Chronology: How the origin story of the Covid lab leak went from ‘conspiracy theory’ to debate

On Sunday, the U. S. Department of Energy reportedly said that the U. S. Department of Energy was not allowed to be able to do so. UU. se became the moment when the government company concluded that the coronavirus likely leaked from a lab rather than naturally passing from animals to humans, a “low trust” conclusion that will pay more attention to a trust that was once considered as, and through some, remains little more than a fringe theory.

December 2019 A cluster of cases of a mysterious respiratory illness has been reported in the Chinese city of Wuhan, the first lines of a virus believed to kill millions of people worldwide in the worst pandemic in decades.

February 16, 2020 Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark. ) became one of the first high-profile politicians to tout the theory that the coronavirus originated in a lab, either as an artificially created virus or as an escaped herbal virus, a concept that exploded with the prevailing theory that the virus circulated in bats and was transferred herbal from animals to humans to humans. through a food market in Wuhan (Cotton stated at the time that he had no evidence that the virus had left a lab).

March 7, 2020An organization of scientists submits an open letter condemning “conspiracy theories suggesting that COVID-19 has no herbal origin”; That letter comes because one of its signatories, Peter Daszak, is the head of EcoHealth Alliance, an organization working in China at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, which some have noted as a clash of interests.

April 18, 2020Then-President Donald Trump, who refers to Covid-19 as a “Chinese virus,” says “many other people are examining” the option of a lab leak and says the theory “seems to make sense”; Dr. Anthony Fauci, then the government’s most sensible infectious disease expert, refuted Trump’s claim and presented a study that found mutations in the virus are “consistent with the jump from an animal species to human. “

January 15, 2021In the final days of Trump’s presidency, the State Department releases a fact sheet stating that the U. S. government is not yet in the process of being released in the U. S. government. The U. S. Food and Drug Administration believes that some researchers at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, a biological laboratory whose studies on bat viruses had come under scrutiny, fell ill in the fall of 2019, some time before the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic; In May, it is reported that 3 scholars were hospitalized before the first case of coronavirus was reported.

9 February 2021A World Health Organization team investigating the source of Covid-19 says it cannot discern its origins, but calls “extremely unlikely” the option of the virus escaping from a laboratory in Wuhan: many observers have questioned whether China has given the equipment had enough access to succeed in a conclusion of the venture, and Biden’s new management has expressed “deep concerns” about the report.

February 9, 2021An article in the journal Nature shows that a close relative of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19, has been discovered in bats in Thailand, lending credence to the theory that the virus evolved naturally and not manipulated in a lab.

May 14, 2021An organization of scientists publishes an open letter in the journal Science, saying “we want to take hypotheses about the consequences of weeds and the laboratory seriously until we have enough data,” and arguing that the option of a laboratory leak has been very well studied.

May 26, 2021President Joe Biden orders an intelligence of the two main theories about the origin of Covid-19.

June 3, 2021 Fauci, who until now has been convinced that covid-19 evolved through herbs, says that “the most likely maximum origin is from an animal species to a human being, but I have an open mind that there could be other origins. “,” adding, “it may also have been a lab leak. “

July 20, 2021 Fauci and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky. ) call each other liars to a Senate hearing, as part of a months-long debate over whether federal agencies funded “gain-of-function” dicy studies in China that switched viruses to examine their evolutionary expansion pathways. suggesting (without direct evidence) that the coronavirus may have been created in a lab rather than simply leaked from a lab; Fauci denied that the focus of the studies had been used, and the National Institutes of Health later said the viruses studied with federal investment in China were “genetically very distant” from SARS-CoV-2.

August 25, 2021 Biden’s intelligence report does not determine whether covid-19 left a lab or originated.

October 29, 2021 A declassified assessment of the U. S. intelligence networkThe U. S. Department of Health says “two hypotheses are plausible: exposure to herbs to an inflamed animal and a laboratory-related incident,” but intelligence agencies remain divided over which assumption is correct; it also finds that China probably did not spread the virus as a biological weapon, and top analysts decided with “low confidence” that the virus was not genetically modified.

July 26, 2022 A pair of peer-reviewed studies published in the journal Science determine that the Huanan market in Wuhan, not a laboratory, is the maximum likely origin of the virus, raising possible genetic mutations in the virus and the presence of other inflamed ones. People and viruses: positive samples near the market.

October 27, 2022Senate Republicans release a report stating that the “most likely” origin of the coronavirus is a “research-related incident” at a laboratory in China, pointing to biosafety issues at the Wuhan Institute of Virology and the lack of “critical evidence corroborating a zoonotic herbal overflow,” And although “the lack of evidence is not in itself proof”, it is “very problematic” that an herbal origin has not been proven 3 years after the pandemic.

February 26, 2023 The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times that the Department of Energy, which oversees U. S. laboratory networks, is expected to be able to do so. The U. S. Department of Health has concluded with “little confidence” that Covid-19 originated in a laboratory.

2. This is how many intelligence agencies, the Department of Energy and the FBI, decided that covid-19 had leaked from a lab, according to the Journal. The FBI reached its conclusion in 2021 with “moderate confidence. “Four agencies reportedly decided with “low confidence” that the virus was naturally transmitted through animals. The CIA and some other anonymous firm are unsure between the two original theories.

Although there are many laboratories in Wuhan, where the covid-19 cases were first reported, the Wuhan Institute of Virology has remained in the middle of the laboratory leak theory, as one of its laboratories conducts studies of coronavirus in live bats. Proponents of the theory sometimes believe that the coronavirus evolved in nature and was studied in a laboratory in Wuhan before accidentally escaping, or that it was artificially created by researchers before escaping, although the latter theory has been strongly disputed by many experts. . The herbal spread theory centers on the Huanan market in Wuhan, where animals were being sold along with bats and raccoons, as many of the first reported cases were linked to this market. Politics heavily influenced how those origin theories were won and studied, as conservatives touted the option of a lab leak early in the pandemic, occasionally without any direct evidence. Many have called Trump’s claims a flawed lab leak, as he regularly spreads false claims about the virus, adding that researchers deserve to look at injecting bleach as a way to combat it. the virus was released on purpose as a bioweapon, a conspiracy theory without proof. The debate was influenced by strained US-China relations, with some early proponents of the lab leak theory, Cotton adding, criticizing China for its lack of transparency.

As China has been known as the source of Covid-19, whether herbal or lab, Asian Americans have noticed an accumulation of racism and targeted attacks against race that is usually linked to the pandemic. In 2022, the organization Stop AAPI Hate reported that there were about 11,500 reported hate incidents in the United States between March 19, 2020 and March 31, 2022.

Here’s What Dr. Fauci Had to Say About the Origins of Covid and the Lab Leak (Forbes)

A timeline of the Wuhan COVID-19 lab origin theory (Forbes)

Covid most likely comes from lab leak, Energy Department says, but Biden says no ‘definitive answer’ (Forbes)

The Lab Leak (New York Magazine)

EXPLANATION: The U. S. Investigation U. S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on the Origins of COVID-19 (Associated Press)

Meet the Scientist in the Covid Lab Leak Controversy (MIT Technology Review)

Full coronavirus policy and updates

@MarisaDellatto or touch mdellatto@forbes. com.

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