Mexican drug cartels can ruin the country’s largest lithium project

More than a decade ago, the country celebrated the time when a company detected 800,000 tons of lithium on the ground of central Mexico, but was not yet ready for the coming lucky coup. In 2014, mineral company Bacanora Minerals Ltd won the jackpot through locating reserves 10 times higher.

It is found underground in the desert state of northern Sonora, Mexico, an arid region measuring 1. 4 times the length of England, just over 8 million tons of white gold, 250 years of resources, Bacanora says. Sonora reserves alone can compete with entire countries (see chart); Chile, for example, with its nine million tonnes, is one of the leading exporters of lithium. By 2022, when mining should begin, the source of Sonora Lithium (SLL) will be almost as large.

The threat of a lack of a lithium source is increasing, experts say. Covid-19 played a role. There are now more bottlenecks on the market than before the pandemic; all the more because of broader macroeconomic trends that keep lithium costs low and harm industry investment. Lithium is a must for electric cars and batteries, for example. Like one of the few lithium mines in the Americas, unlike lithium brine. extraction in the south and the United States – SLL can simply transport local electrifying to net zero.

Peter Secker, CEO of Bacanora, spoke to E

Part of this unstoppable good fortune is due to Bacanora’s joint venture partner, Ganfeng Lithium. Chinese Ganfeng is one of the largest and luckiest lithium producers in the world.

SLL is considered fortunate that Ganfeng’s experience covers almost all access to the lithium extraction and production source chain. In China, lithium entities account for almost part of the world’s lithium production, but Ganfeng is comfortable enough to act alone. Secker says.

Bacanora is a local component, once indexed in Canada and the United Kingdom, but is now one hundred percent British. “We are a component of [Ganfeng’s] expansion plan,” Secker says. Ganfeng entered a 22. 5% joint venture with Bacanora and committed to the engineering of the open pit mine.

The Mexican government convinced to give this personal joint venture a chance, and Covid-19 had only a moderate effect: Secker estimates that the pandemic only delays the project’s schedule by five to six months. for the mine to be built after the Chinese New Year.

Mexico is largely a newcomer to lithium mining, which puts it in a weaker position, some say, but Miller of Benchmark Mineral Intelligence says that two SLL partners bring much of their own experience over many years, especially Ganfeng, and contacts on the table that disorders in the mining sector itself are unlikely.

However, E

Bacanora’s remoteness would possibly make it a desirable target for cartels, as its open pit mine will be in a remote location about 11 km from a small town called Bacadehuachi, which has a population of less than 1,380. and traffic near the U. S. border and mine is just 170 km south of the Arizona border. Alejandro Hope, a security expert founded in Mexico, adds that the state government has few resources to provide protection. Analysts from the intelligence organization BNamericas, which covers Latin America, I agree and says Sonora has an awkward history of mine theft. Hope says Bacanora’s extortion possibilities are not theoretical: “I dare say that the Sonora mine is most likely a target.

Faced with this reality, Secker says he doubts that the cartels are interested in his mining product; previous mining thefts aimed primarily at gold or silver. However, the cartels do not hesitate to experiment. In April, a thoroughly planned attack with a Cessna 206 aircraft carried out at a mine in western Sonora, where thieves stole gold and silver alloy from the Los Mulatos mine in Sahuaripa, reports indicate that the operation lasted only a few minutes. The theft of parts worth between $6 million and $8 million at the Noche Buena mine west of Sonora was one of the largest thefts in years.

The drug cartels are not lacking in ambition and sophistication, as Tom Wainwright, editor-in-chief of The Economist and a former correspondent in Mexico, knows, who wrote an e-book a few years ago about Mexican drug cartels and his growing trend towards diversification – drug-related advertising areas. If cartels can figure out how to locate the experts to advise them on drilling pipelines that make america bigger and industrialize them on the black market, it’s worth the option they’d be interested in. SLL mining project.

At the same time, there are sectors where local cartels have entered; earlier this year, reports indicated that Mexican drug cartels had begun promoting lawyers in southern Mexico.

Hope, a security expert, explains that there are other tactics for cartels to cause disorder in SLL. Organized crime and abnormal armed equipment can qualify in cash for coverage and threaten to delay structure efforts, for example by blocking roads. open contact with organized crime teams; they even prevent foreign mining corporations from targeting, Hope says.

One of the boldest examples of cartels moving away from drug trafficking is the goods industry such as iron ore, techniques that reached a palpable peak between 2013 and 2014 when the army stopped controlling Lázaro Cárdenas, Mexico’s largest seaport. Strike after a mythical cartel made more cash from the industry through the port than from the drug industry itself. The Posters of The Family and the Knights Templar were diversifying into the mining sector, Bosworth said. The army crusade in the harbor has failed a little, he argues. This claimed a fortune and, made the port safer, did not provide security in the rest of Michoacón state and created smaller and potentially more violent groups.

Something similar can happen in Sonora: since the dismantling of Chapo Guzmán, the teams that were most closely directed through the active sign of northern Sinaloa have suddenly been divided into small independent teams, which would now move freely within the state and, as such, are more violent when looking for new businesses. These outbreaks regularly do not attack. But Sinaloa’s top-down lack has become more damaging as they sought choice tactics to make money through extortion and violence, Bosworth says.

E analysis

Security experts advise edting to take these new developments lightly. The whole business will have to be considered; The high control of a mining company in Mexico might not even know it’s leaking cash into a drug cartel, Wainwright says. He once interviewed a user familiar with the matter and learned that extortion at the local-regional management point does not alert The high control of a Mexican company in a foreign case. The source said the company had unknowingly paid cash to the local cartel and had only left because the regional director was gone and the matter had been revealed.

Secker explains that the south of the country is more violent than the north: “If you were in southern Mexico, in states like Guerrero, you’d be more worried, but not where we operated. “But crime is on the rise. In recent regional data on murders, E

The U. S. State Department’s Travel NoticeBut it’s not the first time It considers that Mexico is at Level 2 (“be more careful with crime and kidnapping”) on the referral scale. For Sonora, who is at Level 3, he recommends “reconsidering it for crime”.

Monthly crime statistics from the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System that indicate that extortion rates, violent car theft and murders were on the rise. .

Some hope new leaders can make a difference in the state security scenario. Mexico’s first secretary of security and civil protection, Alfonso Durazo, was born and raised in Sonora and may have some compassion for this cause. of Sonora, however, after a tragic shooting last November, the odds are against him. Three women and six children, two Mexican-American Mormons, were ambushed while traveling in a remote domain of northern Mexico. ) was less than a hundred kilometres from Sonora’s lithium mine.

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However, the option of an attack can affect a company’s mining activity. In 2018, Canadian mining company Pan American Silver Corp experienced an increase in crime and violence; Along the tracks where it transported workers’ bodies and tissues to its Dolores mine in the north of the city of Madera, less than a hundred kilometers from Sonora’s lithium mine, the company was attacked and assaulted, then announced plans to resume operations in the country.

Other challenges

There is also a threat of corruption. Many corporations can sing a song about the endemic point of corruption in Mexico. This also includes corruption among primary foreign conglomerates. Emilio Lozoya, former head of state oil company Pemex, said he had accepted millions of dollars in bribes from Brazil. The giant of the Odebrecht structure to former President Enrique Peña Nieto Mexico’s 2012 election campaign now faces one of the largest criminal investigations in history Bacanora’s control team would possibly be more located here because it has connections that succeed in the Mexican government, E discovered

There are also environmental concerns. Lithium extraction has a lower footprint in brine extraction, which is (E

Critics have indicated that the Bavispe River passes through the territory of the Sonoran mining concession (see map). The feasibility test mentions the river basin, however, the mine site can still access groundwater. Bacadehuachi aquifer. A fear is what happens to local water resources if the region suffers a primary drought.

Secker is sure his business will possibly not be ruined. He won all the mandatory certificates, he said. The Sonora mine will be a zero discharge operation and will not lose a drop of water. It is recycled into the soil.

At stake, however, is still important and failure can mean more than a monetary loss. Lithium experts say the global source is on the brink of disruption. Bacanora’s assignment may simply relieve some pressure, but for the United States, in the next two years at least, America will get a single ounce of valuable lithium from the Mexican mine. The agreement is already signed: Ganfeng in China will take some of the volume extracted while the other party will move to Japan, where the company called Hanwa will process it.

This raises fears that foreign corporations may exploit Mexico’s resources and leave it in a poorer state. This has happened with foreign conglomerates in Africa, but not for lithium, but for other minerals. A 2017 Justice Now global report found it leaves much more wealth. more impoverished continent in the world than entering it.

Another impediment to success is distance. Sending lithium to the other aspect of the global is not ideal, experts say, and lithium corporations are increasingly under environmental pressure. Consumers and other parts of the chain of origin are asking lithium miners to optimize their inconsistent conhations and reduce the effect of carbon on Sending lithium carbonate to more than 12,000 km from the port of Guaymas to China, or 11,000 km to Japan, can generate carbon emissions. Annually, Bacanora plans to send 35,000 tons of lithium carbonate until 2026/2027, when it will succeed at the time level of its agreement. This can result in between 7,300 and 13,400 tonnes of CO2 emissions consistent with the year, according to E

For the United States, the lack of agreement has other effects. The country is under pressure to discharge lithium for its fledgling sector of electric vehicles and batteries elsewhere; develops its own lithium resources, but will remain dependent on other countries and, historically, has accounted for only 5% of the world’s lithium production, mainly from brine.

Bacanora’s agreement to exclude Mexico’s neighbor can still cause waves on the road. Leaders have time for a larger industry that goes out with Mexico and have a clever explanation for why it is, and some say the US lithium order is a big one. The U. S. could double or even triple until 2030. U. Mexican industry war in which President Donald Trump has fought hard. A Joe Biden presidency is more open to cooperation with Mexico. Mexico as a partner,” Miller says.

Mexico’s long term looks promising and state officials have high hopes. Francisco Quiroga, Undersecretary of Mines, appointed investors from at least five countries who have expressed interest in the Mexican lithium industry. Quiroga admits that there are still several operational, advertising and monetary challenges. , while others, adding Mexico’s Environment Secretary Victor Toledo, see a challenge in the personal corporations that run the show. Toledo believes the lithium mine is controlled through the government, but the president has spoken out against it. Mines may have simply triggered a domestic electric vehicle industry. The government thinks it doesn’t have the resources.

Toledo was seriously criticized through Mexico’s largest industrial union, which said nationalization was unsustainable and would drive away foreign investors. There remains one central question: if the government nationalized Sonora’s reserves and exploited them himself, would it invest more in superior protection and employee protection?Everything, he knows his violent teams more than foreign companies. Without advice, Mexico’s personal lithium extractors might have to be informed of other countries: Bolivia, for example, with the largest lithium resources of 21 million tons, is also suffering safely and extortion.

Bacanora’s CEO, Secker, is sure there won’t be any problems: “We’ve never noticed on our site and we don’t have the goal of doing so. “But prevention is more important than curing: after a Mexican cartel stole the McEwen Mining refinery in Sinaloa state in 2015, Rob McEwen, ceo of the Canadian mining company, lamented how the risk of cartel activity had been taken lightly.

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