With Myah Ward
PANDEMIA 101 – In the early months of Covid-19, Sweden presented Annex A on what happens when a country does not take into account housing maintenance orders The initial effects were not promising: many deaths, without genuine economic gains; some advocates of collective immunity claim that the country has experienced at least one decrease in the infection rate this summer. It will probably take years to find out if there have been benefits and if they have outperformed the costs.
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Now there’s a new Sweden to study: American college campuses. Another laboratory for epidemiologists is watching thousands of academics gather in classrooms, dormitories and social environments.
Here’s what they learn:
Collective immunity would probably not save us in the short term. More than 88,000 more people felt inflamed at approximately 1,200 college campuses. That’s a fraction of the country’s total student population of 20 million. About 60 other people died, most of the university employees.
Experts estimate that collective immunity will be activated when approximately 70% of the population is inflamed, assuming that an initial infection provides lasting immunity, of which scientists are still sure.
“It’s almost unlikely to believe that a school campus will gain collective immunity,” said Howard Forman, a fitness policy professor at Yale School of Management, who leads a team that evaluates the school’s Covid dashboards.
Asymptomatic exposure is a real problem. College academics use Covid without symptoms and then pass it on to the general population, which then gets sick at much higher rates than academics.
“When I communicate with many schools and universities, the biggest concern is concern about the subsequent fitness in the general population,” said Ramesh Raskar, associate professor at MIT Media Lab, who has developed touch search programs and other technologies to engage Covid. “We suspect asymptomatic transfers, but now we see that they are real. Scary.
The most obviously defined social distance. There is still a lack of clarity about what is considered close physical contact. Universities show how much more complex the calculation is than standing aside and out.
“Before schools opened, close contact meant going to a hairdresser or other people in a meat factory in combination or going to a nursing home,” Raskar said. “It’s more complex now. ” Cases spread outdoors if other people spend long periods nearby without a mask. NYU has suspended 20 academics for throwing a party in Washington Square Park.
It is not enough to tell other people what to do. Trying to force academics to adhere to regulations by issuing strict rules and punishing them does not prevent them from spreading Covid. Education, awareness and transparent public aptitude messages about the importance of wearing masks, subsequent dangers to vulnerable populations and contagion of the disease have been shown to be much more effective in containing Covid, Raskar said.
The campuses that are doing well are in spaces where the network is widespread, Forman said. They also have the cash to take large-scale tests and have academics who meet the guidelines. university reopening plan. The University of Illinois had a comprehensive Covid plan and even counted for the parties, however, a dozen academics who could not isolate themselves after positive for Covid triggered an epidemic.
Welcome to POLITICO Nightly: Coronavirus Special Edition. The pandemic has killed the Cape City Comedy Club in Austin, a former favorite hangout. We might see Raúl Sánchez, Gary Gulman, Felipe Esparza, Ali Siddiq, Emo Philipps and so many other smart and smart comedians there. Get in touch with [email protected] or on Twitter at @renurayasam.
IF YOU’RE NOT THE FIRST, YOU’RE THE LAST – Throughout the summer, the experts have been warned: yes, Joe Biden leads the votes, but also Hillary Clinton. But there is a basic difference that is overlooked, writes Steve Shepard, editor-in-chief of campaigns and elections, Biden is much closer to the 50% magic mark, either nationally and in the battlefield states of polling stations. I’m not sure about skeptical voters, but it also alienates Biden’s supporters, whose effects on voting have been remarkably lasting.
And the president is running out of time for both. According to the most recent RealClearPolitics average, Biden ranks at 49. 3% in national polls and has a 6. 2-point lead over Trump, which is particularly higher than Clinton’s 44. 9% this time 4 years ago. which is only smart for a one point advantage.
It’s the same story in many states on the battlefield: Biden has 2 topics or less of 2 topics, most in enough states to secure a victory at the Electoral College, compared to Clinton’s scores from the mid-1940s to mid-September 2016 in the same states, some of which ended up wasting when the electorate defeated was decisive for Trump.
YOU MAKE A VACUNA, YOU GET A VACUNA – Trump said today that there will be enough vaccines for each and every American until April, contradicting fitness management officials who have predicted that the country will not succeed at this point until mid-2021. “Hundreds of millions of doses will be taken each and every month and we expect to have enough vaccines for each and every American until April,” he said at a white house press conference. .
In particular, the president repeated his family prediction that the government would allow a vaccine before Election Day, which government scientists say is unlikely, fitness journalist Sarah Owermohle writes.
The FDA has not yet granted emergency authorization or approval for any of the newly developed coronavirus vaccines. The Modern, Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccines are in the final stages of clinical trials in the United States, and the government has purchased in advance a lot of millions of doses of at least part of a dozen experimental vaccines.
Backtracking: The CDC now says that other people’s close contacts with Covid-19 deserve to be evaluated whether or not they have symptoms, reversing the questionable recommendations it made last month, on the recommendation of agency scientists. provide a transparent recommendation to others within one meter eight of a user “with a documented SARS-CoV-2 infection” for at least 15 minutes to get tested. “You want proof,” reads the latest edition of the document, published today.
”Due to the importance of asymptomatic and presymptomatic transmission, this consultant further reinforces the desire to check asymptomatic Americans, adding close user contact with a documented SARS-CoV-2 infection,’ the consultant also states. fitness experts last month, when he replaced his lines of check consultants to avoid selling checks to other asymptomatic people who were exposed to a user with a proven infection for a long period of time, fitness reporter David Lim writes. local and local public officials and fitness providers.
In addition to recommending checks for close contacts of people in poor health, the CDC now says contacts will have to be quarantined at home for 14 days, even if they have a negative result, and stay away from other family members in a separate room. if possible. ” A negative bachelor check doesn’t mean it will remain negative at any time after this check,” the CDC’s new guidelines warn. “Even if your check is negative, you still want to isolate yourself for 14 days. “
Nightly asked: What Covid-era settings do you need to stay even after the arrival of a vaccine?Here are some of his changed answers.
“Families spend more time together. Fewer advertising flights and more virtual work. Save the environment with less fuel and reduce air pollution. “Ann Gainey, registered nurse, Wind Lake, Wisconsin.
“More to shake the hand of strangers. The handshake of the company you’ve never met before achieves nothing that can’t be done with a momentary visual touch and nod. “- Brian Finger, Medical Laboratory Technician, Tampa, Florida.
“NONE. I’d like to go back to the next” normal “with the option to move to the cinema in an indoor room and watch the movie before it premieres on Netflix. I’d like to go back to the crowded restaurants and chat with the butler about my lost reservation without us wearing masks. I wouldn’t dare give up the “joy” of adding a martini to take to my takeaway order. Surely there is none of this “covid era” that I wish to stay if/when this crisis is over. “- Harry McKone, retired, Palm Springs, California.
“The drinks on the street are nice; mask when shopping; Keep an extra clean at hotels. – Michael Hutson, food place manager, Midland, Texas
“The delivery of contactless food has replaced the game with noisy dogs and a baby!Please leave my food on the porch and text me to tell me that you are there without knocking or responding awkwardly to my pajamas door. “- Lindsay Brown, IT Project Manager, Clark, N. J.
“I hope insurance companies will continue to inspire remote appointments with doctors. This deserves to make it less difficult to get appointments in person when it’s really needed. “David Warner Bracken, professor, Atlanta
“Cats in meetings”. – Charlene MacDonald, consultant, Washington, D. C.
THE WEEK IT WAS – Matt Wuerker presents the latest political cartoons and satire in his Weekend Wrap Punchlines, weather replace and California wildfires, and Trump’s discussion of the “herd mentality” and Covid-19.
MADRID RETURNS TO INTERRIOR – More than 850,000 people in Madrid will face at least two weeks of stricter movement restrictions to combat an increase in coronavirus cases, the regional government announced today. stay in their homes as much as possible, but they will be allowed to move to pictures and school and care for the elderly or vulnerable.
Social gatherings will be greater than 10 to 6 more people and limits will be imposed again on the number of other people allowed in shops, libraries, places of worship, cinemas, sports facilities and theaters, writes Cristina Gallardo. businesses will have to close at 10 p. m.
The restrictions, which will last 14 days from Monday, have been imposed in spaces where the coronavirus rate has been above 1,000 instances in line with 100,000 citizens in the more than two weeks. The 37 zones, many of which are located in the south of the capital, account for 25% of covid-19 instances in the region. At a press conference today, the president of the Community of Madrid, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, presses that Madrid will have to avoid some other state of alarm and some other strict blockade, which would be “deastrous” for the economy.
86 EN 1619: Trump visited the National Archives Museum, the tabernacle of American history that houses the Declaration of Independence, the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, to deliver a speech Thursday attacking what he calls student indoctrination left-wing Americans. not so much he opened a new front in the culture wars that his presidency fought, but rather revived one of the oldest battles in the country, writes media editor Jack Shafer: Who controls our not unusual history?
The main objective of Trump’s speech was Project 1619, a special factor in the New York Times magazine published in August 2019 whose findings were widely discussed at the academy, his main essay winning a Pulitzer Prize for his comments. In the words of its editor, it was reformulated 1619, the year in which the first slaves were brought into the country, in the “year of birth” of the nation.
But the Times didn’t stop him there. He also produced a school program designed to bring that story into the classroom, and Trump’s anger extended to educators who might need to use it. These people, Trump said, are looking “radically America. “
Like many of Trump’s most out-of-the-box statements, pointing to Antifa as a terrorist organization, threatening to shut down Twitter, asserting the “maximum authority” to reopen america in quarantine, this new attempt to dictate how history is taught will likely disappear deep down. has no direct force over school forums describing school policy, let alone the textbooks from which history is taught, or teachers who do so. All you can do is be blown away, but as we’ve learned, if all you can do is blow it, you’re more than happy to do it.
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