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Oct 25 (Reuters) – Global COVID-19 infections are expected to slowly rise to around 18. 7 million average instances through February next year, up from 16. 7 million lately due to the Northern Hemisphere’s winter months, the University of Washington said in an analysis. The accumulation of infections is not expected to lead to a buildup of deaths, said the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington. It predicts international deaths will average another 2,748 people on Feb. 1, up from about 1,660 lately.
IHME estimates that infections in EE. UU. se will accumulate by one-third to more than a million, due to students returning to school and seasonal cold-related illnesses.
A surge in Germany has already peaked, it said in its Oct. 24 report, and expects cases to fall by more than a third to around 190,000 through February.
The IHME report suggests that the existing increase in COVID-19 infections in Germany may be due only to Omicron’s BQ. 1 or BQ. 1. 1 subvariants, and will most likely spread to other parts of Europe in the coming weeks.
The report adds that the immediate backlog of hospital admissions in Germany, since the COVID outbreak in 2020, remains a cause for concern.
IHME research also shows that Omicron’s new XBB subvariant, which is lately leading to an increase in hospitalizations in Singapore, is more transmissible but less severe.
XBB’s global impact is expected to be mitigated because other people in the past inflamed with Omicron’s BA. 5 subvariant are likely immune to it, according to the report. Caroline Humer and Shinjini Ganguli)