In the reds
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November 14, 2021,
A casi dos años del inicio de la pandemia, Argentina lidera los rankings mundiales de los indicadores más importantes: los buenos y los malos. Su alta cobertura de vacunación contrasta con las tasas de casos y muertes por habitantes.
Among nations with more than 20 million inhabitants, our country ranks 12th in vaccination policy with one dose and with full skin. At the same time, it is discovered in the number of deaths per million population and, thirdly, in the number of cases per million population.
Este claroscuro puede leerse como una paradoja, pero en realidad no lo es. “Gran parte de nuestros muertos son anteriores a la vacunación como en la mayoría de los países”, asegura Roberto Etchenique, investigador de Conicet y la Universidad de Buenos Aires (UBA), que sigue de cerca la evolución de la pandemia.
For the expert, Argentina has higher vaccination rates than several developed countries, but the differences are moderate. For example, the United States (17th in the ranking with one dose) immunized 66. 6 of its population with the 1st dose and 57. 3 percent, the entire application of the formula.
Eso es un 10 por ciento menos que en nuestro país para el caso de una dosis y apenas un uno por ciento menos para esquema completo, según datos del sitio ourworldindata.org al 2 de noviembre.
Es el tercer país de América del Sur con mejor cobertura, detrás de Chile y Uruguay. Entre las naciones del G-20 se ubica cuarta (detrás de Corea del Sur, Canadá, Japón).
Etchenique assures that the main stains of deaths and cases are explained through the strategy that the country implemented before introducing the vaccines. “The difference between ‘flattening’ and ‘crushing’ on the case curve can be made through significant relief in the number of casualties,” he says.
This is an example of what happened in Germany, which from the first moment began to flatten the curve. He checked in in the first half and “strove” to do so in the second. Despite the flexibilities in the rest of Europe, I discovered far fewer deaths.
“Argentina has followed the strategy of flattening the curve, which is useless to save deaths from Covid-19. In any case, its use would prevent the death of the sanitation system,” he explains.
The country has gone through other tables (planning curves), even higher. This strategy promises more or less solid infections, but much more. Without vaccines or effective treatments, more deaths are also guaranteed, says Etchenique.
En el ranking de muertos cada millón de habitantes, Alemania se ubica 18º con 1.144. Argentina está cuarta con 2.543. El primer lugar lo ocupa Perú, con 6.003.
In Peru, the fitness formula collapsed when many other people died because they simply weren’t treated in a hospital.
De todas formas, el “éxito” de Alemania no está asegurado ya que en este momento está atravesando una nueva ola, como buena parte de Europa.
Algunos expertos analizan otras razones de por qué la pandemia “pegó” diferente en cada país.
Where are the other variants of Sars-Cov-2? Gamma is the leader of the second year in South America. Humberto Debat, a virologist at the National Institute of Agricultural Technology (INTA) in Córdoba and a member of the País consortium, believes that it is difficult to determine the impact of the pandemic in Latin America this year.
“There are several factors: demographics, fitness formula, and the end result could be the Gamma variant. It is clear that the effects of the first and second years will be different. At that time it was transmitted through a separate virus with greater contagion,” he said.
But he announced that this happened in Europe with the Alpha variant. “The differences between Gamma and Alpha are not as wonderful as those of other impacts,” he explains.
Por su parte, Alicia Stolkiner, profesora de Salud Pública de la UBA, tampoco encuentra una explicación clara al impacto de la segunda ola en América Latina. Pero recuerda que en epidemiología deben tenerse en cuenta los aspectos demográficos.
“In Argentina, 70% of the population is urban and 30% live in a single conglomerate, which is Greater Buenos Aires. And with Covid-19, the population can expect more deaths. “There are some low-income countries where mortality is low and is related to low life expectancy,” for example.
Ya sea por Gamma, la demografía, el comportamiento social o la gestión estatal de la pandemia, la consecuencia fue que Argentina tuvo una alta tasa de contagios.
According to the Los Ángeles Salud Institute of Metrics and Evaluation (Ihme, University of Washington), between the ages of 50 and 5, Argentine centenarians have been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic, due to official detections in recent years. five years. . 3 million (less than 12% of the angelestion population).
In the region, Colombia and part of Brazil have percentages. For months in Peru, Ecuador, Bolivia and northern Brazil, the figure would exceed 70 percent.
In the United States, the promise of contagion is from the 20th century, as is that of much of Western Europe. Countries such as Australia, New Zealand, Japan and parts of Southeast Asia have less than 10% of their population.
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