Belarusian KGB hopes to become winter war

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IRYNA BALACHUK — TUESDAY, OCTOBER 2022, 12:23 PM

Chairman of the Belarusian State Security Committee Ivan Termel believes that the turning point of the Russian war in Ukraine may come in the era from November to February.

Source: RIA Novosti, a Kremlin-aligned Russian media outlet; Ministry of Defense of Belarus, on Telegram

Tertel’s quote: “If the Russian Federation carries out the mobilization and provides its forces with technical means and complex weapons, then the struggle will enter a key phase. According to our estimates, there will be a turning point between November this year and February next year. “. “

For its part, the Ministry of Defense of Belarus quotes the statement of the Secretary of State of the Security Council of Belarus, Alexander Volfovich, according to which Ukraine allegedly seeks to attack Belarus and that NATO and European countries “openly take into consideration imaginable characteristics for aggression” against the Republic of Belarus.

Volfovich quote: “The highest levels of the Ukrainian government are also discussing the option of attacking Belarus, basically our fugitives who are lately in Ukraine: the Kastuś Kalinoŭski regiment, the Litvin battalion and other illegal armed groups. “

Details: Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor Khrenin once again repeated the narrative of the self-proclaimed president of the Republic of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, that the responsibilities of the country’s regional troop formations are “purely defensive. “Belarus’ leaders also claim that all the measures being implemented lately are supposedly aimed at “a sufficiently good reaction to movements near the borders of Belarus. “

Background: On September 30, the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kyriylo Budanov, said that Ukraine would return to occupied Crimea; This will be carried out with weapons and soon.

According to his prediction, the war will largely subside in winter, but after that, the end of this confrontation will begin with the recovery of Ukraine’s national borders to what they were [when the country became independent – editor’s note] in 1991. .

Budanov believes that the liberation of Crimea will take place “not in summer, but in last spring or even a little earlier. “

Bottom:

On 10th October the self-proclaimed President of the Republic of Belarus, Aleksander Lukashenko, met with the Belarusian army and security forces to whom he told them that the previous day he had asked to send a message of risk to the President of Ukraine that “the Crimean bridge will look like flowers” if Ukrainians invade Belarusian territory.

He also said that Russia and Belarus had agreed to deploy a joint regional organization of troops, and announced that soon the Russian military would return to his country.

Belarusian Defense Minister Viktor Khrenin warned Ukraine not to take “bad measures and galvanize Belarus” to avoid war.

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