Cook Report editor and publisher Amy Walter has moved Arizona, Georgia and Nevada from “mixed” to “lean Republicans,” taken Minnesota and New Hampshire from “probably Democratic” to “lean Democrat” and also moved Nebraska’s second party. Congressional District from “likely” to “skinny Democrat. ” (Nebraska and Maine are the two states that will divide their electoral votes into congressional districts. )
“The concept that the presidential race is a tie is overblown even before the debate,” Dave Wasserman, a longtime analyst with the Cook Report, said in a social media post. “Today, Trump has transparent merit over Biden and a much more credible position. on the way to 270 electoral votes. “
WHAT VOTERS IN THE UNITED STATES ARE SAYING ABOUT BIDEN’S EXTREMELY DIFFICULT PERFORMANCE IN THE DEBATE
Wasserman noted that Biden’s “post-debate slide represents the biggest swing in polls of the year,” with Trump leading the president 47% to 44% in the new Cook Report average of national polls, released Wednesday by the morning. “Trump’s current numbers among the black and Latino electorate are inconsistent with any credible Democratic victory scenario. “
NEW POLL SHOWS TRUMP BEATS SUPPLY IN CRUCIAL BATTLEGROUND STATE
A series of key national and state polls conducted entirely after the debate and released last week and this week involve many red flags for the president: adding that Trump extends his single-digit merit over Biden and developing considerations among Americans about whether Biden is in the lead. to the task of leading the country.
After his incredibly complicated debate in Atlanta, Georgia, on June 27, Biden tried to show that he still has the stamina and acumen to take on the world’s toughest, hardest job. And he’s looking to show he has the courage to defeat Trump.
President Biden and former President Trump face off in a debate in Atlanta on June 27, 2024 (Getty Images).
The debate was a major setback for Biden, who at 81 is the oldest president in the country’s history. His hesitant statements and hesitant responses in the Atlanta showdown sparked widespread panic within the Democratic Party and a growing wave of public and personal calls within his own party for him to step down from his 2024 flagship position. .
BIDEN TELLS CONGRESSIVE DEMOCRATS CALLING TO STOP ‘IT ONLY HELPS TRUMP AND HURTS US’
Since the debate, seven House Democrats have publicly called on Biden to end his reelection bid, and a growing number of House and Senate Democrats have warned publicly and privately that the president will lose to Trump in November.
But Biden, at rallies and fundraisers since the debate, has been pressured to stay in the race.
In a letter sent Monday to congressional Democrats upon returning from the July 4 recess, the president reiterated that he was “firmly committed to staying in this race” and said that “the question of how to move forward has been well-posed for more than It’s time for the week to end and we only have one goal: defeat Donald Trump.
President Biden speaks at a crusade in Madison, Wisconsin, on July 5, 2024 (Saul Loeb/AFP Getty Images).
“Any weakening or lack of clarity on the task at hand only helps Trump and hurts us,” the president added. “It’s time to come together, move forward as a unified party and defeat Donald Trump. “
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Walter, in his research on the audience shift, wrote that “many nervous Democrats and donors hope that Biden’s team, faced with deteriorating poll results and an aggressively antagonistic media corps, will see the writing on the wall and announce with grace. ” get out of the competition. This option is remote at the time of writing this article.
The Cook Report resolution is the first update on a major nonpartisan political hurdle after the debate.
Last week, Larry Sabato’s crystal ball took Michigan from “Leans Democrat” to “Toss-up. ” Additionally, Minnesota went from “likely Democratic” to “leaning Democratic. ”
“President Biden’s performance in the debate was so bad that it forced us to reevaluate some of our assumptions about the race,” Sabato Crystal Ball forecaster Kyle Kondik wrote of the switch between the two states. “Michigan and Minnesota are moving into more competitive categories in our rankings. “
Biden’s reelection campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon, in a memo last week ahead of some high-profile public opinion polls, noted that her internal polls showed “a stable streak. ”
“We estimate that we are one point under the margin. This is all within the margin of error and shows a stable streak,” he added.
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Anders Hagstrom is a reporter for Fox News Digital who covers national politics and primary news. Send it to Anders. Hagstrom@Fox. com or on Twitter: @Hagstrom_Anders.
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