Mexico Is Getting Ready for Trump. Here’s What’s Different This Time.

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President Claudia Sheinbaum is arresting more immigrants, seizing more fentanyl and positioning her country as a key best friend against China. But the American position has changed.

By Simon Romero

Reporting from Mexico

For the first time in less than a decade, Mexico will negotiate with President-elect Donald J. Trump, who threatens the neighboring country with exorbitant tariffs, mass expulsions and military movements opposed to the cartels.

What is at stake are Mexico’s 130 million inhabitants. Among the primary economies, Mexico is exceptionally dependent on the United States and sends approximately 80% of its exports to the U. S. market.

Mexico’s top negotiators are taking a strong stance this time in their negotiations with Mr. Some of them may draw inspiration from his experience with the first Trump administration: Mexico’s then-populist president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, forged warm relations with Mr. Obrador. . Trump and Mexico have moved away from the higher price lists as they acquiesced to demands to curb migration.

“We will find a solution because we have structural advantages,” Marcelo Ebrard, the economy minister, said this month, listing factors like greater economic interdependence between the two countries and declines in fentanyl deaths and migration.

President Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico set the tone for this approach. Even though the Mexican government has not met with the new Trump administration, it has combined conciliatory comments toward Trump with reluctance and has promised that Mexico could simply retaliate by enforcing compliance with its obligations. their own retaliatory tariffs.

“We coordinate, we collaborate, but we will never subordinate ourselves,” Sheinbaum said in a speech this month.

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