This whole thing is absurd. After months of blocking, moderate maximum interpretations of knowledge imply that the COVID-19 epidemic is largely limited to a few geographic access points, and that the virus poses a much greater threat to express threat teams than the general population.
MICHAEL GOODWIN: CUOMO’S NURSING HOME MISTAKES – THIS IS YOUR HEARTLESS ANSWER
Four out of ten deaths occurred in nursing homes and four out of five of those who died were over 65 years old. Less than 1, consistent with the percentage of deaths, occur in other people under the age of 35.
So we will need to prioritize reopening the economy to allow the many Americans whose livelihoods have been devastated by the closure to begin rebuilding their lives, while taking specific steps to protect the most vulnerable.
One-size-fits-all locks are logical at first. In March, public fitness officials suggested or forced Americans to stay home to “flatten the curve” and give hospitals the chance to cope with an expected build-up of COVID patients. In New York, Cuomo predicted that the state could run out of more than 50,000 beds when the virus peaks. In response, the state established emergency hospitals and prepared to send patients to the United States. Comfort, a Navy hospital enclosed in New York Harbor.
These initial forecasts were too pessimistic. Less than 19,000 New Yorkers were hospitalized by COVID-19 at the height of the epidemic, far from the 110,000 predicted by Cuomo. Most of the state’s checkout hospitals remained unused, adding convenience, which left in April after treating fewer than two hundred patients.
With all the data, one-sided and continuous closures don’t make sense. Instead, heads of state and locals will need to focus on protecting the teams at peak risk.
Lawmakers overreacted because their knowledge was weak. Initial reports from Wuhan, China, warned that 20% of COVID-19 patients would require hospitalization. In fact, hospitalization rates were as low as 6% in some states. The hospitalization rate in New York is only 2%.
As of June 16, more than 23 million COVID-1nine tests had been conducted in the United States; just under nine, consistent with one hundred, yielded positive results. Since the end of May, the moving average of seven days of positive testing is less than 5%. And while the number of reported cases has recently increased in several states, the average number of new deaths in mobile cell phones of seven days has decreased since last April.
Why have expectations been so different from reality? As Doug Badger and Norbert Michel noted in a May 23 investigation published through the Heritage Foundation, the country had more hospital capacity than experts suggest. Even if their fears had been confirmed, hospitals would probably have been up to date with the influx of patients.
In addition, the COVID-19 epidemic remained concentrated in some spaces and populations. Nursing homes account for less than 1% of the population and 42% of all COVID-19 deaths as of June 1, according to the Equal Opportunity Research Foundation.
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Ten states accounted for nearly 70% of COVID-19 cases in the country and three-quarters of their deaths as of May 11, according to Badger and Michel’s analysis. This includes New York and New Jersey, which accounted for 35% of all cases and 44% of COVID-19 deaths.
Badger and Michel concluded that less than 1% of counties accounted for more than part of COVID-19 deaths, while more than 60% of counties each had one or fewer deaths. The 1 percent and 60 corresponding to the percentage of counties are home to the same proportion of the population.
With all this data, unilateral and continuous closures don’t make sense. Instead, heads of state and locals will need to focus on protecting the teams at peak risk.
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Policymakers deserve to inspire people over the age of 55 and others with chronic illnesses to take extra precautions when going public. They can protect nursing home populations by rigorously applying cleaning procedures, eliminating the wrong executive orders that require them to admit COVID-19 patients and experimenting with models that compensate for more staff living at the site of this public fitness emergency.
We have learned a lot about COVID-19 since the beginning of the epidemic. It is time for policymakers to use this wisdom and open our economy.
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