October 12, 2020: A forecast based on dozens of COVID-19 models predicts that deaths in the US will be in the MIDDLE. But it’s not the first time Because COVID-19 they can succeed in 233,000 through the end of the month, according to a new CDC update.
The “general” forecast combines the knowledge of more than four0 modeling teams for the next four weeks. The overall estimate predicts that a total of 22,4,000 to 233,000 COVID-19-related deaths can be reported through October 31.
The new forecast comes when the United States reported more than 56,000 new cases shown Thursday, the maximum for an undes married day since mid-August.
“This week’s national overall forecasts imply a dubious trend in new COVID-19 deaths reported over the next four weeks and predict that 2,800 to 6,800 new deaths will likely be reported in the week ending October 31,” they wrote. the CDC.
An earlier general forecast indicated that this week’s total COVID-19 deaths would be between 207,000 and 218,000. As of Friday morning, more than 212,000 coronavirus deaths have been reported, according to knowledge from Johns Hopkins University.
Still, deaths in the United States have declined, so this month In the first week of October, another 4,869 people died as a result of COVID-19, down 13% from the first week of September, when they were reported. 5,611 deaths.
Of the 41 individual forecasts, 32 assume that existing social estating measures will continue until the end of October.
According to state forecasts, the number of new deaths reported according to the week can also simply be minimized in several regions, i. e. in the south and west. Midwest states would likely see an increase in reported deaths.
“Trends in the number of long-term deaths reported are dubious or expected to remain strong in other states and territories,” the CDC wrote.
CDC, “COVID-19 Forecast: Death, updated October 8, 2020”.
Johns Hopkins University, “COVID-19 Scoreboard”.
CDC, “State Forecasts, updated October 5, 2020”.
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