MANILA, Philippines – The number of cases of coronavirus disease can be successful in 85,000 cases with 2,000 deaths through the end of July if the number of virus replicas continues to increase, according to a recent review conducted through OCTA research from the University of the Philippines.
Researchers made the projection based on the conclusion that there were an average of 2000 cases reported through the Ministry of Health (DOH) in the Philippines as of July 10.
This also indicates that the current number of breeders in the country is about 1.75 and is increasing, the researchers said.
According to the group, the increase in public mobility of the General Community Quarantine (GCQ) was one of the points that contributed to the increase in the rate of COVID-19 infections.
If the metropolitan domain of Manila moves to a more comfortable general network quarantine, there will be an increase in the number of reproductions, he said too.
In mid-July, the total number of coronavirus disease cases exceeded 61,000, surpassing the projection of UP researchers that the Philippines will have 60,000 to 70,000 coVID-19 cases until the end of the month.
[COVID-19 PREVIEWS IN FILIPINAS: NCR, CEBU and COVID-19 HOTSPOTS as of July 10, 2020] [July 16 …
The review also found that the rate of transmission to Cebu had decreased since undergoing a strictly improved network quarantine.
“The number of reproductions of Rt in Cebu is now greater than 1.14 out of more than 2 of the MECQ. Cebu remains an access point with the highest number of network transmissions, but is in a downward trend due to the effects of network quarantine,” the researchers said. Said.
Meanwhile, the UP also feared that hospitals in metropolitan Manila were “overwhelmed” by the “genuine wave” of infections in the region.
“The number of Rt playbacks in NCR is greater than 1.75. Despite the decline in NCR mortality rates, there is a genuine threat that hospitals will be overtaken by this increase,” he says.
According to the researchers, if the GCQ were to remain in the Greater Manila area, this would lead to a record 40,000 COVID-19 infections until the end of this month and more than 80,000 cases with a total of 2,800 deaths through the end of August.
Returning Metro Manila’s prestige to stricter quarantine, i.e. the network’s new improved quarantine, would reduce the number of COVID-19 reproductive infections until the end of July, the researchers said.
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