We have argued here over the last few days that it will be a September, full of heartbreaking turns and turns of Covid’s aid budget and government funding, with a choice just around the corner.
BUT THERE’S AN ALTERNATIVE THEORY floating around some White House and Capitol spaces that we think we’re exploring: What if this month is absolutely boring and absolutely predictable?
IN OTHER MOTS: What happens if Congress approves a clean short-term investment bill until September 30, doesn’t get a Covid relief bill, and returns the house at the end of the month until the end of the election?
IT’S NOT TOO HARD TO IMAGINE.
Speaker NANCY PELOSI and Senate minority leader CHUCK SCHUMER reported that the Senate Republican Party’s Covid bill was made a toast even before its launch. Democrats say Republicans don’t perceive the magnitude of the challenge and rely on a small bill when a big one is needed. Republicans say Democrats can’t accept a yes in response and reject the policies they expect Republicans to pass big, after months when the Republican Party said they have no interest in doing it big.
Senate Republicans can get just 51 votes for their own policies, so THE GOP leadership has little room for maneuvering or negotiation. DEMOCRATS have been in the courtroom for months and it is incredibly unlikely that it will succeed in an agreement without some republican primary concessions on state and local aid and school money. Election money has been a precedent for Democrats. Here’s Senator JOHN THUNE (R-SD. ) – Senate No. 2 R — about this: “I think you know there’s a lot of cash for the election. We’ve done a lot already. The Republican Senate plan doesn’t include direct payments, which some Democrats want, and even the White House has been pushing in recent days.
LA MAISON BLANCHE is not afraid to blame Congress for its inaction. President DONALD TRUMP does not cut legislative agreements; he’s just talking about them. She has no appointments with PELOSI or capital to enter into an agreement with her.
TREASURY SECRETARY STEVEN MNUCHIN and PELOSI have already stated that prevention is not possible.
BOTH SIDES SEEM TO ENJOY blaming others, and billions of dollars are set aside and there is no scheduled discussion.
If an OFF is off the table and there has literally been no movement in months, what makes us think something will change?Many other people on Capitol Hill and the White House think they’re only going to wait another six weeks. until the election is over and then locate.
Good morning Wednesday morning.
WOWZA . . . TUESDAY HAS A SHAPE to be the day: BOB WOODWARD’s ebook is scheduled for release . . . the UAE-Israel White House occasion . . . Apple has announced an occasion that it could introduce a new iPhone .
Has the pandemic accelerated virtual disruption? Coronavirus has forced radical adjustments in the way other people live and work. Technology, media and telecommunications have intervened to fill the gap, allowing us to stay connected, shop at home and run businesses. Technological issues can increase rapidly. Learn more.
OF WHAT TRUMP WILL LIKELY BE A RAG OF . . . WSJ ED BOARD: “If Mr. Trump needs to organize a comeback, and not just the fourth incumbent in a century who will be denied a momentary term, he will have to pursue a career in politics Mr. Biden’s differences and leniency with the democratic left . . .
“If the race comes down to a character contest, Mr. Trump will lose . . . The approval rate for Mr. Trump is between 43% and 44%, and his non-public approval is lower. to approve of his task above what was the day of the inauguration. Unlike Richard Nixon or George W. Bush, who won with pluralities the first time and most the next, Trump has failed to expand his coalition. . .
“Mr. Trump has reduced his deficit since the Republican convention, yet he is dragging Mr. Trump Biden in the average polls in every battlefield state. Trump is unlikely to win the national popular vote, so he will have to get some other electoral school victory.
“After the surprises of 2016, only an idiot would say this is not possible, but if Trump needs to do it, he will have to make the election for something other than himself, or even his first-term record. You have to make the election. a selection between two futures of two men.
MEDICAL SPEAKER . . . NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE: “Face Masking for Covid-19: ‘Smallpox’ Potential While We Wait for a Vaccine”: “As SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread globally, it is conceivable that one of the Covid-19 pillars fighting the pandemic (universal face masking) can help lessen the severity of the disease and ensure that a greater proportion of new infections are asymptomatic. If this speculation is confirmed, universal masking may become a form of ‘variation’ that would build immunity and therefore slow the spread of the virus in the United States and elsewhere, while waiting for a vaccine. ‘
UH-OH – “AstraZeneca COVID-19 Vaccine Stopped After Illness,” via AP’s Lauren Neergard
JUST IN TIME . . . NIH Director FRANCIS COLLINS and Surgeon General JEROME ADAMS will appear before the HELP Senate at 10 a. m. to testify at a hearing titled “Vaccines: Saving Lives, Building Confidence, and Protecting Public Health. “
DRIVING TODAY FOR THE DEMOCRATS: JOE BIDEN will be in Warren, Michigan, speaking about the “Biden-Harris Plan to Fight for Workers by Delivering Buy America and Succeed in America. ” The other Hill folks “Will Make America Achieve” through House Majority Leader STENY HOYER, who used the word for what seems like a century. The plan
DETROIT NEWS: “The occasion is not open to the public . . . Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton by about 12 percentage points in Macomb County in 2016, heading for a statewide win of 10,704. It’s the closest margin of victory. Trump’s Little Nationwide “. as he has become the first Republican presidential candidate to win Michigan since 1988 . . . Biden last traveled to Michigan for the state’s March 10 Democratic presidential primary, where he held a crusade rally the night before in Detroit Renaissance High School.
Senator KAMALA HARRIS (D-California) hosts a fundraiser.
NBC NEWS / MARIST SURVEY: “Biden leads nine in Pennsylvania”
TOP-ED: BEN GINSBERG, for decades the GOP’s first election attorney, in WAPO: “Republicans don’t have enough evidence to rate the election as “rigged” and “fraudulent”:” Legions of Republican lawyers have unsuccessfully sought a double fraudulent vote for four decades. Finally, they have a blatant example of a prominent politician urging his supporters to vote illegally twice. The only challenge is that the nominee is President Trump.
“The president, who has argued that our elections are ‘rigged’ and ‘fraudulent’, last week asked the electorate to act in a way that satisfies this prophecy. On Wednesday in North Carolina, he suggested to supporters that they vote twice. , voting for a tweet that said he was just looking for other people to verify their ballots had been won and counted sounded smart, until Trump renewed his initial momentum Thursday night in Pennsylvania and returned to telecast Friday.
“The president’s movements – urging his followers to engage in an unlawful act and undermine confidence in the credibility of electoral effects – are doubly wrong. They are demanding that their crusade and the Republican Party reconsider their position in the more than 40 polling stations that concern them across the country. “
TAXPAYERS AS LEGAL DEFENSE FUND . . . BLOOMBERG: “US seeks Trump in defamation lawsuit of” accuser of rape “, through Bob Van Voris and Erik Larson:” US Department of Justice. The US seeks to take over President Donald Trump’s defense in a defamation lawsuit filed through columnist Rep. E. Jean Carroll, who claims Trump raped her two decades ago.
“This ruling may further delay a trial in which Carroll demands potentially damaging evidence from Trump in the final weeks leading up to the presidential election, adding a deposition and a DNA pattern to compare to a dress she claims to be wearing in. the time of the alleged attack. It may also leave taxpayers at the mercy of damages awarded in this case. “
– OMAO’s MATT ZAPOTOSKY: “It also means justice department attorneys will essentially be Trump’s defense, and taxpayers can be charged with possible harm if the U. S. government is allowed to replace Trump. However, winning damages against the government would be more unlikely than in a lawsuit against Trump, as the perception of “sovereign immunity” provides the government and its workers with extensive coverage of lawsuits. “
LED OF THE DAY . . . ANNIE KARNI AND LISA FRIEDMAN OF THE NYT: “President Trump, who promised to abandon the Paris Agreement on climate replacement, eased restrictions on poisonous air pollution, undid the blank water protections and eliminated the Weather replacement for a list of safety hazards, he stood in front of his supporters in Jupiter, Florida on Tuesday and declared himself “a wonderful environmentalist. “
LOOK FORWARD . . . BRIAN BARTLETT OF RATIONAL 360 has this new research for its clients: “Identifying Potential Turning Points: Key Senate Goals for Companies to Prepare to Influence under a Biden Presidency, a Democratic Majority Senate, and Removing Obstructionism for Legislation” – breaks the most likely swinging votes in a democratic majority government. The two-page PDF
NEARLY NONE OF THIS WILL HAPPEN, BUT IT IS WORTH READING ANYWHERE . . . Senator Ben SASSE (Republican of Nebraska) To WSJ: “Make the Senate Wonderful Again: To repair the world’s largest deliberative body, we will have to think big. “
NEW: ANNA spoke to ERIN HILL, CEO of ACTBLUE, the Democratic fundraising giant, on the latest Women Rule podcast. They have everything from how BIDEN is doing in the fundraising landscape to how the efforts of Republicans to build a virtual currency operation are piling up. Listen and subscribe
TOPROPOS OF THE LAST NIGHT – “Trump’s growing claims about Biden’s destructive potential,” through Tina Nguyen in Jupiter, Florida: “President Donald Trump adds to his list of details that the “radical left” will destroy “if Joe Biden wins Trump has sometimes said biden’s rise to the White House would ruin everything , from the “jobs” to the “second amendment”, to “God” and the “middle class”, providing little evidence. More recently, he promised biden would do “ABOLIrait suburban communities. “And on Tuesday, he added a new detail to his growing pool of horrors in Biden’s America: the environment.
“The left’s timetable on environmental protection is about punishing america, and it’s true,” he said in Florida, where he stopped before a rally. crusade in North Carolina to signal a ban on offshore oil drilling. from Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. In North Carolina, hours later, Trump reiterated his list of things Democrats won’t allow, misleadingly describing coronavirus restrictions on giant crowds as he boasted of the thousands of people who showed up to see him speak in recent weeks.
FROM 30,000 FEET – Contrast Campaign: Trump’s Noisy Crowds Against Biden’s Distant Meetings, via Josh Dawsey, Michael Scherer and Annie Linskey of WaPo in Londonderry, NH: When the announcer of President Trump’s recent rally suggested a plane full of hangar people with followers to put on their mask, a series of boos exploded, followed by a challenge. It didn’t matter if the participants’ chairs were a few inches away, they hadn’t taken the temperature and the state required the mask.
“Joe Biden, meanwhile, has left his home without a mask for months, and makes sure to keep the electorate, when he meets them, away from himself and others. Events in film parks were limited to less than 50 people. “, not automobiles, to comply with state guidelines.
That contrast continued Tuesday, when Trump flew to Florida and North Carolina, addressing the crowd at both locations, while Biden camp announced at 9:30 a. m. who would make public appearances throughout the day. It’s most likely a snapshot of the last 8 weeks. of the race: a crusade driven by face-to-face occasions, noisy demonstrations and rebellious crowds disobeying fitness rules; the other drove through quiet, small-caliber occasions with all masked and spaced.
STEVEN SHEPARD: “PoliticO’s election forecast: Trump no longer has time to turn the 2020 campaign around”: “The door is closed for President Donald Trump’s re-election, but time is running out. Labor Day once marked the beginning of a concerted general election campaign, yet it comes with a much greater sense of urgency this year for Trump. Due to coronavirus-related adjustments to election management across the country, more Americans are expected to never vote earlier this year, either by mail or in person.
And Trump, who did not get the rebound from the conference he was hoping to replace the election, is still behind Joe Biden across a significant margin between the national electorate, and through variable, but especially minor, gaps in many key states on the battlefield. Updates to POLITICO’s election forecasts involve a strong political environment, and that’s not what the president needs.
“Even as turmoil permeates the political news, Biden is still pushing ahead and is the frontrunner to win the presidency, with over a million mail ballots mailed in North Carolina last week. And Minnesota is gearing up to open in person Early voting in the Biden’s merit is overwhelming, however, given the merits of Trump’s Electoral College.
“Meanwhile, the war for the Senate is closer than ever, with either party vying for a handful of highly controversial seats that will tilt what will likely be a narrow majority on both sides, even if the Democrats simply have tight control. in the house. “POLITICO Election Forecast
– “Trump’s Lost Summer: Focused on Fox News, Not Battlefield States,” through Scott Bland and Elena Schneider
FASCINATING DETAILS. . . MARC CAPUTO in Miami: “What do we do?”: Trump wins by shaking up Miami Democrats “:” In a county where more than part of the population was born outdoors in the continental United States – basically in Latin America – Trump spent a lot of cash on Joe Biden’s crusade of about $4 million in television in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale media market , much in Spanish ads. The president’s conservative allies have ruled Spanish-language social media and WhatsApp messages to Spanish speakers. And the Miami-Dade County Republican Party introduced applicants to five key local races, all Cuban-Americans, which can help save the Republican vote in Trump’s favor.
“A new vote by the local electorate found biden performing below Hillary Clinton’s margins in 2016 over Trump in the county, where Democrats raised the score to offset losses elsewhere. “
TRUMP WEDNESDAY – The president will give his intelligence report at noon at the Oval Office.
– KAYLEIGH MCENANY will hold a press conference at the White House at noon.
IS THE RETURN OF DARRELL ISSA A PROBLEM? … SAN DIEGO UNION-TRIBUNE: “The district’s race is ‘everyone is guessing’ like Issa, Campa-Najjar at statistical impasse in new poll”
JOHN HARRIS in St. Paul, Minn . : “The Minnesota Walz Preaches Unity to a Worn State”: “Like a state where George Floyd died with the knee of a Minneapolis police officer on the neck, Minnesota in 2020 suffered a trauma somehow. That’s beyond Gov. Tim Walz’s imagination. However, there is something else that is completely in his imagination: 2021 may just be worse.
“The criminal proceedings against Derek Chauvin and other Minneapolis police officers who have been fired in the wake of Floyd’s murder are expected to begin in March. Given that the two cities suffered spasms of insurrection last summer and spring, how concerned is Walz on the option of additional upset around the trials?
“A lot,” Walz told POLITICO. “I think if the verdict comes out a no-blame verdict, it will be difficult. And we not only have to think about that, about what we are doing, about their physical security. These are the conversations that I am in with black leaders and I hope to be there. »» POLITICAL… Discover more stories from The Fifty
LITTLE ROCKET MAN – “North Korea Kim Calls for a Prompt Recovery from Pain,” via AP’s Kim Tong-Hyung in Seoul, South Korea: “North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has called for urgent efforts to rebuild thousands of homes, and Kim, at the Workers’ Party assembly on Tuesday, also said that Typhoon Maysak’s damage had forced the country to reconsider the undes specified end of year. plans, said the official news firm of North Central Korea.
CALIFORNIA BURNING – “Forest fires devastate Northern California, new evacuations ordered,” through Nora Mishanec, Megan Cassidy and Matthias Gafni of the San Francisco Chronicle
WSJ: “JPMorgan Investigates Workers and Consumers on Coronavirus Stimulation Programs,” through David Benoit: “JPMorgan Chase
In a memo to workers, the bank detailed express cases, but said it had exposed visitor irregularities related to the rescue of small businesses known as the paycheck coverage program, unemployment benefits and other government systems aimed at mitigating the losses. economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. . “Some workers also failed,” the memo said, without giving details.
The memorandum describes the disorders as “conduct that violates our moral and business principles, and would possibly even be illegal. ” “A spokeswoman for the bank declined to provide additional details. “
MEDIAWATCH – Miles Taylor is now a CNN contributor. He is co-founder of the Republican Political Alliance for Integrity and Reform and a former dhS staff leader.
Send Eli Okun and Garrett Ross to [email protected].
NEW: ERIC HOPLIN joins the National Association of Wholesalers and Distributors as CEO from October 19 and will update Dirk Van Dongen, who retires after a 41-year term as director of the professional association. Hoplin arrives on board after serving as Wells Fargo’s external manager at DC
TRANSITIONS: Bryant Madden is now Vice President of MWWPR. He was vice president of Levick. of Advisors. Array . .
… Jamie Boone joins Toyota’s government affairs arm as Director of Generation Innovation Policy. She was vice president of government affairs for the Consumer Technology Association. … Loren Harris will be the Executive Director of National Impact at Ballmer Group. In the past he was guilty of systems and strategy at the Kenneth Rainin Foundation.
DAY ANIVERSAIRE: Aimee Steel Lubin, Director of Political and Media Affairs, Netherlands
BIRTHDAY: Senator Chris Coons (D-Del. ) 57 years old (m/t Todd Webster). . . Matt Bai, WaPo Contributing Columnist, 52. . . Jonathan Cohn, Senior National Correspondent at HuffPost. . . Matt Boyle of Breitbart. . . Journalist David Freedlander. . . CAP Glen Fukushima . . . former Representative Glenn Nye (D-Va. ), President and Executive Director of the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress, is 46 years old. . . former Representative Buck McKeon (R-Calif. ) He’s years old . . . Adam Blue by POLITICO . . . Matt Lee, State Department reporter for the Palestinian Authority . . . Cherie Harder, President of trinity Forum . . . Rachel Rizzo . . . Dan Brandt . . . Ebony Meeks Laidley . . . Ron Dotzauer . . . Lauren Hackett, Senior Vice President of Communications The Economist . . . Ken Lieberthal, Senior Emeritus Senior Foreign Policy Fellow at Brookings, is 77. . . Daniel Pipes has 71. . . Liz Smith (m/t Teresa Vilmain). . . Kelly Schwartz. . .
. . . Brian Wommack, Senior Vice President of Communications, Council for Responsible Nutrition, is 51 years old . . . Michael Harper of doJ . . . Eric Draper . . . Michael Greenwald, Managing Director of Tiedemann Constantia and Director of Tiedemann Advisors, is 37, celebrates at home in Brookline, Massachusetts, with his circle of relatives (h/t Nolan Wein) . . . Augusta (Mellon) Rhoades . . . Christina Wagner . . . Israeli President Reuven Rivlin is 81 years old . . . J. Arthur Bloom . . . Meghan Fort . . . Kara Voght . . . Dwayne Carson . . . Rob Biederman . . . Judith RodinArray. . Jason DenoncourtArray. . Henrique FerreiraArray. . Katelyn IsraelskiArray. . Tara Setmayer LoveArray. . Ladak NawaidArray . . Greg Maxson of Twitter is 31 years oldArray. . Vanessa Oblinger-Santos of JavelinArray. . Ryan WegmanArray. . Frank Allan DoddsArray. . Diego Sanchez GallardoArray. . Wendy Oscarson KirchnerArray. . Jeff WeintraubArceray. . Karen. . Andrew MorinArray. . Sophie Kurz-CosgroveArray. . Quincey Grieve
Has the pandemic accelerated virtual disruption? The coronavirus pandemic has been an unprecedented disruptor for decades, forcing radical adjustments to the way others live and work Technology, media, and telecommunications—industries that together account for about a third of the US. But it’s not the first time GDP: they have intervened in large part to fill the gap caused by social esttachment, allowing us to stay connected, buy at home and keep companies active. This increased reliance on virtual generation has led companies to drive virtual transformation to foster greater resilience and innovation In a recent report, Morgan Stanley equity analysts in the TMT area pointed to this old turning point, highlighting a dozen issues from older generations that can benefit from accelerated disruption , adding contactless payments, automation, and increased use of workplace collaboration teams. Morgan Stanley has known five generati on issues that can increase rapidly. Learn more.