The wave of the deadly coronavirus pandemic has increased from more than 3 million cases in April to more than twenty-six million cases in August, but as the rate of infection continues to rise in some parts of the world, according to published figures. through the authorities, it is cutting in Nigeria. As a result, Nigerians’ indifference is greater. IMOLEAYO OYEDEYI examines whether this is unlikely to cause the momentary wave of the virus and its peculiarities.
In nine months, the coronavirus pandemic claimed up to 915,070 lives and burned another 28410527 people in 213 countries and territories around the world through Thursday, September 10, 2020, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).
In the first 4 months of the virus outbreak, the global record of 3,256,570 showed cases with 233,363 patients, according to figures received from Johns Hopkins University (JHU), Baltimore, Maryland, USA. But it’s not the first time But in the last five months as of May 1, the world has noticed 23,245,868 cases and 640,440 deaths. For more than five months, June and July have been amazing places where the wave of virus has increased exponentially.
With the shocking build-up of the wave of the virus, WHO warned in July that the world facing a resurgence as the pandemic continued to accelerate, with instances reaching a new daily high of around 300,000 worldwide on July 27 and more than a portion in the United States. States only report an average of 67,000 instances over seven days starting July 21.
According to NewScientist, an online clinical website, “coronavirus has also been spreading in Asia since July 26; China, where the virus outbreak began, has recorded its highest number of daily cases since March. Worldwide, the cumulative number of cases has almost doubled beyond six weeks. “
Africa’s hot spot COVID-19
But despite having only 1. 2 billion people out of the world’s 7. 8 billion people, Africa is witnessing an immediate acceleration of the fatal virus.
Who, passing on the recent increase, said: “The pandemic is accelerating in Africa: it took 98 days to succeed in 100,000 first instances and only 18 days to increase to 200,000 instances. Ten of the 54 African countries have led to accumulation. in the number of employees, representing almost 80% of all cases. More than 70% of deaths occur in only five countries: Algeria, Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan ».
After recording the first outbreak of the virus on 14 February, the wave of viruses in Africa has fallen from a low rate to an alarming one, surpassing 400,000 to 6 July. According to figures received from Johns Hopkins, on 10 September the total number showed that virus instances on the black continent tripled to 1,336,407 and 32,178 victims. South Africa tops the African COVID-19 rankings with more than 50 consistent with the percentage of overall figures for the continent, or 644,438 showed instances with 15,265 deaths; Egypt is the time at the table with 100,557 cases shown and 5,590 deaths, while Nigeria ranks fifth with 55,829 cases shown, 1,075 deaths and 436,231 samples analyzed across the country.
53027 showed cases, 830 deaths since lockdown eased
Although epidemiologists have already warned that every time elimination measures are relaxed, chances are there will be a tendency to increase transmission and transitority restrictions in response, the federal government needs to expand the moment-by-moment phase of a week’s relaxation on Monday. , July 27. . As of Thursday, September 10, the country had recorded 53,027 cases shown and 830 deaths. There were 131 days between May 4, when soft confinement began and July 30, however, the country experienced no less than 39,406 showed instances and 779 deaths, an accumulation of nearly 817%, which is more vital than what was experienced in the country in the last 68 days.
According to the Nigerian Center for Disease Control (NCDC), the country recorded 60% of its general instances of COVID-19 in June alone, adding up to the number of deaths. But it turns out that the Presidential Working Group (TFP) on COVID-19 saw this coming.
PTF President and Federation Government Secretary (SGF), Boss Mustapha, in view of this peak, recently said: “The significant thing the PTF wants to do is that additional accumulation is expected in cases as nations begin to kick However, we will continue cautiously and will not hesitate to replace the course when the need arises. This means that Nigerians never deserve to confuse the government’s relaxation with a sign that the war against COVID-19 is over. “
Meanwhile, in early August, with the resurgence of the wave of the virus in Nigeria and other countries around the world, the question in the mouth of many people is whether the time of the wave of the virus has already been established, but as the month entered its last week, the wave of viruses around the world took a different form : while its daily index expanded in some parts of the world, it declined in positions such as Nigeria. As a result, Nigerians’ indifference to the prevalence of the virus has worsened, expanding the chances of a momentary wave of the virus, but what exactly does the momentary wave of the virus, which is widely talked about, mean?
‘Second wave’, unconventional term
According to the Guardian of UK, the term coronavirus “second wave” does not have a traditional clinical definition, however, it has been used to refer to peak infection located to complete national crises.
Meanwhile, despite many experts’ claims that Asian powers, China, Hong Kong, and South Korea are already fighting the wave of the virus that flattened the first wave and did not record new infections in 3 weeks, Johns Hopkins Medicine infectious disease specialist Lisa Maragakis insists that the world continues to witness the first wave of coronavirus.
She said: “As communities begin to reopen, others are naturally ahead of them to go out and resume some of their normal activities. But we don’t yet have an effective treatment or vaccine, so reopening is intended to take a safe position while keeping up. “social distance, masking and hand washing. “
“When a domain relaxes social estating policies and reopens, the effect of this substitution can take a month or more to notice. Of course, sudden post-reopen increases also depend on other people’s behavior when they start moving. wearing masks, washing hands and practicing social estating, reopening will have a much smaller effect on virus transmission than in communities where other people do not continue with such protective precautions in a widespread manner,” he added.
Threat of a wave
However, some experts have argued that for any group in the current coronavirus wave to capture the world, its first existing wave will have to end, after which a new strain of the virus will develop, but much is still unknown about the virus. , some think their next wave can be simply unpredictable, which will make it harder to control, especially since other people are tired of social estating.
But the head of the pediatric infectious diseases unit and chairman of the epidemic reaction committee at Ahmadu Bello University Hospital (ABUTH), Zaria, Kaduna state, Dr. Umar Lawal observed that, since the virus is not yet fully understood, it is not advisable With a little luck we are expecting some peculiarity of its wave at the moment, since the virus remains the largest pandemic that will plague the world since the Spanish flu of 1918 that prevailed a year ago.
“COVID-19 and the Spanish flu could not possibly be comparable due to the huge difference in duration and dynamics of the world population, as well as medical advances; however, a wonderful lesson of the Spanish flu is the fact that it exists one moment The COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve, although with other magnitudes in other parts of the world, putting some countries and regions before others in controlling the epidemic, “said Lawal.
He pressed that the end of a wave can only be imagined after achieving an era of more than two eras of incubation of an infectious disease epidemic in a specific region that, he said, translates into between 28 and 30 days in the case of COVID. 19 . .
“In some markets in China’s Beijing districts, for example, the government reported a first case of COVID-19 on June 11, 2020 after more than 50 days without witnessing any instance of the location. Following the discovery of this case, new research revealed that transmission had already occurred to 50 other people who had visited the market and, in turn, spread the disease to more people in their residential area. This occurrence was correctly regarded as a “second wave” because it happened after an era in which it doubled the maximum incubation era for COVID-19,” he said.
When asked if Nigeria, with its wave of developing virus, was on the cusp of the wave at the time, Lawal replied: “Not exactly; I say this because the way the occasions spread in Nigeria, we would probably never succeed at an express point where our government might be able to claim the end of a ‘first wave’. The fact that the locks loosen in the country is not necessarily due to the transmission being reduced, but perhaps because the locks are not sustainable, especially since the government cannot meet the requirements of most of its citizens, most of whom live below the poverty line.
He added: “Since there is inadequate evidence to stumble upon new cases in Nigeria, the epidemic curve in the country has not peaked or even fallen back to ‘flat’; therefore, it might not be appropriate to claim at this time that the first wave is over or even to speculate on a wave at the moment.
Reacting to a recent Cambridge University study that posits that if everyone wearing a mask all the time, this could save you a wave of viruses over the next 18 months, Lawal said, “It is vital to note that in the face of any outbreak of an infectious disease, it is sometimes mandatory to take a combination of saving measures to achieve control , so the use of face mask alone in all people will not be sufficient to prevent transmission, assuming that all people wear masks and systematically, unless other measures are implemented simultaneously.
He pressed that “social distance and constant hand and breathing hygiene are also very useful methods that Americans will have to adhere to in an attempt to lessen the spread of COVID-19,” adding that “when the use of masks is not pleasant and consistently in accordance with popular guidelines, there is a strong possibility that the spread of the virus will continue within the community. “
When asked if the growing indifference of Nigerians caused the resurgence of the virus in the country to likely cause its wave at the moment, Dr. Lawal said he saw no option for the country to experience a wave of the virus at the moment because even the first wave has not yet reached a traditionally low rate.
He is under pressure that with Nigerians’ growing indifference to the spread of the virus, the country is likely to witness a sudden increase in the first wave, especially since it has now opened its airports through which the most inflamed participants can reach other parts of the country.
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