With Myah Ward’s
ETERNAL SUNSHINE – Greetings from the capital of Florida, where school and school football is a kind of return. Public schools begin to open completely. Coronavirus cases, positive rates, deaths, and hospitalizations are declining. Normally, this turns out to be the time for a strong and smart drink.
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With bar owners paralyzed by state-imposed closures, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis will allow water problems to reopen Monday to their partial capacity. friendly with the eventual reopening of public schools there and, therefore, reliving one of the largest public fitness experiments in the sunshine state, a position that, more than anywhere else, will once support the help the White House wins in November.
At consecutive press meetings over the next two days, DeSantis highlighted the positives and attempted to eliminate negatives, such as the highest number of Covid-related deaths (176 new deaths reported today, 213 on Thursday).
DeSantis pointed Thursday at a drop in emergency room visits, saying concentration in new cases increases “sometimes Array. ” exaggerated”: “Tens of thousands of others have tested positive and have not yet discovered hospitalization. Sometimes you just have to put those cases, in perspective. “
DeSantis has already been in this situation, pronouncing the reopening of the state in the spring, convinced that he is on the right path, but after he strutted and infuriated because his critics were wrong, the state saw cases, deaths and hospitalizations soared. it’s more tender, but will the effects be the same?
Unlike in early June, when the state opened too temporarily and citizens did not wear a mask, Floridans have a sense of déjo vu. “It’s a bit like Groundhog Day,” said Jason L. Salemi, epidemiologist at the University of South Florida. summarizing the emotions of so many scientists and fitness officers.
Numbers don’t lie, but who counts? It’s hard to feel with state data. Salemi has produced its own Covid tracker that lists 3 tactics to calculate the positivity rate, a key measure to decide whether to reopen.
Mark Settles, a professor of horticulture at the University of Florida who has produced some of the most incisive analysis of coronavirus cases in the state on his Facebook page, said the tests were insufficient and concerned: “The number of positives has risen and the number of tests has dropped. We are doing the opposite of what we are doing. “
Hospitalizations are a key measure, however, even that number can be misleading, Settles said. “The tendency to worry is that the percentage of other people who die without going to the hospital is increasing. “
And the DeSantis administration is pressuring schools to hide coronavirus cases and parents in the call to patient privacy. School districts defy order in calling for transparency and public health.
Florida epidemiologists say they perceive DeSantis’ preference for open schools, but say bars are a completely different subject. This is a smart way to have a one-night stand with the coronavirus. “Indoor restaurants are a problem,” said Aileen Marty, an epidemiologist at Florida International University. “We know those things. Deductive logic told us this is true. Now we have empirical evidence. “
Marty advises Miami-Dade County and his school board on reopening. At today’s press conference, Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Giménez said the bars would remain closed in his community because “we’re still out of danger,” a line DeSantis has said used in revealing ways (and hardly ever does).
This rejection of DeSantis frustrates Marty: “What he has to do is inspire intelligent behavior. “Hey, let’s move on in the right direction. Put on your mask. “But he didn’t. That’s crazy. It doesn’t make any sense. “To this day, DeSantis refused to make it mandatory for the state to wear the mask.
Like DeSantis, President Donald Trump has had a confused relationship with dressing up in a mask; mocked Joe Biden for dressing in a mask, even though the CDC recommends its use; and their meetings bring together more and more people without a mask or social. The simplest explanation for DeSantis’ reluctance to factor an order of masks across the state and his relatively cheerful view of the coronavirus in Florida is that he is looking to help the guy who helped him win his number one GOP in 2018 and, as a result, the governor’s decision.
But the truth is more confusing and more deeply felt: DeSantis is a conservative through and through. This is not a true anti-mask Covid, but it is deeply skeptical of academics and scientists who need lockdowns that harm businesses and the economy.
The question is whether DeSantis is adopting a fake selection that will eventually lead to a new circular of infections, hospitalizations and deaths that will begin to peak just in time for Election Day, crushing lives, the economy and Trump’s re-election possibilities in a state he will have to bring if he needs four more years in the White House.
Welcome to POLITICO Nightly: Coronavirus Special Edition. Tyler Weyant of Nightly to find out why NFL Most Valuable Player Lamar Jackson was not discussed in Thursday’s newsletter. Contact [email protected] or Twitter at @renurayasam.
PROPERTY – White House’s decision to ban deportations across the country, the pandemic has an accidental-looking effect: it threatens the livelihoods of millions of homeowners, monetary facility reporter Katy O’Donnell writes.
The general ordinance actually requires landlords to subside the housing of struggling tenants until the end of the year or face criminal consequences and heavy fines. This is a major challenge for the country’s 8 million indefinite owners, the maximum of whom rent a unit here or there in an asset they own without the money of pro-controlling companies.
More than 22 million rental units, or just over part of the country’s rental units, are located in single-family buildings of one to four units, according to knowledge collected through the Urban Institute. the owners themselves have yet to make their own monthly payments.
“In a four-unit building, if a user can’t afford the rent, they simply lose 25% of their income,” Pinnegar said.
Most sets are owned by the mother and the circle of family homeowners, many of whom have invested in retirement savings assets, now face a dramatic drop in their income, in the face of seeking to sell their assets or go into debt to meet their monetary obligations, adding loan payments and insurance , asset taxes, utilities and maintenance costs. If enough homeowners can no longer make those payments, it would threaten everything from asset tax-financed school budgets to the stability of the $11 trillion U. S. loan market itself.
Six months after the crisis began, millions of tenants can no longer pay their rent, and the scenario is getting worse. Tenants already owe about $25 billion in rent arrears and will want nearly $70 billion until the end of the year, based on an estimate last month through Moody’s Analytics.
Trump’s Sept. 1 announcement did not present hiring assistance to tenants, who when the order expires on Dec. 31, still have to pay months of late hiring, and it also did not provide any relief to landlords.
One in 3 tenants paid their rent from September on time, according to the most recent apartment list survey, and just over 25% said they had little or no confidence in their ability to pay their rent this month, according to the census knowledge published Wednesday, and 22% expressed only moderate confidence.
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THE BIDEN BUBBLE – Biden is back on the electoral court after months of quarantine in the basement of his Delaware home, but his team is still looking to keep him in an impenetrable coronavirus bubble. In POLITICO’s latest office, national political journalist Christopher Cadelago breaks The excessive length of Biden’s crusade will prevent the candidate from being exposed to the coronavirus.
IT’S AN ENVELOPE – Matt Wuerker takes us the week in cartoons and satire, with Bob Woodward’s revealing book, persistent fires in the American West and Russian interference in the election.
“DETÉRIORANT CLAIREMENT” – French Prime Minister Jean Castex today warned that the coronavirus scenario in France is “clearly deteriorating” and announced new measures for the ability to test and search tactilely. “The virus is circulating more and more in France, the rate of occurrence has more than 72 instances consisting of 100,000 others, compared to 57 instances consisting of 100,000 other people a week ago,” Castex said.
The prime minister said a “general blockade” deserves to be avoided and asked others to respect fitness measures, adding masked dresses, European political journalist Elisa Braun writes. He also announced that the era of quarantine for anyone with coronavirus Symptoms would be reduced from 14 days to 7 days. Local governors of Bordeaux, Marseille and the island of Guadeloupe should submit Castex’s proposals on stricter regulations until Monday, as regions have noticed an immediate increase in hospitalizations.
Nearly 10,000 new cases of coronavirus were reported through the fitness government between Wednesday and Thursday in France, however, hospitalizations remain low until the first wave, with another 615 people in resuscitation beds.
THE FIRST POST-9/11 ELECTION – Washington’s leading correspondent, Ryan Lizza, sends us an email:
Joe Biden adopted a discrete technique on September 11, 2020. His crusade announced that he would suspend all political publicity on September 11, a bipartisan tradition in the presidential election years. Biden told reporters early this morning that he would not give news about this. “solemn day. ” He attended the September 11 annual rite of commemoration in the decline of Manhattan with Vice President Mike Pence and several existing and former New York City officials, but did not speak. He later deposited a floral offering at the memorial commemorating the turn of flight destination 93 in Shanksville, Pennsylvania. He spoke to a circle of relatives who lost the joyful ones. He brought six packs of beer to the chimney department. He issued a statement.
Trump has to give up the same old suspension of political announcements. In the morning, he spoke at the annual commemoration of Flight 93 in Shanksville, when a spokesman for the Parks Department, who manages the site, told me it was originally planned. as a 20-minute abbreviated personal rite reserved for the circle of relatives of the deceased. The president was in a very good mood to break the news. In the afternoon, he announced in the Oval Office the normalization of relations between Israel and Bahrain and led a rite of medal of honor for a soldier who held hostages in Iraq in 2015. In New York, Pence recorded a television interview with Fox News.
While the two approaches to the day were a contrasting study, the truth is that in 2020 – unlike the election years of 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 – the anniversary of 9/11 in silence. Their policies have become, especially after the first few months. this year, less central to the lives of top Americans.
The risk of foreign terrorism has vanished. The Department of Homeland Security now reports that white supremacists are the greatest terrorist risk. More immediately, the risk of the coronavirus pandemic, which will soon have killed 200,000 Americans, or 67 9/11, is more serious for many Americans today, especially for other people of color, the risk of armed police is much more worrisome. Many others are dealing with life and death struggles related to the economic collapse. Weather hazards take over (ask others facing California fires and Miami floods). ) and nuclear proliferation, according to many foreign policy experts, will be more existential in the long run.
All this means that foreign terrorism, in the absence of an attack, will play a smaller role in 2020 than any presidential crusade since 9/11. That’s a smart thing to do. This means that the risk has decreased, but many other bad things have replaced it.
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