One in 60 Wisconsin residents tested positive for COVID-19 in October, making it the worst month of the pandemic in the state, but also one of the most powerful outbreaks ever noticed in the United States.
According to USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin research from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, only North and South Dakota reported more cases consistent with the capita over a 30-day period consistent with the period.
This includes Florida and Arizona, which peaked this summer with 1,499 and 1408 instances consisting of 100,000 inhabitants, respectively, to 1,685 in Wisconsin between September 29 and October 28 (the maximum of recent comparable data).
It is also superior to the tragic spring outbreak in New York (1265, according to New York Times data), studies on antibodies and mortality rates mean that many cases have not been shown due to shortages of evidence.
The Dakotas peaked at the same time as Wisconsin, with 2,623 instances per 100,000 recently in North Dakota and 2,344 in South Dakota. Montana is tied third with Wisconsin in 1685.
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Although Wisconsin and the Dakotas have noticed fewer deaths than states with previous outbreaks, there may be a one-week delay between a peak in cases, initially caused by other younger people who have a tendency to have milder symptoms, if any – and a spike in death.
Ryan Westergaard, medical director of the state’s fitness department, told reporters Tuesday that it was a “nightmare scenario, frankly, that could get a little worse in the next few weeks or months before it gets better. “
“Pire” is a grim prospect. With one remaining day of the month, in October, fitness reported the deaths of 645 Wisconsin residents, more than twice as many as in April (300), the following month. 339 deaths have been reported in the last 10 days alone.
Some hospitals report that they are reaching the capacity of the ICU. Contact trackers can’t track. And state fitness officials, whose emergency powers have been challenged in court, urge citizens to stay home and minimize risks.
To put it in perspective, how Wisconsin COVID-19 numbers worsened dramatically in October:
Of the 220,092 positive effects reported through DHS since the onset of the pandemic, 97,818 have occurred since 1 October.
This is almost the population of Green Bay (104,578) or Kenosha (99,944). This is almost the same number of people who have already tested positive in Japan (100,450). This is one in 17 instances in the United States reported this month, even though only one in 56 Americans is a wisconsin resident.
Green Bay Packers games will be played without enthusiasts until Brown County’s COVID-19 rates improve, but for display reasons: if Lambeau Field were at full capacity for Sunday’s game opposite the Minnesota Vikings, and enthusiasts were a representative patron of the Wisconsin population, another 1,368 people would have tested positive there in the following month.
There were more cases shown in the last two weeks, 53,906, than in any other month, and more in the last seven days, 29, than in any other outdoor month of September (46,671).
With cases still emerging at the end of the month, October propelled Wisconsin to the sixth largest state in the US in terms of infections consistent with the capita since January (3,811 consistent with 100,000).
Approximately 33% of Wisconsin citizens who died with COVID-19 did so in October, the number of cases expanding suggests that the peak is yet to come.
According to coVID-19 monitoring of the New York Times on Friday, the Wisconsin pandemic overall of 35 COVID-19 deaths consistent with 100,000 inhabitants was a fraction of those of the most affected states, such as New Jersey (184) and New York. (170), and well, the hardest blow this summer, like Florida (78) and Arizona (82).
But in the last seven days, Wisconsin has finished fourth according to deaths per capita, only Dakotas and Montana.
More COVID-19-related deaths have been reported in Wisconsin since Sunday (202) than flu deaths in the 2019–20 (183) season.
While the speed of the new instances was higher in July, August, and September, some might have felt calm that a disproportionate proportion of others affected in their teens and twenty years ago were much less likely to be hospitalized or die than the elderly.
However, public health officials and epidemiologists have warned citizens that an outbreak that begins in young people in good shape can affect older and at-risk populations.
It happened. On Friday, the age teams with the largest percentage increases in the instances shown this month were the elderly 70 (107%), 60 (107%), 80 (105%) 90 (102%). Of 645 deaths in October, 592 occurred in these age groups, while only 4 were under the age of 40.
One note: skeptics wondered if numbers like that meant COVID-19 is killing other people so vulnerable that they would die soon anyway. Evidence contradicts this view: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention published a report last week in which they estimated that nearly 300,000 more Americans had died from January to early October compared to this. which is typical in recent years.
The tests in October uploaded more than 16,000 citizens consistent with the day they first received a positive or negative result, compared to just 10,000 in September. Nearly a million Wisconsin residents were evaluated this month.
But even though average testing increased by 66% in October, the average new instances increased by 110%, so it’s not true that Wisconsin has more instances simply by doing more testing.
Wisconsin’s seven-day average positive effects of COVID-19 first reached a record 28. 2% on Friday, more than double what it had been before September 12. In early June, it was a shadow of more than 3%.
Some critics, adding to the conservative MacIver Institute, have said it is misleading to measure the positivity of evidence in this way, arguing that the rate comes with repeated evidence on the same people, such as physical care personnel or nursing home citizens.
Public fitness experts disagree, but for the sake of transparency: given the controls repeated through the same residents, Wisconsin’s seven-day control positivity is 14. 5%: it remains a record and 46% higher than at the last peak of this method. , when checks were limited to the maximum of serious and serious cases in April.
On Thursday afternoon, another 1,546 people were hospitalized by COVID-19 in Wisconsin, adding 350 in intensive care.
This is more than double the number of hospitalizations from October 1 to 669, 208 in extensive care and six times more than July 1: 237 and 77.
Before Sept. 22, the peak of COVID-19 hospitalized patients had been 446, less than a third of the total on Thursday, April 9.
One in 4,000 Wisconsin citizens has recently been hospitalized with COVID-19, some of whom struggle to breathe while away from those they enjoy, some require mechanical assistance.
Hospital officials said they were about to run out of extensive care beds and nurses for them, and the stage is so serious that Wisconsin has become one of the few places in the US last week. But it’s not the first time To admit patients in a specially designed cash hospital.
“It was our last insurance policy and we use it now,” DHS secretary Andrea Palm said Friday morning at an briefing with reporters.
Westergaard added that he was “surprised and disappointed” that Wisconsin had “failed as much as we have to stop him. “
Antibody studies recommend that less than 10% of Wisconsinns have been infected, meaning that 90% are still vulnerable to COVID-19, despite the record month we just experienced.
Westergaard said, “The worst case scenario is that it’s just getting started. “
Andrew Mollica contributed to this report.
Contact Matt Piper at (920) 810-7164 or mpiper@gannett. com. Follow him on Twitter at @matthew_piper.
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