Comment: COVID-19 deaths in the U. S. U. S. Rates Still High, But Let’s Be Aware of Meteorologists’ Mistakes

Cory Franklin and Robert Weinstein

In a recent NFL game, the Indianapolis Colts led the Minnesota Vikings 33-0 in part-time. At the time, Las Vegas offered more than a 100-1 chance that the Colts would win, but the Vikings staged a livid rally at the time. and won with a basket in overtime. It was one of the biggest comebacks in NFL history and proved once again that it’s not always possible to wait for the final results of an event before it’s over.

The same goes for the COVID-19 pandemic, which is entering its fourth year. In May 2020, Business Insider CEO Henry Blodget and journalist David Plotz wrote, “In January, the United States and South Korea learned of their first case shown. of coronavirus on the same day. South Korea responded promptly and competently, testing, tracking and isolating instances and waiting for the outbreak. United States. . . It never mobilized the strong federal reaction that could have slowed the epidemic before it began. Three months later. . . South Korea is on the verge of exterminating the virus.

In early 2021, Pulitzer Prize-winning scientist Lawrence Wright criticized the U. S. reaction to the U. S. UU. al COVID-19: “We did the worst job in the world” had controlled COVID-19 less well than any other country.

That was then; This is now. According to Worldometer, an independent online page that has provided COVID-19 statistics on the pandemic, at least 30 and in all likelihood as many as 50 industrialized countries have had more cases of COVID-19 consistent with capital than the United States. (The number is based on whether small island nations are included. )

At the end of 2020, the United States accounted for 25% of COVID-19 cases worldwide. Now it’s a little over 15%, and the fraction is declining. Some countries, first, praised its reaction to COVID-19: Singapore, New Zealand, and the Czech Republic have long surpassed the United States in terms of capita. What about South Korea, which was destined to be on the verge of exterminating the virus?South Korea lately has one of the tallest case monkeys in the world.

There are some caveats. This knowledge comes with officially reported cases and does not come with many known cases through home tests or those that have never been reported to public fitness officials. So while there are more cases in the US than Worldometer reports, there is no evidence that the US disproportionately undercounts cases compared to other countries.

This should not be taken as proof that the United States has taken a particular step forward in its response; On the contrary, the new variants have stood out notoriously with other countries. Omicron and its subsequent variants beat many less affected countries in 2020, despite their social distancing, vaccination and mask-wearing policies.

Since autumn, Japan has had the absolute number of cases in the world. In the first year of the pandemic, Japan had a quarter of a million cumulative cases; Now he has more than a hundred times that number.

Unfortunately, the trend line of consistent deaths per capita in the United States is not shrinking as drastically as the trend line of overall cases. For comparison: Deaths and mortality, which is the total number of deaths divided by the total number of cases, are declining in the United States but much more slowly than in the rest of the world. In addition, according to a study in the journal Nature, the pandemic, the United States consistently experienced one of the highest rates of exaggerated deaths in the world, that is, the number of deaths observed, all reasons combined, beyond the expected figure if the pandemic had not occurred.

There is no apparent explanation for why mortality and deaths in the United States are more consistent here than in most countries of the world. This has little or nothing to do with the variable quality of healthcare around the world, as some postulated at the beginning of the pandemic. Vaccination rates are maximum, probably a partial explanation for why (the U. S. rate). UU. es lower than in many industrialized countries), however, overall U. S. vaccination rates are lower than in many industrialized countries. The U. S. rates are consistent with those of many countries with lower mortality and mortality rates. Rates

The main explanation for why death rates in the U. S. areThe U. S. population is probably the highest number of vulnerable and high-risk patients in its population: a relatively higher percentage of elderly, obese or immunocompromised patients than in most other countries. Complaint made through many scientific hounds and medical experts, we cannot reconstruct the demographics of the country. Yes, giving reminders to other high-risk people will do things but won’t solve the problem.

Inconsistent predictions don’t age well. In July, Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding, one of the world’s most cited in inconsistent public health, predicted that the UK could see just 60,000 cases of monkeypox per day until the end of 2022. However, in a recent week there have been five cases overall and government reports in the UK have ceased due to the low number of cases.

Clearly, there are forces in the works that no one can comprehend. As bettors say, the Colts would weigh on the Vikings.

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(Dr. Cory Franklin is a retired physician. Dr. Robert Weinstein is an infectious disease specialist at Rush University Medical Center. )

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