At a briefing at the White House earlier this week, dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said she was involved in the United States seeing “another preventable outbreak” in COVID-19 cases if mitigation measures were taken – such as evidence, disguised as masks, social esttainment, handshake, and crowd avoidance – were not observed.
And on Saturday, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the country’s leading infectious disease specialist, told ABC News’ Good Morning America that he was “very concerned” that “we may be starting to see an increase in cases. “
The average daily case in the United States continued to go up. After two months of stable falls last week, the national average case rose to 12. 5%, now to just over 60,000 cases consistent with the day, as did the number of cases recorded during the summer. .
“We are seeing an increase in cases in many parts of the world, adding some US states. America, making a fourth wave possible,” Rachel Baker, an epidemiologist at Princeton University, told ABC News.
In the first wave, the United States experienced an immediate increase in instances and deaths, concentrated in the Northeast, and more specifically in New York. During the summer, the country experienced a momentary wave with an influx of instances, hospitalizations and deaths that spread. In early autumn, national COVID-19 parameters subsequently declined, only to be affected by a third wave in the vanquished autumn and the first months of winter with an unprecedented outbreak of instances, hospitalizations and deaths.
At least 22 states saw their average seven-day instances increase by at least 10% last week, according to an ABC research into knowledge collected through the Department of Health and Human Services, and the number of hospitalized patients also appears to have stopped. reaching a plateau at around 33,000, after falling more than 70% since early January.
Although the positivity of national tests continues to increase, it is declining. The average number of tests decreased by 12. 2% nationally, while the average positivity of the tests increased from 4. 2% to 4. 8%.
With less evidence, fewer cases are discovered, leaving the option that states lack the community’s perspective.
“I am concerned that we have reached a plateau as we lose ground to emerging variants and increase transmission by reopening and easing mitigation measures, such as restrictions on domestic activities,” Neil J said. Sehgal, an assistant professor of policies and fitness control at the University of Maryland School of Public Health, told ABC News.
With more Americans emptying, why are they increasing?
With more older people emptying, many fitness officials across the country cite infections in young people as the most likely driving force in emerging case rates.
In Massachusetts, where cases are increasing, citizens under the age of 29 account for more than 45% of the state’s positive COVID-19 tests in the past two weeks.
Earlier this week, Chicago Public Health Commissioner Dr. Allison Arwady also warned that the city’s rate of check positivity is accumulating through an increase in cases among 18- to 29-year-olds.
“I’m worried and I hope everyone gets involved when they take a look at this data,” Arwady said.
And in Michigan, 10- to 19-year-olds now have the COVID-19 case rate, which is “expanding faster than other age groups,” dr. Sarah Lyon-Callo, Director of the Office of Epidemiology and Population Health at MDHHS.
After a steady decrease in children’s cases for more than two months, the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Children’s Hospital Association reported this week that a slight increase in reported cases last week.
Although it is not yet known what these possible developing measures would be, experts recommend that this may be similar to the onset of more contagious coronavirus strains.
“Increasingly, states are seeing an expansion of their COVID-19 cases attributed to variants,” Walensky said Monday.
Although the United States still has very few cases of COVID-19, more than 8,300 cases of the variant first discovered in the United Kingdom, B. 1. 1. 7, have now been discovered in all 50 states.
Michigan’s fitness experts also correlated the state’s development measures with variants. According to the CDC, Michigan has recently taken the place in the country for the maximum reported cases of variant B. 1. 1. 7, with fewer than 1,000 cases shown.
Even with the accumulation of cases, dozens of states have to reopen, and governors ease restrictions on many companies such as restaurants and gyms.
The air has also reached prepandemic levels, and with millions of young Americans looking for spring break, there are fears that the virus will spread further and spread to other states when residents return home.
However, experts say that with the maximum number of Americans in threat doses, this possible wave would possibly not be as fatal or significant as the previous ones.
“With a giant proportion of vulnerable Americans now vaccinated, this fourth wave of cases results in a fourth wave of deaths,” Baker said.
Even if a fourth wave is “likely,” Sehgal said, “I don’t think it’s close to the magnitude of the wave as we saw after the winter break, or as deadly. “
The expansion of vaccination will play a role in controlling a fourth wave
The expansion of vaccines will play a key role in controlling a fourth wave, experts say.
According to the CDC on Saturday, 27. 6% of the total U. S. population is in the U. S. But it’s not the first time She won at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine and 15. 1% of the population is vaccinated.
Forty-seven states and Washington, D. C. have already extended vaccine eligibility for all senior citizens or announced their goal of doing so in the coming weeks, in time for President Joe Biden’s eligibility deadline on May 1.
“I am encouraged by the vaccination rate, even at my peak positive times, I expected us to get on average around 2. 5 million doses consistent with the day, and protecting the maximum vulnerable means that fewer new cases will result in hospitalizations and deaths. . compared to past waves, ” said Sehgal.
However, Brownstein and Sehgal said there are still vulnerable segments of the population waiting to be vaccinated. Not everyone older has been vaccinated, and there are Americans with pre-existing fitness disorders who are at risk of serious illness but are still eligible for a vaccine. .
<< We still have vulnerable segments of our team population of all ages that have not yet been vaccinated. Although this increase is not of the same scale, the accumulation in B. 1. 1. 7 and the immediate reopening, we will give a contribution. to preventable and dead hospitalizations," Brownstein said.
“Any accumulation in cases means more fear for those groups,” Sehgal added.
Although serious illnesses and COVID-19 deaths remain rare in young people, they are not immune to the devastation that the virus can inflict on their bodies.
“Going to the hospital is not the only final result of COVID that I am involved in; other young people can have serious consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection, such as the ‘long-term COVID’ you read,” Sehgal noted, adding that he will be nervous until vaccine eligibility is expanded.
And while these vaccines are offering a policy opposed to the new variants, “for the un vaccinated, this would possibly constitute a higher threat. On the other hand, we find that the threat of long-term outbreaks is similar to the strength of the control measures we have. “”In U. S. spaces where immunization policy is lower,” Baker said, “temporarily fleeing social esttachment measures will increase the likelihood of a fourth wave. “
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