Morgan Stanley Sees Japanese Stocks Resilient to Slowdown

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(Bloomberg) — Japanese stocks are better at coping with the pressures facing their opposing numbers around the world amid emerging recession risks, according to Morgan Stanley.

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“Japanese stocks have traditionally underperformed global recessions,” strategists led by Daniel K Blake wrote in a note. This time, it is different because of the “resistance of new profits” for the country’s corporations thanks to the advance of the capital field and the weakness of the yen, they said.

The broker remains obese with the Topix and considers Japanese stocks to be cheap. Strategists expect a tightening of the Bank of Japan’s fiscal policy given the country’s limited inflation, unlike ongoing rate hikes in other countries.

Japan’s economy strengthens as the global outlook darkens

This divergence may help keep Japan’s currency weak even after it falls to a 24-year low against the dollar, to gain advantages from the country’s exporters. Meanwhile, the recent easing of pandemic restrictions is beginning to help the national recovery, according to Morgan. Stanley.

“Japan’s more cautious technique for reducing Covid restrictions and employment-focused stimulus systems means that the economy is in a different phase than other DMs, now enjoying winds towards a slow reopening,” the strategists wrote.

The Topix is down 2% so far this year, to a loss of around 17% for the S index.

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