The 13 August agreement would already inspire other countries to join the Emirates by officially shaking hands with the country that many do not yet recognize on a map, breaking the decades-long mandate in which many Muslim-majority and Arab-majority countries refused to forge ties until there is a lasting peace agreement with the Palestinians.
But which country is the maximum that is likely to come next?
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Bahrain’s wardrobe praised the agreement, and the U.S. diplomats who orchestrated the Israel-UAE deal were supposedly economic progress in the capital, Manama, last year.
In addition, Bahrain’s prime minister reportedly spoke on the phone with Israel’s spy leader in mid-August and denied that such a compromise had been made.The small constitutional monarchy, strongly aligned with the United Arab Emirates, also sees Iran as an existential regional threat.Other warming signs come with last year’s welcome from Jerusalem leader Rabbi Shlomo Amar, and an assembly with King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa in the capital, and Bahraini taking part in a motorcycle race in May 2018, along with participants from the United Arab Emirates in Israel.
But to date, no official has been issued on the Israel-Bahrain routes.Other experts also pointed the finger at Oman, who has been quick to welcome the agreement and has in recent years acted as a interlocutor between Israel and the Arab States.
Sudan has also been known as a very likely contender, its public messages have been mixed.The interim leader of the East African nation, Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Uganda in February, noting that initial talks with normalizing relations were underway.
Shortly after the announcement of the United Arab Emirates, Sudan, which is recently in crisis and in transition following the dismissal in April 2019 of leader Omar al-Bashir, said he was also in the proceedings, but denied it amid a public reaction.
“Sudan, which has long been a global outing because of its sponsorship of Al Qaeda, as well as its serious human rights violations in Darfur and elsewhere, hopes to withdraw from the list of states that make terrorism through the U.S. government,” Marcus said.a researcher from the Department of War Studies, King’s College London.”Since the fall of Omar al-Bashir in Sudan, there have been indications that Sudan’s new government believes its position in the United States and the world will be strengthened ties with Israel.”
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In the north of the continent, Morocco has been listed as a country preparing for some form of Israel’s progress, having played a vital role in a series of peace efforts over the years.The country has a small Jewish community, which once exceeded 250,000.by the mid-20th century, however, it has shrunk to just 3,000.
Harley Lippman, a Miami-based businessman who has long engaged with the United Arab Emirates to forge relations with Israel in Washington, told Fox News that Israel and Morocco had been in talks for years and were very close to reaching an agreement.on the table, no agreement has yet been reached.
“Bahrain is the closest to reaching an agreement, followed by Oman and Sudan,” he speculated.”Sudan is the simplest because they only want sanctions lifted and they want to make peace with Israel to achieve this.”
Arab states have historically rejected formal diplomatic affinities with Israel, while their confrontation with the Palestinians remains unresolved.
From Lippman’s point of view, mediation through the UAE is “diplomacy at its finest”, and the Emirates, despite all they could, the Palestinians succeeded by at least stopping the annexation plans. and at the same time bring the Iranian factor to the fore.
“Is the Palestinian factor in the foreground now? We know that countries in the region have greater security concerns,” he said.”Is the war in Yemen, which is subsidized through Iran, now more for the United Arab Emirates?Yemen is just around the corner.”
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Ami Ayalon, director of the upcoming memoir “Friendly Fire: How Israel Became Its Worst Enemy and Hope for Its Future” and former director of Israeli security company Shin Bet, called the deal “very smart news,” but under pressure that any long-term agreement still depended on solving the Palestinian problem.
“This agreement tells us that Israel can make “political arrangements” with Arab states if it makes concessions on the Palestinian issue,” he said.”This is contrary to Netanyahu’s classic position that Israel can normalize with Arab states by paying the price.”
For many Persian Gulf countries, this is a general concept that animosity with Iran has a more vital cause of fear of national security than the fate of palestinians.
Saudi Arabia is at the forefront of this acrimony. The crown prince of the Kingdom and de facto leader Mohammad bin Salman in 2018 has hinted that direct relations with Israel can be mutually beneficial, and it is well known that the two countries are cooperating to counter the closed doors of Tehran.
Despite the thaw of relations in recent years, Saudi Arabia publicly argues that diplomatic relations are on the calendar; however, on Wednesday, Riyadh announced that it would allow flights between Israel and the United Arab Emirates to use its airspace.
“In general, this is perceived as a sign of the slow decline in the importance of the Palestinian cause among Arab regimes,” said John Glaser, director of foreign policy studies at the CATO Institute.the fate of the Palestinians, but because the agreement only ended the transitoryness of Israeli annexation plans, the Palestinians seriously criticized the United Arab Emirates for ‘betraying’ them.”
However, unlike other Muslim-majority countries with more volatile security systems, Glaser says citizens have little freedom to express their disagreement in the United Arab Emirates.
“Only about 1.4 million other people are citizens of the UAE, the remaining 8 million are expatriates, in the country for work,” he said. “The UAE has little to worry about.”
In touting the achievement of recent weeks, everyone, from President Trump and Kushner to national security adviser Robert O’Brien and Netanyahu, asked other Arab and Muslim countries to participate, or soon will be, to participate in Israeli alliances.
Another marketing is what you earn financially.
Other countries are likely to look to analyze the UAE’s achievements before taking their own conclusive next steps.Even before the signing of the agreement between Israel and the United Arab Emirates, investors on both sides temporarily explored and prepared new opportunities, from finance and tourism to aviation and health care, that will be accompanied by strengthening relations.
Countries have made behind-the-scenes transactions in the past, however, according to the Wall Street Journal, this concerned bringing subsidiaries to third countries, such as Singapore or Cyprus, the need for virtual personal networks, foreign passports between telephone lines and even abroad, as Israeli calls are regularly blocked in much of the Arab space.
Still, this can lead to a bankrupt or bankruptcy, experts warn.
The United Arab Emirates is only the third Arab nation, after Egypt and Jordan, which has restored diplomatic relations with Israel, and the financiers that treaties concluded more than 25 years ago had “produced little economic dividends,” a WSJ investigation into World Bank knowledge.Showed..
And the threat of violence or uprising can never come out.
“You can see the dangers in what happened in Egypt after its peace agreement with Israel in 1979: the murder of Sadat and fuel for the radicals,” said Benjamin Friedman, director of defense priorities policy.”But there is a clever explanation for why doubt.that Gulf states, which did not have a recent history of wars with Israel like Egypt at the time, have hearings that care about Israel and Palestine like Egypt at the time.The leaders of the United Arab Emirates are that this does not resonate much with their audience, and they are probably right.”
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However, a strong liquidation for the United Arab Emirates and other regional actors is that the country, unlike Egypt and Jordan, has never waged a direct war with Israel.aspect of pink diplomatic dances in a different way.
“Several agreements between the United Arab Emirates and Israel are being concluded lately on economy, trade, COVID-19 and, more discreetly, security and intelligence.The phone lines are already connected. (But) the elephant in the room is connected to the United Arab Emirates’ acquisition of F-35 aircraft in the United States, to which Israel is tactically opposed,” Marcus added.”Israel has long sought to have a ‘qualitative military advantage’ in the Middle East.It is a pillar of Israel’s classic security concept.”