An increase in COVID-19 infections in India, averaging more than 70,000 instances consistent with the day during the following week, has raised questions about the economy reopening, which through 24% of GDP after a drastic national lockdown imposed in March to save the virus from spreading.
India has the third highest number of COVID-19 instances after the United States and Brazil, but has the highest instances shown for more than a week, adding a new record of 79457 on Sunday.
A one-day spike of 78,357 cases on 1 September raised the total number of cases in India to 3,769,523, according to data from the Ministry of Health, with a death toll of 66,333. to allow companies and supply chains to revive and repair lost jobs.
According to Krishan Kumar Aggarwal, president of the Confederation of Medical Associations of Asia and Oceania, there has been a point where government efforts can no longer prevent him from accumulating cases.
If the existing continues, India will outperform Brazil and the United States in number of instances and deaths until mid-October. “
“The opening up of the economy will almost in fact lead to an increase in the number of cases, but blockades have had the effect of educating others for themselves. It’s ArrayNet.
Samiran Panda, who heads the Department of Epidemiology and Communicable Diseases of the Indian Medical Research Council (ICMR), attributes accumulation in some cases to advanced testing.
It also says that it is largely confined to certain states where there is a “mixture of vulnerable populations with other people who are asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic. There is also safe complacency among others to maintain the right habit for the patient. “COVID -19”.
The western state of Maharashtra has been the most affected by the pandemic, with 808,306 cases and 24,903 deaths. Maharashtra is followed through the 3 southern states of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.
Indian Health Minister Harsh Vardhan said he did not see a respite from the growing number of instances before Deepavali, India’s largest festival, which would take place on November 14, after which it would begin to decline. year, ” said Vardhan, a doctor, in a statement.
The pandemic has already wreaked havoc on the economy. On Monday, the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation released the knowledge that India’s rate of expansion of gross domestic product appears to have contracted by 23. 9% by the quarter of April to June, an era that roughly corresponds to an entire national blockade from 24 March to 17 May.
This is the first example of negative GDP expansion since 1996, when the country began publishing quarterly GDP data, and it is also the biggest drop in economic expansion among the world’s major economies.
According to the Center for monitoring the Indian Economy, more than 121 million people lost their jobs in April due to the scenario caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which brought the unemployment rate to a record level of 23%, although the scenario has progressed. since then.
On Tuesday, India’s leading economic adviser Krishnamurthy Subramaniam stated that it would possibly be months before the economy fully returns, but the government will continue to offer programs. “We recognize that the fight against COVID-19 may not last just a few months, so we are proposing a calibrated reaction and will continue to do so. “
The government has begun implementing $266 billion in money movement systems for the poor, announced in May, but economists had criticized the package for being inadequate to stimulate expansion and that the benefits would be short-lived and temporary.
India will want to spend more on public fitness to deal with the growing number of COVID-19 cases. According to WHO, in 2016, India spent $63 according to the user on fitness care for its other 1. 3 billion people. China spent $398 of its 1. 4 billion people in the same year.
Health Minister Harsh Vardhan acknowledges that India’s spending on fitness in GDP is lower than in many other countries. “However, we have had to keep the death toll from COVID-19 low by implementing the world’s largest and most severe lockdown on March 25. “
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