Guilbeault is positive about targets even as Canada’s emissions recover from pandemic

Canada’s carbon dioxide emissions recovered in 2021 after falling sharply in the first year of COVID-19, and experts will rise even higher this year as the return to normalcy accelerates.

The European emissions database for the global atmosphere shows that Canada’s carbon dioxide emissions increased by 3% in 2021 after falling by almost 10% in 2020.

This is in line with the global trend reported at UN weather talks in Egypt through the Global Carbon Project. Its annual carbon budget says emissions in 2021 are back to 2019 levels, and are expected to rise as much as 1% this year by comparison. to 2019.

He said that by the end of this year, the concentration of greenhouse gases in the environment will be 51 percent higher than in pre-industrial times, and the budget for climate good fortune is getting smaller.

However, Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault said he feels more confident than ever that Canada and the rest of the world can comply with the Paris climate agreement.

This purpose is to keep global warming as close to 1. 5°C as possible. Above 1. 5°C, the effects of climate change accumulate exponentially and after 2°C, some of the change may be irreversible.

“We have made enormous progress,” Guilbeault said from Egypt, where he is attending the COP27 weather conference.

“If you had asked me that query seven or eight years ago, the projections were that we were heading towards a planet where warming would be between 4 and six degrees Celsius. After Paris, the assessment that we were heading towards a planet where the temperature rises would be on the order of 2. 8 degrees Celsius. “

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Guilbeault said in recent weeks that other reports have shown that if all countries that have committed to reducing emissions live up to their pledges, the accumulation can be limited to between 1. 7°C and 2. 4°C.

This downward shift from up to 6°C to 1. 7°C occurred over “about a decade,” he said. “Now it’s still too much, but massive progress was made. But much remains to be done. “

When it comes to reducing emissions, Canada lags behind its peers. The Global Carbon Project says the best hope for containing global warming is that 24 countries experienced significant economic expansion between 2012 and 2021 and still reduced their emissions.

Canada is one of them. It is the only G7 country on the list, with solid emissions between 2012 and 2021.

European knowledge shows that Canada’s carbon emissions grew more slowly than any G7 country in 2021, but it also shows that Canada has done the worst job of any G7 country in reducing carbon dioxide emissions since 2005. This year is the point for the Paris goals. Climate Agreement.

Over the next few years, Canada’s carbon dioxide emissions have decreased by 3%. Japan has reduced its carbon dioxide by 2% since 2005, the United States by 20%, Germany by 21%, France by 26%, Italy by 36% and the United Kingdom by 40%.

And the data shows that Canada is the G7 country whose methane and nitrous oxide emissions increased between 2005 and 2021. Its methane emissions increased by 2. 7%, while nitrous oxide emissions increased by 18%.

Canada has promised that by 2030, total emissions will have fallen by 40 to forty-five percent.

The country’s fight for emissions more than it has been is largely due to the exponential expansion of oil production, with the expansion of emissions in this sector and transportation offsetting innovations in electric power and manufacturing.

Canadian environmental teams in Egypt this week were hopeful Guilbeault would reveal the oil and fuel emissions cap he promised at last year’s weather talks in Glasgow.

But the government plans to publish the main points of the cap until next year.

Aly Hyder Ali, oil and fuel program manager at Environmental Defence, said Canada jeopardizes its reputation as a weather leader if it doesn’t put more on the table to show that its promises are more than just words.

“We just want to see those commitments and promises turned into action with valid tactics and plans,” he said.

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