Boris Johnson today suggested that the country will be difficult to “flatten the pothole of the moment” in Covid-19 cases, saying it is the only way to save Christmas.
But the most productive experts insisted that the existing peak of instances is far from living up to what was observed on the darkest days of the crisis in March and April, one of them told MailOnline, “We are not close to the peak stage. “‘
However, they say the increase in infections, which have doubled in a fortnight, is “problematic”. Hospital admissions and the number of patients inflamed with fans increased dramatically last week.
Britain recorded nearly 4,000 new instances of Covid-19 for the first time since 8 May, reinforcing fears that the country is in the midst of a wave of dreaded moments.
The government’s graphs now obviously show a resurgence of the disease, with cases being recorded in the degrees noted in the UK’s first life-threatening war and the number of others admitted to hospitals in rising England. Johnson said today: “The only way to make sure the country can enjoy Christmas is now it’s hard. “
But instances cannot be compared to existing instances, experts say, because virtually no tests were performed and the figures did not reflect reality.
About 6,000 infections were reported in the worst days of April, however, in the spring, the government examined only 15,000 Britons each day and samples were limited to the maximum number of severely ill.
Since then, fitness bosses have stepped up testing to take around 200,000 samples per day, theoretically allowing symptoms, not just the most vulnerable in society, to be tested.
Now there are dozens of negative cases for each positive case, which shows that giant proportions of other people who think they have Covid-19 don’t, otherwise it’s true on the first wave when most people who took the test had it.
Top experts estimate that up to 100,000 new instances of Covid-19 occurred according to the day in the worst component of the British epidemic and verification figures show that about 340 instances consisting of 1000 verifications were discovered in early April, a figure that is now about 14.
The positive check rate consists of a thousand as low as 5. 1 at the end of July, after falling below one hundred in early May, when public checks were allowed.
It fell below 10 in early July and reached a low of 5. 1 towards the end of the month.
But the rate suddenly started to rise again, from 7. 9 on September 1 to September 14, which is the maximum recent knowledge available.
This is despite the government claiming that the number of tests conducted in the UK has been slightly replaced and still remains at more than 200,000, despite an ongoing testing fiasco that has noticed that thousands of people, adding doctors and nurses, lack samples.
World Health Organization (WHO) bosses said in May that a check positivity rate of less than 5% is a smart indicator that an outbreak is under control.
Positivity tests are considered one of the most accurate tactics for determining whether an accumulation in the number of cases is due to more swabs or a real increase in transmission.
Professor Ronald Fricker, a statistician at Virginia Tech University, said: “If you catch a fish almost every time you send the net (high positivity), he tells you there are probably a lot of fish you haven’t caught. ‘
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Edited through Associated Newspapers Ltd
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