The nation’s most sensitive infectious disease expert said the United States faces a “situation” with increased positive coronavirus testing in a wide swath of northern states as the climate cools.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said the percentage of positive coronavirus tests is expanding in the northwest, Midwest, and other northern states.
The proportion of tests that detect the virus is a key indicator of spread or coronavirus in a community. Public fitness officials need less than 3% of all tests to test positive. An ideal rate is less than 1%, Fauci said Tuesday. at an assembly of the College of American Pathologists.
“We are starting to see a number of states well above that, which often, and invariably invariably, is very predictive of an increase in cases,” Mr. Fauci. It is known that an increase in the percentage of positive cases “leads to an increase in hospitalizations and in the end an increase in deaths. “
COVID tracking mapping data shows that 36 states have a higher rate of positive testing than the following week. Another 41 states have a higher number of cases in the week after the following week, according to a knowledge research by Johns Hopkins University.
As the fall weather gets cooler and other people are spending more time indoors, public fitness experts hoped “that we have a pretty smart control over the dynamics of infections in the country,” Fauci said. “In fact, unfortunately, this is not the case. “
Fauci said the country averaged between 40,000 and 50,000 new cases every day. The United States has reported more than 7. 8 million cases and 215,085 deaths.
A USA TODAY investigation into Johns Hopkins’ knowledge through Monday night shows that 16 states set records for new cases in a week, while Kansas, North Dakota, and South Dakota recorded a record number of deaths in a week.
Fauci said that eventually the country will slow down the spread of the virus again is something we “don’t need to do” and suggested Americans turn to public aptitude recommendations to curb SARS-CoV-2, the virus guilty of COVID-19. People wear masks, stop at least six feet away from others, avoid crowds, and wash their hands frequently.
The country deserves to know until the end of 2020 whether there is an effective vaccine. With five candidate vaccines now in complex clinical studies, Fauci said dosages of any legal vaccine through the Food and Drug Administration can be sent until the end of the year or early 2021, mainly to those most vulnerable.
And the progression was rapid, he said the public deserves to be convinced that any vaccine will be controlled consciously.
An independent organization of physicians, ethics experts and statisticians reviews the knowledge of each candidate vaccine studied to determine whether trials deserve to continue. These knowledge protection oversight committees investigate adverse occasions reported through patients and physicians.
For example, Johnson
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Fauci said oversight forums can sometimes determine whether a vaccine appears to harm others more than it helps or, on the contrary, whether the vaccine appears to be safe and more effective than a placebo.
If a company takes the next step and seeks FDA approval, the regulator also consults with an independent framework to review knowledge and whether the vaccine is in widespread use.
“There are many checkpoints in this procedure that I think the general public deserves to be comfortable with the idea that a vaccine cannot be obtained unless it has been independently agreed to be effective,” Fauci said.
Contributor: Michael Stucka
Ken Alltucker is on Twitter @kalltucker or can be emailed to alltuck@usatoday. com