COVID-19: India’s R value is less than 1 since September, researchers say

A smaller R indicates that the disease is decreasing. Conversely, if R is greater than 1, the number of people inflamed increases in turn.

The replica number or R refers to the number of other people that an inflamed user infects on average. In other words, it indicates how “efficiently” a virus spreads.

An R-value of less than 1 means that the disease is spreading slowly. Conversely, if R is greater than 1, the number of inflamed people increases circularly; Technically, this is called the epidemic phase.

The higher the number 1, the faster the spread of the disease within the population.

According to figures calculated by researchers at the Chennai-based Institute of Mathematical Sciences, the R-value of the 10 most sensitive states with the highest number of active cases was less than 1 as of Oct. 18.

However, some cities continue to see an increasing number of active cases. Kolkata has an R-value above 1, which is perhaps “not surprising” given the mass gatherings at the (recently completed) Durga Puja, said Sitabhra Sinha, who is leading the research. .

Bangalore also has an R-value above 1 (this has been the case since mid-September), while the R-values of Chennai, Pune, and Mumbai are just below 1.

The country’s R-value, calculated between September 25 and October 18, is 0. 90.

Between August 30 and September 3, the price is 1. 11. Since then, it has started to fall: the price R 0. 94 between September 4 and 7, 0. 86 between September 11 and 15, 0. 92 between September 14 and September 19, and 0. 87 between September 17 and 21, according to the study.

After the brutal second wave of coronavirus between March and May this year, COVID-19 cases are declining.

On Tuesday, India recorded 13,058 new coronavirus infections, the lowest point in 231 days, the Union Health Ministry reported.

The backlog of new coronavirus infections has been below 30,000 for 25 consecutive days and fewer than 50,000 new cases have been reported for 114 consecutive days.

Active cases account for 0. 54% of total infections, the lowest since March 2020, while the national COVID-19 recovery rate stood at 98. 14%, the highest since March 2020, the ministry said.

READ ALSO: Covid-19: Antibodies in 76. 3% of Haryana residents

READ ALSO: With 13,058, India records lowest single-day accumulation of COVID cases in 231 days; 164 deaths reported

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