CDC will avoid tracking Covid-19 network levels, here are the problems

It’s about to get a lot harder to anticipate and save you from some other Covid-19 outbreak or outbreak in the United States. With the U. S. statement. The Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) plans to prevent network levels of covid-19 from being reported as it has, according to a report by Brenda Goodman for CNN. The CDC will not abandon all covid-19 surveillance and will continue to demonstrate what is going on with covid. -19 hospitalizations and deaths. But hospitalizations and deaths tend to rise only after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is already higher in an area. So unless you have a time device or can enter the quantum realm just like the Avengers did, such measures wouldn’t actually help anyone avoid another Covid-19 surge. Yes, the U. S. reactive rather than proactive approach is not yet proactive. In the U. S. , the Covid-19 pandemic is about to become even less proactive.

Relying on hospitalizations and deaths to decide what to do can be a bit like saying you’re going to wait until you’re laid off or the company goes bankrupt before figuring out if you want them to perform their task. Let the divorce papers come in before you say, “Hmm, maybe I deserve to start doing the dishes and not do all these traps?Hospitalizations tend to occur about a week or two after other people have been infected. regularly say, “Oh, someone with Covid-19 coughed in my face. It’s time to rush to the hospital. ” Deaths occur even more after the virus has spread and after hospitalizations, because that’s how time works. So once hospitalizations and deaths have increased, it’s a little too late due to the reinstatement of Covid-19 precautions such as face mask requirements. The horse is already out of the stable. The cat is already out of the bag. The honorable senator has already left for Cancun.

There will be sewage testing in communities. But it’s not yet transparent which parts of the U. S. are in the U. S. The U. S. will have this available and how it will be reported. Goodman’s article discussed that the CDC will track Covid-19 the same way they track the flu. There’s a small, small, long challenge with that. Covid-19 is not the flu. Experts have been trying to tell everyone for over 3 years that SARS-CoV-2 is not like the flu. You don’t see many other people saying they have a prolonged flu. While hospitalization and death rates for Covid-19 have fallen, they are still higher than for influenza. SARS-CoV-2 can spread through the air in tactics that the flu virus cannot. In addition, SARS-CoV-2 has not yet become seasonal like influenza. address yet, and here is a big one but you can’t lie, there is still a lot of Covid-19 in spring and summer unlike the flu.

The great challenge that persists is that the U. S. It has never put in place an effective surveillance formula for COVID-19. All ended up relying on a concept developed by Ensheng Dong, a graduate student at Johns Hopkins University, and his advisor Lauren Gardner, PhD, director of the Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering. They introduced the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center in early 2020 to collect Covid-19 case reports from other states and municipalities and post them on an online page. The New York Times has also set up an online page to keep the public informed about the degrees of Covid-19 across the country. Throughout 2020, those two websites have been the hotspots for the public, journalists, the clinical community, and just about everyone else. In other words, the team of professors, graduate students, and postdocs at Johns Hopkins University and the New York Times were doing what big government with all the taxpayer money deserves to have done.

So what is the federal government doing in 2020? Well, there were political leaders who claimed that the pandemic was “turning the corner” and that it looked like a scary polygon. flu. “

Things improved somewhat in 2021 with the CDC appearing on color-coded county maps based on weekly rates of new SARS-CoV-2 infections reported and the percentage of covid-19 tests that ended up positive. But then things started to get back on again. During the 2021-2022 period, the CDC would replace what the colors represent on the maps and end up using existing maps of the Covid-19 network grades expired in February 2022. These network grades focused more on Covid-19 hospitalizations and hospital beds availability and less on the amount of transmission that was actually occurring on the network. This literally turned the cards into other colors, going from largely red cards to more yellow and green.

Isn’t it like looking to replace the way a game is scored when you lose in the middle of a league game?Imagine losing 28-7 in the Super Bowl and saying, “Okay, all past touchdowns are only worth 1 point You see, now we’re only wasting 3 points. Soon after the maps replaced the color, it became known that the face mask would no longer be in many parts of the country. When you replace a precautionary formula, a scoring formula, or any kind of scoring formula along the way, the risk is that other people will no longer take you very seriously. Confidence could be, “Oh, it’s not real. That will recover if we wait long enough. “

At the same time, the monitoring formula has not been replaced to account for adjustments in verification. Once the Biden management began using Covid-19 verification kits at home, fewer and fewer people visited official Covid-19 verification sites. This meant that many positives Most likely, Covid-19 checks have not been reported, making the number of Covid-19 cases even less reliable. One way to compensate for this would have been to establish sentinel control sites in the country where everyone is checked periodically. Concept of what the virus can actually do.

On an April 29, Maria Van Kerkhove, PhD, WHO Technical Officer on Covid-19, under pressure on the importance of continued surveillance with the XBB subvariants of SARS-CoV-2 circulating worldwide and “Every week, millions of other people are (re)infected, thousands are hospitalized and thousands die of #COVID19”:

Yes, the Covid-19 pandemic is over.

It’s unclear exactly when the CDC will avoid reporting Covid-19 network levels. This could happen very soon, possibly in the next week. With the end of the public health emergency, the government will no longer be able to require laboratories in which the country continues to report the results of its Covid-19 controls. States and municipalities across the country will most likely replace the way they also report Covid-19 cases and outcomes. With some states reporting cases as low as monthly, it will be even harder to anticipate any other Covid-19 surge. So, as they say, hello, darkness, my old friend. The public will be more ignorant of what is happening with Covid-19, which might be welcomed by some politicians so they don’t feel compelled to do anything about it.

That’s not to say things will get better with the Covid-19 pandemic. The persistent problem, however, is that with each and every Covid-19 policy change, there does not seem to be a transition plan communicated very obviously at the national level. If you avoid reporting Covid-19 network levels, how accurately will you anticipate any long-term surge or wave?How will new variants be tracked when labs don’t provide the same data?What are the plans to track Covid-19 for 3 months, six months, a year and beyond?

As the old adage of disease surveillance goes, you can’t save what you can’t see. You also can’t fight what you can’t see. Information is power. A challenge that simply disappears just because you don’t get attached to it. In fact, on the contrary, ignoring a challenge can be like putting a plate of spaghetti under your bed. You never know what it can become. It remains difficult to get political leaders to see all this.

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