in Sweden may mean there is a point of immunity in the population of “20%, 30%, even a little more in some regions. “
Tegnell has been widely recognized as the architect of Sweden’s rare reaction to the coronavirus pandemic, in which the country does not have to institute a general blockade and implement relatively few restrictions.
He claimed immunity while observing the drop in cases in Sweden during the following month.
Tegnell said seasonal points such as the closure of schools and offices during the summer holidays in Sweden were not enough for the fall of cases.
“It’s hard for us to accurately perceive why this happened at the time and why it was so fast and sudden,” he said.”But we believe that the increasing number of other people immunized in the population will have something to do with it.”
Despite Tegnell’s theory, researchers have come to few false conclusions about COVID-19 immunity.
People who get a virus have antibodies, which can be measured by testing, but it is unclear whether having antibodies provides general, or even partial, immunity to COVID-19, or how long such an effect can last.
Studies that measure antibody grades in Sweden were as high as 20% or 30% cited through Tegnell.
In June, knowledge from his public fitness company indicated that about 10% of Stockholm’s population, the most affected region, had antibodies.
Provisional studies have warned that Tegnell would possibly be the right type in his claim that immunity prevails more than the number of other people with antibodies.
A study of Karolinska Insitutet in Sweden found that the degrees of immunity between populations would possibly be higher than those indicated by antibody tests.
He noted that the immune system component, T cells, can create immunity even in other people without antibodies.
The study, which has not been peer-reviewed, suggests that “approximately twice as many people have developed T-cell immunity to those in which we can find antibodies.”
Some experts say that there is still very little evidence to know that other purposes of the immune formula confer immunity on people.
Instead, they cite other very likely factors, such as the fact that other people are further away than in general during the summer holidays.
Virologist Lena Einhorn told Politico that accrediting other immune responses in other people who did not test positive for antibodies is a “totally unproven hypothesis.”
Sweden’s broader antibody expectations have been met.
Tegnell said in April that he expected 40% of the population of Stockholm, the Swedish capital, to be immunized until the end of May.
A study last May reported that 6.1% of the Swedish population had developed antibodies to coronavirus.
Tegnell told The Observer that explaining why antibody studies did not support his thesis that it was difficult to obtain a smart sample.
“It is very difficult to draw an intelligent pattern of the population, because it is clear that the immunity point differs greatly among other age teams among other parts of Stockholm and so on, and that is why, when we measure a group, we get 4% to 5%, and when we measure group, they achieve it by 25%,” he said.
As of Monday, more than 5,700 people had died from the coronavirus in Sweden, much higher than that of neighbouring countries with political systems and social customs.
It is consistent with the capita mortality rate, more than Denmark’s, more than 11 times that of Norway and almost 10 times that of Finland.
Jan Albert, an infectious disease specialist at the Karolinska Institute in Sweden, told Business Insider last week that Sweden could see new spikes in virus cases, especially at the end of the summer holidays.
“We’ve actually gone down from a peak, but we don’t know if we’ll see a building later in the year, especially when workplaces and schools reopen, we don’t know,” Albert said.
“Chances are we’ll at least see smaller epidemics and some kind of wave or peak at the moment.”
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